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Week 17 Underdog NFL DFS prop picks for Sunday, December 31, 2023 by Josh Costello. Use his NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Underdog.
Happy Holidays, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the early games on Sunday, December 31, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks -- whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people -- you're just playing against the projections.
Announcement: We have two awesome new Props Optimizers for the MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, and NCAA! The PrizePicks Optimizer and Prop Bets Optimizer are both available in our new Props Premium Package, which includes exclusive access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord chat rooms for props and betting.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Sunday, December 31
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
C.J. Beathard, 225.5 Passing Yards (LOWER)
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback C.J. Beathard will be the starter this week, with Trevor Lawrence ruled out with a shoulder injury. Beathard will make his start against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers have allowed the fewest passing yards this season because of their inability to stop the run and score on offense. The Panthers have the second-worst PFF grade for tackling and have allowed the most rushing touchdowns this season. The Jaguars may choose to run early and often.
DJ Moore, 65.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore faces the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. The Falcons allow the second-fewest receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season. This stat is likely due to their style of play under head coach Arthur Smith. Smith's ground-and-pound approach serves to eat up time of possession and limit the stress put on his defense. The Falcons are not dominant in coverage, but they limit overall opportunities, which could make it difficult for Moore to reach 66 receiving yards.
Dalton Kincaid, 24.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Buffalo Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid faces the New England Patriots on Sunday. Since Dawson Knox returned and Joe Brady took over play-calling duties, Kincaid's role in the offense has diminished significantly. Kincaid has one catch for seven yards in his last two games on four targets. The Bills tight end will also have to take on the Patriots, who allow the second-fewest receiving yards per game to tight ends. A tough matchup and diminished role make it hard to trust Kincaid's ability to reach 25 receiving yards.
C.J. Stroud, 259.5 Passing Yards (HIGHER)
Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud faces the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. The Titans have allowed the 13th-most passing yards but the sixth-highest completion percentage this season. The Titans also have the fifth-worst PFF grade for defensive coverage against receivers. Before his concussion, Stroud had passed for over 260 yards eight times in 13 games. Returning from a concussion with a healthy receiving core, minus Tank Dell, and Stroud is set up for success this week.
Zamir White, 70.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Las Vegas Raiders running back Zamir White will likely step into the starting role again, with Josh Jacobs officially listed as doubtful for this week's matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. White has performed well with the opportunities he's been given, rushing for over 140 yards last week against the Kansas City Chiefs. The matchup will be much easier this week against the Colts, who give up the fourth-most rushing yards per game to running backs. White should excel again in this contest.
James Cook, 21.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Buffalo Bills running back James Cook faces the New England Patriots on Sunday. Since Joe Brady took over offensive play-calling duties, Cook has been much more involved in the Bills offense, especially in the passing game. Pair that increased usage with the fact that the Patriots allow the seventh-most receiving yards per game to running backs, and Cook seems to be in an advantageous position.
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