X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

All-Star Break Overrated/Underrated: Third Basemen

This column has (generally) been published on a weekly basis since the season started, yet it hasn't covered third basemen. It's mostly because the third base position runs so deep and has provided so much value that it's hard to say anyone could be considered overrated and deserves lower rates of ownership.

A quick glance, though, reveals a couple of names that are criminally underrated, even if the rest of the field appears incredibly strong. Other players don't have to be overrated for other guys to be underrated. Most leagues use at least one corner infield and utility slot apiece, so there's no problem rostering three third basemen and maximizing the number of juggernauts your team can accommodate.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C) | Week 12 (OF) | Week 14 (SP)

 

Underrated Third Basemen

Jake Lamb, Arizona Diamondbacks
49% owned, via FleaFlicker

It may seem like Lamb came out of nowhere. With six home runs through 390 plate appearances last season, he seemed like an anemic play at a deep position. A close look at his batted ball profile, however, revealed a 36.3% hard-hit rate (Hard%) -- the kind of frequent hard contact that leads to home runs more than twice as often as he hit them in 2015. Those six homers probably should have been closer to a dozen and change; extrapolate that to a full season, and Lamb's flirting with 20-homer power.

Flash forward to this year, and Lamb has 20 home runs before the All-Star Break. That would have been hard to anticipate no matter what. If Lamb could hang is hat on anything as a (pseudo) prospect, it was his power, but it wasn't anything particularly menacing, either. At this point, if you own Lamb, simply thank your lucky stars for his lottery ticket panning out so nicely.

It's important to note that the power isn't a fluke, either. Mark Simon of ESPN noted a mechanical adjustment that helped Lamb tap into his plus raw power. Granted, maybe he's a little ahead of pace -- a 28.6% HR/FB rate is hard for even the most prodigious sluggers to sustain. But he pulls the ball a ton and, per Statcast data, frequently finds the sweet spot between batted ball angle and exit velocity.

One could call Lamb a sell-high candidate, but FleaFlicker indicates he's owned in only 49% of leagues. Mind-blowing, frankly. It harkens back to the introduction of this post: third base just runs so deep that 20 home runs isn't that impressive. (To attest: 11 other third basemen have hit at least 17 home runs.) Regardless, he's worth owning -- maybe you can't replace another third baseman with him (although Adrian Beltre would be a decent option), but surely some creative rearranging of your roster can accommodate him

Eduardo Nunez, Minnesota Twins
47% owned, via FleaFlicker

Rotoballer's Pierre Camus discussed Nunez at length last week, so it's not worth spending too many more words on him here. A couple of concerns about Nunez, however:

1) His low line drive rate (LD%) and high infield fly ball rate (IFFB%) do not bode well for his high batting average on balls in play (BABIP). While he's fast, he doesn't possess elite speed, making the odds of his batting average falling below .300 (or even .280) fairly high in the second half.

2) His all-fields approach, generally lackluster hard-hit rate and below-average ground ball rate (GB%) do not bode well for his elevated 12.6% HR/FB rate, either. Maybe it dips a few ticks. A mere half-dozen home runs through the end of the season could be a reasonable expectation.

With that said, neither of those points cut into Nunez's value a whole lot. He's practically worth his weight in gold from just his speed alone; the power and batting average are gravy. Nunez could always run -- he stole 22 bases in a mere 338 plate appearances in 2011, although that feels like a lifetime ago -- but hitting for average or power was never his strong suit.

Don't over-invest in a keeper or dynasty league; it's hard to believe in the one-year power spike. There might only be six or eight home runs in the horizon for 2017. But a .270 average and another 25 or 30 stolen bases is plenty valuable, even at third base.

More importantly, though: Nunez is eligible at shortstop. This is a post about third basemen, but if you're truly optimizing your lineup, you'll be deploying him at shortstop (with Lamb at third, in a perfect world!).

Jonathan Villar, Milwaukee Brewers
44% owned, via FleaFlicker

(I'm becoming skeptical of FleaFlicker's ownership rates at this point. It's hard to believe that Nunez or Villar, having been among fantasy baseball's best assets this year, are less than 50% owned. The Dude abides, however, so here's an obligatory comment on Villar.)

Villar, like Nunez, is shortstop-eligible and should be deployed as such. He's faster, and has the track record to prove it. He might have more power, too, but that's something the outcomes can't yet validate. An aside: I wrote at length about Villar's incremental progress over the years at FanGraphs. So, like Villar, I'll spare you the bloody details. Just know that if Villar is still available in your league, you should add him (and Nunez, and Lamb, too). Like, NOW.

Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Indians
32% owned, via FleaFlicker

Like Nunez and Villar before him, Ramirez generates far more relative value when deployed as a second baseman or shortstop. Not to make this about me again, but I also wrote about Ramirez being a legitimate mixed-league shortstop option at FanGraphs, too -- it goes into far greater detail than this blurb will.

