NFL Over/Under DFS Prop Picks for RIVAL Fantasy - Thanksgiving Day Slate (Week 12)

November 23, 2022

Kipp Heisterman's NFL Over/Under DFS prop picks for RIVAL fantasy contests and the Thanksgiving Day slate (Week 12). Use his NFL DFS prop picks to win money.

Hello everybody and welcome back to more DFS prop picks! Our friends over at RIVAL Fantasy have a TON of great games we can look to take advantage of.

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NFL DFS Over/Under Picks for Thanksgiving Day

Stefon Diggs OVER 22.38 fantasy points

Diggs has gone over this total in three of his previous five games and has a solid shot again in this matchup against the Lions. Over the previous four weeks, Detroit has allowed an average of over 44 fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position, which is second-worst behind only the Minnesota Vikings (more to come on this one) over that span.

Diggs has averaged 7.4 receptions over the previous five games and has also scored three touchdowns over that span. Expect him to get involved early and often in this and have a great shot at getting over this total.

Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 15.76 fantasy points

The Bills have struggled against wide receivers over the previous four weeks as they have allowed an average of over 41 fantasy points per game to the position, which ranks third-worst in the league over that span. St. Brown has averaged over 15 fantasy points per game over his previous four contests and should have a great shot to do the same here.

The Lions will enter as nearly 10-point underdogs, which should add some fuel to their passing game. St. Brown has also averaged nearly 10 targets per game over the previous four games, so he will likely be the benefactor of said passing later in the game.

Dalvin Cook UNDER 15.16 fantasy points

Cook has one of the toughest matchups on the slate against the Patriots. Over the previous four weeks, New England has only allowed an average of 9.7 fantasy points per game to running backs, which is ranked second-best over that span behind only the Washington Commanders. They have also only allowed a total of 11 receptions to the position over that span, which is where Cook would possibly be able to pad the numbers.

The zero total touchdowns allowed to the position over that span is where the under really comes into play as well as it will be incredibly difficult for Cook to get over this total without scoring. Heck, even if he punched one in, this total could still go under by a few points.

Tony Pollard OVER 14.22 fantasy points

Pollard will continue to see plenty of work, even with Ezekiel Elliott back in the fold. Pollard has gone over this total in three straight games and will be in a great position to do it again. The Giants have allowed over 27 fantasy points per game to running backs over the previous four weeks, which ranks them ninth-worst in the league over that span.

They have given up an average of 4.5 yards per carry over that same span while also allowing a total of five touchdowns to the position. If Pollard scores in this one, he is almost certainly going over, but he also contributes a lot in the passing game as noted by his 12 receptions over the previous four games and this will certainly help in the PPR format that RivalFantasy offers.

Jakobi Meyers OVER 12.38 fantasy points

As aforementioned, the Vikings have allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers over the previous four weeks and that is exactly why Meyers has a great shot of getting over his total in this one. Meyers has also averaged over this total across his previous three games. He has seen an average of over eight targets per game across his previous three games and is one of Mac Jones's favorite targets. He should be heavily involved whenever the Patriots put the ball in the air in this one.

Other Recommendations: D'Andre Swift OVER 8.98 fantasy points

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