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Week 5 Underdog NFL DFS prop picks for Monday, October 9, 2023 by Josh Costello. Use his NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Underdog.
Happy Monday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the game on Monday, October 9, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Monday
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Jimmy Garoppolo, 32.5 Passing Attempts (LOWER)
Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo faces the Green Bay Packers on Monday. The Raiders are two-point home favorites for the Monday night contest. The Raiders quarterback has played three games this season and eclipsed 32 passing attempts once. Even in a game against the Buffalo Bills, where the Raiders lost by 28 points, Garoppolo threw the ball 24 times. The Raiders will likely lean on Josh Jacobs in a matchup with mostly positive to neutral game script.
Aaron Jones, 16.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones faces the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday. The Raiders are middle of the pack in most run defense metrics, so Jones could have a decent game on the ground, but he may not find success through the air. The main issue is Jordan Love's passing tendencies. Of Love's 132 pass attempts, only 17 targets have gone toward running backs. Unless the Packers call a few designed plays for Jones, he may struggle to reach 17 receiving yards in this contest.
Josh Jacobs, 72.5 Rushing Yards (LOWER)
Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs faces the Green Bay Packers on Monday. The Packers are coming off a game against the Detroit Lions where David Montgomery gashed them for 121 rushing yards. Jacobs has been inefficient as a runner, and the Raiders offensive line is much worse than the Lions O-line, so it's not fair to assume that Jacobs will replicate that performance. Most of Jacobs' production has come in the receiving game, and he could have more yards through the air again.
Jordan Love, 0.5 Total Yards (HIGHER)
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love gets the freebie pick for Monday Night Football with a line of 0.5 total yards. You can add this pick to your slips for a free win.
Christian Watson, 3.5 Receptions (HIGHER)
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson faces the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday. Last week, Watson returned from a hamstring injury and played on 45% of the Packers' offensive snaps. While on the field, Watson caught two passes on four targets for 25 yards and a touchdown. Being another week removed from injury, Watson should see more snaps and earn more opportunities. The Raiders are a relatively easy matchup for receivers, and Watson should catch at least four passes.
Davante Adams, 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs (HIGHER)
Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams faces his former team, the Green Bay Packers, on Monday. The Packers' defense should be getting healthier with the expected return of Jaire Alexander, but that is not enough to scare me away from Adams. For most players, touchdown scoring fluctuates yearly, but for Adams, scoring is simply a part of his game. Adams has led the league in receiving touchdowns in two of the past three years, and I expect him to score against his former team on Monday night.
Adams has been dealing with a shoulder injury and missed practice on Thursday and Friday. The veteran receiver practiced on Saturday and has been listed as questionable ahead of the game. As of Sunday night, Adams is expected to play and should score if he is active.
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