The primary concern with Ramirez now is the inevitability of Michael Brantley's return. Ramirez spends a lot of time in left field, Brantley's primary position, and Rajai Davis, Lonnie Chisenhall, and Tyler Naquin have proven themselves collectively valuable to the Cleveland Indians at a time when they've been cruising. Ramirez's home positions up the middle are manned by the equally valuable Jason Kipnis and, oh yeah, the entirely indispensible Francisco Lindor.

That leaves the lackluster Juan Uribe as the odd man out, offensively speaking. He's not a steep financial obligation for the Indians, but he is a "clubhouse presence" (or something like that). Ramirez deserves to usurp the third base role outright, but it may not happen that way. Alas, Ramirez's playing time could be dampened considerably after the All-Star Break.

There's a chance, though, that Ramirez winds up in a super utility role, spelling Brantley, Lindor, Kipnis, Davis, Chisenhall, Naquin, everyone throughout the week, leading to maybe 20-25 plate appearances a week. Missing out on full-time playing time hurts, but it's better than nothing, and it'll work in deep leagues.

Just know that Ramirez has the upside of a top-10 shortstop (which makes him more of a top-20 or top-25 third baseman) if the Indians make the smart move with him. Keep an eye on him.

Ramirez makes a good replacement for: Howie Kendrick (42% owned), Trevor Plouffe (41% owned), Travis Shaw (32% owned)

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Plans to Play in Week 7
Brady Tkachuk

to Miss 6-8 Weeks After Having Thumb Surgery
Noah Hanifin

Remains Sidelined Thursday
Akira Schmid

Faces Bruins Thursday
Jake Allen

Starts Against Panthers
Troy Terry

Expected to Play Thursday
Matt Duchene

Unavailable Against Canucks
Anze Kopitar

a Game-Time Call Thursday
VEG

Carter Hart Joins Golden Knights on Tryout Contract
CeeDee Lamb

Says He Will Return Without Limitations in Week 7
Aaron Judge

Will Not Need Elbow Surgery
Anthony Volpe

Won't be Ready for Start of Next Season
Gerrit Cole

Won't be Ready for Opening Day Next Year
Milwaukee Bucks

Chris Livingston Waived by the Bucks
Keegan Murray

Nique Clifford Shines in Keegan Murray's Absence
Cooper Flagg

Continues to Start at Point Guard
Chuba Hubbard

Expects to Play in Week 7
Ron Harper Jr.

Earns a Two-Way Deal with the Celtics
Spencer Dinwiddie

Waived by the Hornets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sterling Shepard's Stock Rising for Buccaneers
Cam Talbot

Collects Third Straight Win
Connor Bedard

Shines With Three Assists
CFB

Jermod McCoy Officially Out for Alabama Matchup
Zach Benson

Records Four Assists In Season Debut
CFB

Jam Miller Questionable to Face Tennessee
Cam York

on Track to Make Season Debut Thursday
John Klingberg

Deemed Day-to-Day
Will Borgen

Battling Lower-Body Issue
Hampus Lindholm

Still Day-to-Day
Jaden Ivey

Considered Day-to-Day
Josh Hart

Making Progress
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Busy in Preseason Debut
Keegan Murray

Lands Five-Year, $140 Million Extension
Domantas Sabonis

Sustains Hamstring Injury Wednesday
Jaylen Brown

"Fine" Following Wednesday's Early Exit
CFB

Arizona State QB Sam Leavitt Probable For Saturday
Jake Walman

to Remain Out Thursday
Dmitry Kulikov

to Miss Five Months Following Surgery
Darcy Kuemper

Day-to-Day With Lower-Body Injury
Anze Kopitar

Listed as Day-to-Day
Jacob Markstrom

Out for "Couple of Weeks"
Kevon Looney

Slated to be Sidelined With Knee Injury
Nick Foligno

Out on Wednesday
New York Knicks

Malcolm Brogdon Calling it a Career After Nine NBA Seasons
Russell Westbrook

Inks Deal With Kings
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Open 21-Day Practice Window for Khalik Mack
Quentin Johnston

