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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 16 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 16
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David Njoku MORE than 49.5 receiving yards
This is easily my favorite play of the slate this weekend. David Njoku has eclipsed this total in five of his previous six contests while averaging over 64 receiving yards per game over that span. He has quickly become a favorite target of Joe Flacco as well as he has averaged over nine targets per game in the three games Flacco has started and has also seen 22 targets over the previous two games.
The matchup against Houston is also tough to beat. On the season, Houston has allowed the fourth-most total receiving yards to the tight end position. They have also allowed an average of 60 receiving yards per game to the position. The Browns are slight favorites in this one (2.5 points), which may not be enough for them to focus solely on pounding the ball late in the game.
Raheem Mostert MORE than 57.5 rushing yards
Raheem Mostert has eclipsed this total in four of his previous six games and in eight total games this season. He has also averaged nearly 18 carries per game over the previous five weeks, so the Dolphins are getting him heavily involved in the ground game.
The matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is not a daunting as it was earlier in the season. Over the previous four weeks, Dallas has allowed 481 rushing yards to the running back position, which ranks fourth-worst in the league. They have also allowed a total of two running backs to eclipse this total in the previous three weeks. This includes an absolute thrashing from James Cook last week as he carried the ball 25 times for 179 rushing yards.
Mike Evans MORE than 63.5 receiving yards
Mike Evans has eclipsed this total in three of his previous four games. He has also averaged over nine targets per game over his previous six games. The matchup is solid as the Jaguars have allowed the ninth-most total receiving yards to the wide receiver position while allowing an average of nearly 164 receiving yards per game. The Jaguars have also allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards to the running back position on the season, so the Buccaneers are likely to come out with a game plan to move the ball through the air.
Baker Mayfield MORE than 229.5 passing yards
Baker Mayfield paired up with Mike Evans makes a ton of sense in this game. As aforementioned, the Jaguars' run defense has been stout, but the same thing cannot be said about their pass defense. They have allowed an average of just over 271 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. This is also a number that Mayfield has eclipsed in eight of 14 games played this season. He is also fresh off of a 381 passing yard performance against the Green Bay Packers in Week 15.
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