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Dave's Wild Card Weekend NFL player props picks and anytime touchdown wagers. Get his best Wild Card Weekend NFL player prop bets with odds, expert analysis, and predictions. Top weekly NFL prop bets and winning picks.
The NFL regular season is over, and the playoffs are here. There is no clear-cut dominant team this year, and things feel more wide open than ever. That should make for a fun postseason, so it will be interesting to see who eventually emerges as the Super Bowl winner.
As for player prop betting, I feel like a broken record when I say there is not a ton of value available this time of year. The books have had an entire season to collect data and make their own adjustments. However, they do not get every game right, and there are still opportunities to gain an edge. Especially if the books get a game wrong. So, with that said, let's try to kick off the postseason on a winning note and get to all the action.
Make sure you're following RotoBaller on X and download the RotoBaller app for all your fantasy football and betting needs. Here are some of my favorite player props for Wild Card Weekend.
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Wild Card Weekend Passing Prop Bets
Brock Purdy UNDER 232.5 Passing Yards (-140) BetMGM Sportsbook
Risk .42 Units to Win .3 Units
Purdy was white-hot toward the end of the regular season, but he flamed out against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 18. After throwing for at least 295 passing yards in three straight games from Weeks 15-17, Purdy only threw for 127 passing yards, zero passing touchdowns, and one interception in a critical game against the Seahawks. While Purdy will look to get back on track this week, bettors should not be too optimistic.
The Philadelphia Eagles rank fifth in defensive passing DVOA and have allowed the eighth-fewest passing yards per game. San Francisco could also be missing sophomore wide receiver Ricky Pearsall as well as star left tackle Trent Williams this weekend. Both of these would be massive losses for San Francisco and would severely hurt Purdy's outlook against one of the league's best defenses.
This looks like a good time to fade Purdy, as this is one of the more difficult matchups San Francisco could have drawn to kick off the postseason. Look for the Philadelphia defense to smother the 49ers' offense as the Eagles pick up a win.
C.J. Stroud UNDER 33.5 Pass Attempts (-134) Caesars Sportsbook
Risk .41 Units to Win .3 Units
The Texans are arguably the hottest team entering the postseason and have won nine straight games. However, this could be a tougher matchup for Houston than many pundits think. While Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has played very well down the stretch, he has struggled in outdoor games during his career.
Outdoor Games
- 3.6% touchdown rate
- 59% completion percentage
- 6.42 yards per attempt
- 199.6 passing yards per game
Indoor Games
- 4.6% touchdown rate
- 66% completion percentage
- 8.0 yards per attempt
- 254.3 passing yards per game
Temperatures in Pittsburgh on Monday night are expected to be in the low 30s. That could be problematic for Stroud.
While Pittsburgh's defense has not been an elite unit, it could still give Stroud some fits in this game. The Texans' offensive line has played better recently, but T.J. Watt and crew could get after Stroud all night. Houston is well aware of this fact, so it could very well lean on its ground attack.
I expect that to be the case and don't think we will see Stroud throw the ball much in cold weather conditions.
Wild Card Weekend Rushing Prop Bets
James Cook UNDER 78.5 Rushing Yards (-115) NOVIG
Risk 1.15 Units to Win 1 Unit
Cook won the regular-season rushing title, but this is a tough spot for him and the Bills. Jacksonville is white-hot and has won eight straight games entering the playoffs. It is arguably the best team in the AFC. Buffalo, on the other hand, is banged up and dealing with several injuries to key players, mainly quarterback Josh Allen, who's been nursing a foot injury.
Jacksonville's run defense has also been elite so far this season. The Jaguars rank fourth in defensive rushing DVOA and have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game. Jacksonville has also allowed the fewest explosive rushing yards in the league, per Fantasy Points Data Suite.
I think this number is too high, and I believe the Bills' rush attack is at risk of being completely neutralized here. I played this number for a full unit at 82.5 earlier in the week, and this number continues to be bet down. I'd play this line down to 75.5 for a full unit.
Blake Corum OVER 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-107) NOVIG
Risk .53 Units to Win .5 Units
Corum really came on strong during his sophomore season. He ran for a career-high 746 rushing yards and averaged a robust 5.1 yards per carry to force a timeshare with starter Kyren Williams.
Blake Corum rumbles 48 yards for the TD!
LARvsAZ on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/aroS7jo0iI
— NFL (@NFL) December 7, 2025
The Rams are listed as double-digit favorites against the Carolina Panthers this weekend. After losing to Carolina 31-28 back in Week 13, we should see a motivated Rams team come out strong and blow the doors off a Panthers team that really doesn't belong in the postseason.
I don't expect Los Angeles to be trailing for the majority of this game and believe that, worst case, we are looking at a neutral game script for Corum. That should ensure he has plenty of chances for touches. Expect Corum to be heavily involved in the Rams' game plan and for him to post double-digit carries in this game.
Travis Etienne Jr. OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards (+100) NOVIG
Risk 1 Unit to Win 1 Unit
This one is pretty simple. The Bills' run defense has been one of the worst in the league all year. Buffalo ranks 31st in defensive rushing DVOA, 27th in PFF's rushing defense grade, and allows 136.2 rushing yards per game, which is the fifth most in the league.
