X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Titans vs Packers TNF Showdown

Derrick Henry - Fantasy Football Rankings NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

John's top NFL DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Titans vs Packers showdown slate on 11/17. His Thursday Night Football daily fantasy football advice.

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We're back at it again with some Week 11 Thursday Night Football DFS lineups. We had an interesting one as the Panthers and Falcons squared off last week, and tonight it appears that we'll have a run-heavy matchup as the Tennessee Titans (6-3) head up to Lambeau to take on the Green Bay Packers (4-6). We'll take a look and see how these teams match up and see how it affects our DFS lineups. Let's get to it!

We've been pretty successful so far with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues throughout this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around once again. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it.

I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Titans vs. Packers NFL DFS showdown slate on November 17th. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 30% off using code WIN! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

MVP/Captain Plays

Aaron Rodgers - QB, $15,600 (DK), $15,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 2,315 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, seven interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: 11.2% (15th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 1.6% (13th), per Football Outsiders.

I'll start off tonight's slate with Aaron Rodgers. With this game likely to be a low-scoring defensive battle, with both teams looking to use the run and short passing game to their advantage, I'm afraid my lineups are going to be pretty straightforward, with nothing quite "off the wall". So I'll start with Rodgers, and although he hasn't had his best of seasons to date, he seemed to pick it up a bit last Sunday against Dallas. Tonight, I have Rodgers projected for 283.48 passing yards, 1.56 passing touchdowns, and 0.57 interceptions. Should the Packers get in a goal-line situation, though, I won't be shocked to see a vintage Rodgers roll out and see him jog into the endzone untouched.

Derrick Henry - RB, $17,400 (DK), $17,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 202 attempts, 923 rushing yards, 21 targets, 16 receptions, 154 receiving yards, nine touchdowns.
  • 2022 Offensive Rush DVOA: -1.1% (16th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Defense Rush DVOA: 8.4% (30th), per Football Outsiders

On the other side of the field, we have the most obvious, expensive, and likely owned option on the slate. "King Henry" or as I like to call him, "Tractorcito", is proving once again that he's among the league's best rushers and one of the best running backs we've ever seen. There's obviously a strong rushing funnel here given Green Bay's porous rushing defense. My model projects Henry for 117.95 rushing yards on 26.01 attempts, with a 77% chance of finding the end zone.

Other Captains/MVPs: Christian Watson, Ryan Tannehill, Aaron Jones

 

Want more NFL DFS tools and content? Our NFL Premium package includes our DFS Cheat Sheets, Research Station, Lineup Optimizer, access to our Premium Discord Chatrooms where members can chat with our NFL analysts, and so much more. Check out this big win from RotoBaller's RealTalkRaph using our Premium tools - join in on the winning!

 

DFS Flex Plays

Ryan Tannehill - QB, $9,600 (DK), $14,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 1,352 passing yards, eight touchdowns, three interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: 6.3% (17th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: -7.4% (8th), per Football Outsiders

Likely handing the ball off to Henry, of course, will be Ryan Tannehill. Tannehill had a solid showing last Sunday after missing two weeks of action, completing 19 of his 36 passes for 255 yards and two touchdowns. While I think that Tennessee will be running the ball quite a bit in this one, I think there is a course to play Tannehill as well. Green Bay looked good against Dallas on Sunday, and should they end up scoring some points, it'll be up to Tannehill to keep Tennessee in the game. His projections aren't fantastic, as my model has him throwing for 178.51 passing yards, 1.25 touchdowns, and 0.7 interceptions. I will play him in somewhere between 40 and 50% of my lineups tonight.

Aaron Jones - RB, $11,200 (DK), $14,500 (FD)

Key Stats 

  • 2022 Stats: 131 attempts, 738 rushing yards, 42 targets, 34 receptions, 228 receiving yards, five touchdowns.
  • 2022 Offensive Rush DVOA: 6.3% (6th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Rush DVOA: -27.9% (1st), per Football Outsiders.

On paper, the matchup for Aaron Jones isn't great, despite the Packers coming into this one ranking sixth in rushing DVOA on the season. This doesn't bode great for the Packers running backs, but I believe it affects AJ Dillon more than it affects Aaron Jones. I'm not playing Jones because I think he'll run for 100 yards and score two touchdowns. The Titans have a projected 27% pressure rate in this one and I think that will correlate to short passes to Jones, as my model projects for Jones to log four receptions on five targets out of the backfield, providing a solid floor for single-entry lineups.

Other Flex Options: Allen Lazard, Robert Woods

 

DFS Value Plays

Sammy Watkins - WR, $4,800 (DK), $7,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 20 targets, 13 receptions, 206 receiving yards
  • Individual Matchup (vs Terrance Mitchell): 19% targets per route, 62% catch rate, 0.35 fantasy points per route, per PFF.

Speaking of targets, seeing a nice target uptick over the last two weeks has been Sammy Watkins. While this is relative, of course, as it was only eight targets, I do think this is a solid outlook considering Watkins's cheap price on both sites. My model projects the Packers to have a 17.77% DVOA passing to "other" wide receivers in this game, and Watkins draws a strong matchup against Terrance Mitchell. My model projects Watkins to catch 2.73 of his 4.43 targets tonight for 34.53 receiving yards and an 18% chance of hauling in his first touchdown reception of the season.

