X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Raiders vs Chiefs MNF Showdown

Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

John's top NFL DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Raiders vs Chiefs showdown slate on 10/10. His Monday Night Football daily fantasy football advice.

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! I hope your Week 5 has been successful so far. I had a great day yesterday, cashing out on three of the four slates, and missing out on last night's showdown. Last night was a fun defensive battle that featured some drama towards the end of the game, and it appears we have another fun divisional game tonight as the Las Vegas Raiders head into Kansas City to take on the Chiefs.

We were pretty successful so far with these showdown slates and hopefully, that trend continues from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around and it's always a shame for it to come to an end. Thanks to the advanced analytics of today, I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups and the like to help put some lunch money in your pocket. Let's make some coin this season gang, and let's get right to it. 

I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Raiders vs Chiefs NFL DFS showdown slate on October 10th. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, you can follow me on Twitter @LucidMediaDFS and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts at any time you'd like!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

MVP/Captain Plays

Patrick Mahomes - QB, $18,000 (DK), $17,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 1,106 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, two interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: 35% (7th), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 16.4% (22nd), per Football Outsiders.

I'll start tonight's slate off with Patrick Mahomes, and for good reason. For one, the Chiefs are showing a strong passing funnel, according to their DVOA tonight. Secondly, Mahomes has some darn good stats against the Raiders. In eight games, Mahomes has tossed for 2,546 yards, 22 touchdowns, and just three interceptions. This includes a 406 passing yards and five touchdown game against Las Vegas last season. I'll look for Mahomes to build off his terrific performance against the Buccaneers last week.

Davante Adams - WR, $17,100 (DK), $14,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 47 targets, 26 receptions, 290 receiving yards, three touchdowns.
  • Individual Matchup (vs L'Jarius Sneed): 16% targets per route, 78% catch rate, 0.32 fantasy points per route covered.

I normally wouldn't like to mention the two most expensive players on the slate (at least on DraftKings) as my top two 1.5x spot options, but I think it is warranted tonight. While I could just as easily put Travis Kelce here, and I will have a solid amount of shares of Kelce at the 1.5x spot, I slightly lean toward Adams. Adams has a great matchup against L'Jarius Sneed and should continue to be the target monster that he always has been. While his numbers have certainly dipped since joining the Raiders, I expect a breakout game tonight as Vegas looks to keep it close.

Other Captains/MVPs: Travis Kelce, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Josh Jacobs

 

Want more NFL DFS tools and content? Our NFL Premium package includes our DFS Cheat Sheets, Research Station, Lineup Optimizer, access to our Premium Slack Chatrooms where members can chat with our NFL analysts, and so much more. Check out this big win from RotoBaller's RealTalkRaph using our Premium tools - join in on the winning!

 

DFS Flex Plays

Derek Carr - QB, $10,200 (DK), $15,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 1,038 passing yards, six touchdowns, four interceptions.
  • 2022 Offensive Pass DVOA: 1% (21st), per Football Outsiders.
  • 2022 Opposing Defense Pass DVOA: 13.5% (21st), per Football Outsiders.

Throwing Adams the ball will be Derek Carr. Now Carr hasn't had a great season by any stretch of the imagination, but he always seems to pull a rabbit out of his hat, particularly in divisional games. In two matchups against the Chiefs last season, Carr threw for 524 passing yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. While those numbers aren't good enough for me to be willing to put him in the 1.5x spot, I have no problem correlating him with a 1.5x Davante Adams or simply as a run-back option against a Mahomes/Kelce line.

Travis Kelce - TE, $10,800 (DK), $13,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 34 targets, 26 receptions, 322 receiving yards, three touchdowns.
  • Individual Matchup (vs Denzel Perryman): 14% targets per route, 100% catch rate, 0.24 fantasy points per route covered.

It's never optimal when three of my favorite roster options are three of the most expensive players on the slate, but when it's a showdown and the Chiefs are playing, it always seems to be the case. Kelce has a phenomenal matchup tonight against Denzel Perryman and the Raiders' defense and projects to a 28.05% DVOA. While he had a relatively slow game against them in their last matchup of 2021, I think we'll see shades of their first matchup where Kelce caught eight of ten targets for 119 yards.

Other Flex Options: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, JuJu Smith-Schuster

 

DFS Value Plays

Mecole Hardman - WR, $4,600 (DK), $7,500 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 12 targets, eight receptions, 71 receiving yards, one touchdown.
  • Individual Matchup (vs Amik Robertson): 13% targets per route, 83% catch rate, 0.39 fantasy points per route covered.

I'm not mentioning Hardman here just because he was, as the kids would say, a "menace" on Twitter this past week, but rather since he's got a phenomenal matchup tonight. While Hardman will have to earn his targets tonight, he's always a threat to break out over the top for big gains. I think that will be the case tonight, and the Chiefs' "other" receivers have a projected DVOA of 70.95%. I love Hardman as a safer value play tonight and Justin Watson as a dart throw, as I think one of them catches a long touchdown.

Daniel Carlson - K, $3,800 (DK), $9,000 (FD)

Key Stats

  • 2022 Stats: 12/12 field goals made/attempted, 6/7 extra points made/attempted.

After Justin Tucker's near-perfect game-winning field goal last night, a friend of mine and I were talking about some of the best kickers in football. While I believe that Tucker sits on the throne as the best kicker in the sport, Carlson seems to be next in line. My friend, a Raiders fan, mentioned how Carlson has "kept the Raiders afloat" over the last few seasons. He's been perfect in terms of field goals this season and should see multiple opportunities if the Kansas City defense hunkers down and causes the Raiders to stall out a few times.