Trevor Lawrence has been playing some of the best football of his career during Jacksonville's eight-game win streak. However, it would do the Jaguars well to attack the Bills' run defense and rely on their ground game to pick up the win.
Jacksonville head coach Liam Coen is known for his creative rushing schemes/game plans, and he is all too aware of the holes in Buffalo's run defense. This sure looks like a good spot for the Jaguars to get their ground game going.
I make the Jaguars small favorites in this game and believe they will win outright. That means Etienne is live for a monster game.
Travis Etienne Jr. into the end zone!
INDvsJAX on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/e3ThGMiVWe
— NFL (@NFL) December 7, 2025
Look for the Jacksonville offensive line to push around the Bills up front and score the upset to advance to the Divisional Round.
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Wild Card Weekend Receiving Prop Bets
DK Metcalf UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk 1.11 Units to Win 1 Unit
Metcalf returns to the Steelers lineup this weekend following a two-game suspension. While that's great news for Pittsburgh's offense, he unfortunately draws a tough matchup in this game.
Houston ranks second in defensive passing DVOA and has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards per game. The Texans also rank sixth in DVOA against opposing WR1s and allow 47 receiving yards per game to the position.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has also been reluctant to throw the ball downfield when under pressure. With Houston boasting one of the league's best pass rushes, it could mean Rodgers has little time to get the ball to Metcalf's way.
I expect this to be a low-scoring affair and wouldn't be surprised to see the Pittsburgh passing attack struggle. That means Metcalf is at risk of turning in a complete dud, so I will be fading Pittsburgh's WR1.
George Kittle UNDER 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk 1.1 Units to Win 1 Unit
Kittle would conceivably see a boost in value this weekend if Ricky Pearsall can't play. However, even if Pearsall is eventually ruled out, this is a tough spot for the 49ers TE1. Left tackle Trent Williams could miss this game, and even if he plays, he'll be less than 100% against a strong Philadelphia pass rush. That could make life difficult for Brock Purdy and the passing game.
Philadelphia has also been one of the best teams in the league at defending tight ends. The Eagles rank first in DVOA against tight ends and allow just 35.3 receiving yards per game to the position. With Williams hurt/potentially missing this game, we could also see the 49ers keep Kittle in line more as a blocker, and that would also hurt his outlook.
There are just too many factors working against Kittle in this spot. That makes this a good time to fade him.
Wild Card Weekend Anytime Touchdown Bets
Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (+200) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk 1 Unit to Win 2 Units
I expect the Rams' ground attack to have plenty of success in this game and think they'll move the ball at will against the Panthers defense. Corum scored when these teams met back in Week 13, and he has remained heavily involved in the Rams offense for most of the season. Carolina has also allowed 16 rushing touchdowns this year, which is tied for the fifth most in the NFL.
These are great odds to take a shot on Corum finding the end zone, and I think he will do just that.
Kyle Monangai Anytime Touchdown (+210) NOVIG
Risk .5 Units to Win 1.05 Units
Monangai enjoyed a fine rookie season and now gets a good matchup against the Packers this weekend. Green Bay ranks 23rd in PFF's rushing defense grade and has allowed the 10th-most rushing touchdowns this year.
Chicago had a lot of success on the ground in both games against the Packers in the regular season. I expect that to be the case again this weekend. That makes Monangai an excellent value bet to score a touchdown.
Bhayshul Tuten Anytime Touchdown (+280) Bet365 Sportsbook
Risk .5 Units to Win 1.4 Units
Tuten returned in Week 18 after missing several games with a broken finger. He promptly scored his fifth rushing touchdown of the season.
Tuten for another Jaguars TD
TENvsJAX on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/ilyNaSdims
— NFL (@NFL) January 4, 2026
We previously detailed the struggles of Buffalo's run defense throughout the 2025-26 season, so this sets up as a great spot for Tuten to once again find paydirt. I think Jacksonville will have a successful day on the ground in this game, and these are incredible odds to take a stab at Tuten finding the end zone.
Long Shot Props & Value Plays
Trevor Lawrence - Most Passing Yards on Wild Card Weekend (+800) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 1.6 Units
Travis Etienne Jr. - Most Rushing Yards on Wild Card Weekend (+1100) DraftKings Sportsbook
Risk .2 Units to Win 2.2 Units
Wild Card Weekend Props Summary
Here's a quick, handy recap of all the props I recommended in this article in one place!
- Brock Purdy UNDER 232.5 Passing Yards (-140) BetMGM Sportsbook
- C.J. Stroud UNDER 33.5 Pass Attempts (-134) Caesars Sportsbook
- James Cook UNDER 78.5 Rushing Yards (-115) NOVIG
- Blake Corum OVER 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-107) NOVIG
- Travis Etienne OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards (+100) NOVIG
- DK Metcalf UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-111) DraftKings Sportsbook
- George Kittle UNDER 61.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Beet365 Sportsbook
- Blake Corum Anytime Touchdown (+200) Bet365 Sportsbook
- Kyle Monangai Anytime Touchdown (+210) NOVIG
- Bhayshul Tuten Anytime Touchdown (+280) Bet365 Sportsbook
Thanks for reading, and make sure you check back again before Sunday for updated info and more betting content from RotoBaller!
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