Green Bay Packers - D/ST, $3,800 (DK), $9,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 21 points per game allowed, 19 sacks, seven interceptions, three fumble recoveries, one defensive touchdown.
  • Projected Weighted DVOA: -5.22%

Last but not least, I'll write up the Green Bay defense. Could the Titans explode, where both Derrick Henry and Ryan Tannehill both playing at the top of their games at Lambeau on a short week? Sure. Do I find it likely? No. Should Green Bay get a lead and force Tennesee to throw the ball, I do see considerable value here in the Packers' defense which has hauled in five interceptions across the last three weeks.

Other Value Plays: Josh Lambo, Mason Crosby, Titans D/ST, Chig Okonkwo

Enjoy your night and good luck everyone! 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brock Bowers

Pete Carroll Classifies Brock Bowers Among His Best Players Ever
De'Von Achane

Lingering Calf Injury Poses Concerns for De'Von Achane
Adam Thielen

Vikings and Panthers Struggling to Finalize Adam Thielen Trade
Malik Monk

Kings "Not Actively Engaged" in Trade Discussions Involving Malik Monk
P.J. Washington

Mavs Likely to Offer P.J. Washington a Contract Extension
Kenny Pickett

Raiders Acquire Kenny Pickett From Browns
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Give Trey Hendrickson a Raise
Amari Cooper

Signs One-Year Deal With Raiders
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Back in Toronto's Lineup
Joe Mixon

to Start Season on Non-Football Injury List
Jaylen Wright

Not Expected to Play in Week 1
Jakobi Meyers

Requests Trade
Jauan Jennings

Not Practicing on Monday, has Avoided IR for Now
Matthew Stafford

Taking 11-On-11 Reps on Monday
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Aljamain Sterling

Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Chris Sale

Penciled in to Start on Saturday
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Wins Decision At UFC Shanghai
Terry McLaurin

Signs Three-Year Extension with Commanders
Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Still Winless In The UFC
Taiyilake Nueraji

Gets His First UFC Win
Ryan Blaney

Earns his Second Daytona Cup Series Win
Tyler Reddick

Locks Into the 2025 Playoffs Despite Underwhelming Daytona Performance
Erik Jones

Misses the 2025 Playoffs Despite Top-Five Run at Daytona
Justin Haley

Best Performance of 2025 Falls Short of Victory at Daytona
Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame-Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Logan Gilbert

Punches Out 13 in Victory
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Battling Arm Soreness
Marcus Semien

Out 4-6 Weeks, Could Miss Rest of Season
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 11 in Win
Cal Raleigh

Sets Catcher Home Run Record
Yordan Alvarez

Likely to Return on Tuesday
Jacob deGrom

to Start on Monday
Kyle Tucker

Homers Twice in Win
Chris Sale

Likely to Return Next Weekend
Brian Robinson Jr.

to be RB2
Najee Harris

to be Ready Week 1?
De'Von Achane

Making Good Progress
Jaylen Wright

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Marcus Semien

Placed on Injured List
Jackson Merrill

Heads to 10-Day Injured List
Jordan Love

Says He'll Play in Week 1
Brice Turang

Absent on Saturday, "Touch-and-Go" With Wrist Injury
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Lamar Jackson

Should Practice on Monday
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Matt Chapman

Activated and Starting on Saturday
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
Zack Wheeler

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Yoán Moncada

Yoan Moncada Hits a Pair of Home Runs on Friday
Willy Adames

Belts Two Solo Home Runs on Friday
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
Matthew Tkachuk

Recovering From Surgery
Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
Bubba Chandler

Records Four-Inning Save in Debut
Walker Buehler

Officially Moving to Bullpen
NBA

Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Brian Robinson Jr.

Traded to 49ers
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Shanghai Main Event
Johnny Walker

In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

Set For UFC Shanghai Co-Main Event
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Shanghai
Kevin Borjas

Set for UFC Shanghai Main-Card Bout
Sumudaerji

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Set To Open Up UFC Shanghai Main Card
Taiyilake Nueraji

Set For His UFC Debut
Connor Ingram

Clears Player Assistance Program
Frank Nazar

Inks Seven-Year Extension With Blackhawks
COL

Victor Olofsson Signs One-Year Deal With Avalanche
Tee Higgins

has Injury Scare on Thursday
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parsons Expected to Play in Week 1
Dru Smith

Aims to Be Healthy for Training Camp
Jayson Tatum

Provides Injury Update
RJ Barrett

Considered a Trade Candidate
Golden State Warriors

Warriors "Remain Very Confident" About Signing Al Horford
Jahmir Young

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Tour Championship
Corey Conners

Looking to Reverse Struggles at East Lake
Cameron Young

Stays Hot Ahead of Tour Championship
Harris English

Aims for Complete Game at East Lake
Sepp Straka

Back in Action at East Lake
Ben Griffin

a Strong Value Play at East Lake
Rory McIlroy

Chasing Another Win at East Lake
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for 30th at BMW Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Seventh at BMW Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Keegan Bradley

Finishes Tied for 17th at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Second at BMW Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 23rd at BMW Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Wins BMW Championship
Harry Hall

Hot at the Right Time for Tour Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound at Tour Championship
Jacob Bridgeman

has One Weakness Heading to Atlanta
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Not Expecting to Be Moved Before the Season
Nick Taylor

a Long Shot to Win Tour Championship
Josh Giddey

Bulls Not Interested in Sign-and-Trade Deal Involving Josh Giddey
Brian Harman

Trying to Crack Top 20 at Tour Championship
Andrew Novak

Attempts to Bounce Back in Atlanta
Oscar Tshiebwe

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Justin Rose

Seeks Even More Success at Tour Championship
Washington Wizards

Alondes Williams Joins Wizards for Training Camp
Washington Wizards

Wizards Add Skal Labissiere for Training Camp