Will Practice Wednesday
Travis Hunter

Jaguars Plan to Expand Travis Hunter's Role on Offense
Anthony Volpe

Undergoes Left-Shoulder Surgery
Deshaun Watson

"a Good Month Away" From Practicing
CFB

Jayden Gibson No Longer with Oklahoma Program
David Njoku

Not Practicing Wednesday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs "Allocating a Heavy Workload" for Rashee Rice Right Away
Puka Nacua

a "Long Shot" to Play in Week 7
Emeka Egbuka

is Expected to Miss Week 7
Jalen Suggs

Participates in Contact Drills
Mark Williams

Progresses to Five-on-Five Work
Gary Harris

to Miss 1-2 Weeks
De'Andre Hunter

Sustains Knee Contusion Tuesday
Karlo Matković

Karlo Matkovic Hurts Elbow in Loss to Houston
Jalen Duren

Returns to Action Against Cavaliers
Emmanuel Clase

to be Banished for Life After Gambling Allegations?
Alex Bregman

Plans to Opt Out of Contract With Red Sox
CeeDee Lamb

"Looking Good" for Week 7
D'Andre Swift

Breaks Out for 175 Total Yards and Touchdown in Win
Drake London

Explodes for 158 Yards and Touchdown in Win Over Bills
Bijan Robinson

Erupts for 238 Total Yards and Touchdown Against Bills
Christopher Bell

Sits Third in Points After Quiet Third-Place Finish
Chase Briscoe

Passes Denny Hamlin at the Start, but Hamlin Gets Him in the End
Joey Logano

Falling Out of Playoff Picture Despite Other Contenders' Crashes
Ryan Blaney

Stage 1 Crash Puts Ryan Blaney in Severe Playoff Trouble
Denny Hamlin

Wins at Las Vegas and Will Compete for the 2025 Cup Series Title
Kyle Larson

Dominates at Las Vegas but Ends Up Second
Chase Elliott

Struggles to Gain A Solid Finish at Las Vegas After Pit-Road Penalty
William Byron

Strong Run Ends In A Wreck at Las Vegas
Garrett Wilson

Expected to Miss "a Couple of Weeks" With Hyperextended Knee
Dalton Kincaid

Ruled Out for Monday Night
CFB

Sam Leavitt Viewed as Day-to-Day with Undisclosed Injury
Anthony Santander

Scratched From Game 2 of ALCS With Back Tightness
Deebo Samuel Sr.

Expected to Play on Monday Night
Brock Bowers

Could Sit for the "Long Haul"
CeeDee Lamb

has a Chance to Play in Week 7
San Diego Padres

Mike Shildt Retires as a Manager
Tennessee Titans

Titans Fire Head Coach Brian Callahan
Mateusz Gamrot

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Charles Oliveira

Gets Back In The Win Column
Montel Jackson

Drops Decision
Deiveson Figueiredo

Gets Split-Decision Victory
Vicente Luque

Outclassed
Vicente Luque

Joel Alvarez Outclasses Vicente Luque
Jhonata Diniz

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Mario Pinto

Remains Undefeated
CFB

Matt Rhule Denying Interest in Penn State Head Coaching Job
CFB

Le'Veon Moss Not Believed to Have Suffered Season-Ending Injury
Ricardo Ramos

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Kaan Ofli

Scores Comeback Win
CFB

Bill Belichick Says he's Committed to North Carolina
Tiger Woods

Undergoes Back Surgery
CFB

UAB Fires Head Coach Trent Dilfer After 2.5 Seasons In Birmingham
CFB

Penn State Fires Head Coach James Franklin After 10.5 Seasons
CFB

Penn State QB Drew Allar Will Miss The Rest Of 2025 Season With Ankle Injury
Brandon Woodruff

Will Not be on NLCS Roster
Max Scherzer

Added to ALCS Roster
Bryan Woo

Makes ALCS Roster
Bo Bichette

Won't Make ALCS Roster
Christopher Bell

the Favorite to Win at Las Vegas
Denny Hamlin

on the Pole at Las Vegas
Joey Logano

Can Joey Logano Get Lucky in Las Vegas Again?
William Byron

has the Fastest Car in Practice at Las Vegas
Ty Gibbs

Speed of Ty Gibbs a Good Sign for Toyota at Las Vegas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Should Contend at Las Vegas
Ross Chastain

Scrapes Wall in Practice But Qualifies 15th at Las Vegas
Chris Buescher

Looking for Improvement at Las Vegas
Austin Cindric

It Has Been Hit or Miss for Austin Cindric at Las Vegas
Chase Elliott

Should Run Well at Las Vegas
Kyle Larson

Conservatism May Keep him from Replicating Previous Las Vegas Drive
Josh Berry

After Josh Berry's Las Vegas Win, Ryan Blaney Should be a Top Contender
Chase Briscoe

has Definitely Improved on Intermediate Tracks
Gleyber Torres

Will Undergo Surgery to Repair Sports Hernia
Bryan Woo

Expected to be on Mariners' ALCS Roster
CFB

CJ Baxter to Miss Saturday's Game Against No. 6 Oklahoma
CFB

Syracuse QB Steve Angeli Will Miss Significant Time
Cody Bellinger

Plans to Opt Out of Contract
MLB

Munetaka Murakami Will be Posted This Winter

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP