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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 16 - Sunday Night Slate! The 2023 NFL season is well underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 16 Sunday Night
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Bailey Zappe MORE than 181.5 passing yards
This could be an ugly game with two less-than-stellar offenses, but there are a couple of props worth taking a look at. Bailey Zappe's passing yards are one of those props. He will be up against a Broncos defense that has allowed the eight-most passing yards to the quarterback position over the previous four weeks. They have allowed an average of nearly 259 passing yards per game over that span. Zappe has also eclipsed this total in one of his previous two games when he threw for 240 passing yards against the Steelers two weeks ago. Add in the fact that the Patriots will enter this contest as underdogs and could be throwing the ball a bit more, and you could have a recipe for success with this play.
Courtland Sutton MORE than 48.5 receiving yards
Courtland Sutton has eclipsed this total in six straight games. He has averaged nearly seven targets per game over this span as well while hauling in over four receptions per game. He will be facing a Patriots defense that has allowed an average of over 140 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks.
The Patriots have also only allowed an average of 43.5 rushing yards per game to the running back position over the previous four weeks, which is ranked best in the league. This tells me that the Broncos will likely struggle to get Javonte Williams and the rushing attack going, which means they may need to rely a bit more on the pass to get things done here. This should only benefit Sutton and the Broncos' passing attack.
Ezekiel Elliott MORE than 49.5 rushing yards
This is one of PrizePicks new goblins, which means that the prop is set lower than the original prop line, but also reduces the payout a bit. That being said, this should be a solid play as Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for 50 or more yards in two of the previous three games while averaging nearly 17 carries per game over that span. This Broncos defense has also allowed 197 rushing yards per game to the running back position over the previous four weeks, so with Zeke getting the bulk of the carries in this game, he should be able to eclipse this total.
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