Other Value Plays: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jerick McKinnon, Brandon Bolden, Justin Watson

Enjoy your week and good luck everyone!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Cleared to Play on Tuesday Night
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Pulled With Hamstring Tightness
MLB

Game 2 of Brewers-Cubs on Monday Postponed
Bryce Miller

to be Activated on Tuesday
Kyle Tucker

to Get Multiple Days Off
Shane Bieber

to Make Season Debut on Friday
Joe Mixon

Could Start Season on NFI List
Zack Wheeler

has Surgery to Remove Blood Clot
De'Von Achane

Unlikely to Practice This Week
Justin Jefferson

Returning to Practice
Chris Godwin

Bucs Chris Godwin Likely to Start Season on PUP List
Joe Flacco

Browns Name Joe Flacco as Their Week 1 Starter
Jalen McDaniels

Inks Deal With New Orleans
N'Faly Dante

Signs Deal With Hawks
Matthew Stafford

Practicing on Monday
Dru Smith

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Austin Dillon

Scores an Upset Victory at Richmond
William Byron

Clinches the Regular Season Championship Title at Richmond
Denny Hamlin

Pit-Road Struggles Impede Denny Hamlin's Chances of a Top Finish at Richmond
Joey Logano

Earns A Fourth-Place Finish at Richmond
Kyle Larson

Rallies to A Top-10 Finish at Richmond
Malik Nabers

Dealing With Back Injury
Khamzat Chimaev

Is The New UFC Middleweight Champion
Dricus Du Plessis

Gets Dominated At UFC 319
Aaron Pico

Suffers Knockout Loss In His UFC Debut
Lerone Murphy

Scores Stunning First-Round Knockout
Leodalis De Vries

Earns Promotion to Double-A
Nathaniel Lowe

Finalizing Deal with Boston
Geoff Neal

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Ketel Marte

Arizona Could Trade Ketel Marte in the Offseason
Carlos Prates

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Page

Dominates At UFC 319
Jared Cannonier

Gets Outclassed
Tim Elliott

Gets Submission Win
Kai Asakura

Still Winless In The UFC
Austin Cindric

has Arguably his Best Run of the Season at Richmond
Ryan Blaney

Contends for First Richmond Win but Comes Up Short
Alex Bowman

Finishes Second but Loses Ground in Playoffs
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Sets Personal Laps-Led Record at Richmond
Chris Buescher

Falls Out of Playoffs After Miserable Richmond Run
Coby White

Bulls Not Interested in Trading Coby White
Dereck Lively II

Expected to be Ready for Camp
Brian Robinson Jr.

Commanders "Shopping" Brian Robinson Jr.
John Metchie III

Texans Trade John Metchie III to Eagles
Victor Scott II

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Listening to Trade Offers for Trey Hendrickson
Marcelo Mayer

to Have Season-Ending Wrist Surgery
Samuel Basallo

Called Up From Triple-A Norfolk
J.K. Dobbins

Expected to Win Starting RB Job?
Quentin Johnston

Suffers Concussion in Preseason Loss
Jaxson Dart

Plays Well on Saturday Night
Marcus Semien

Avoids Serious Injury
Kyle Stowers

Heads to Injured List With Left-Side Strain
Zack Wheeler

Placed on Injured List With Blood Clot in Shoulder
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Optimistic Terry McLaurin Deal Can Get Done Soon
De'Von Achane

De’Von Achane Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Likely Avoids Serious Injury
Josh Hader

Unlikely to Return During Regular Season
Denny Hamlin

the Heavy Favorite to Win at Richmond
Christopher Bell

Has Been Great at Richmond
Kyle Stowers

Out Saturday With Left-Side Tightness
Tyrese Haliburton

No Longer Using a Scooter, Crutches
Ryan Blaney

Can Ryan Blaney Finally Break Through at Richmond?
Joey Logano

Will Start Last at Richmond After Practice Trouble
Chase Elliott

Lack of Top-Line Speed Hurts his DFS Potential
Kyle Larson

Recent String of Crashes Make Him a Big Risk at Richmond
William Byron

Probably Slightly Too Inconsistent at Richmond to Start for DFS
Ryan Preece

on Pole at Richmond as Playoff Deadline Looms Closer
Brad Keselowski

Probably the Best RFK Racing DFS Option at Richmond
Chase Briscoe

Still Figuring Out Richmond
Chris Buescher

a Solid Choice for DFS Play, but Teammates Look Faster
Jhoan Duran

Feels "100%"
Marcus Semien

Out on Saturday, Going for X-Rays on his Wrist
George Springer

Activated and Starting on Saturday
Dylan Beavers

Called Up by Orioles
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Activate Terry McLaurin From PUP List
Rashee Rice

NFL Could Reach Settlement Before Hearing
Joe Mixon

Not a Lock to be Ready For Week 1
Rashee Rice

Receives Clearance to Travel to Brazil for Week 1
Haywood Highsmith

Dealt to Brooklyn on Friday
Amir Coffey

Signs One-Year Deal With Bucks
Khamzat Chimaev

A Favorite At UFC 319
Dricus Du Plessis

Set For His Third Title Defense
Aaron Pico

Set For UFC Debut
Lerone Murphy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Geoff Neal

Looks For His Second Win In A Row
Travis Hunter

Dealing With Upper-Body Injury, Could be Held Out of Preseason Game
Michael Page

Set For His Second Middleweight Bout
Jared Cannonier

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kai Asakura

Looks For His First UFC Win
Tim Elliott

Set To Open Up UFC 309 Main Card
CBJ

Mikael Pyyhtia Re-Signs With Blue Jackets for One Year
UTA

Caleb Desnoyers Expected to Miss 12 Weeks After Wrist Procedure
Tyson Foerster

on Track to Be Healthy for Season Opener
NHL

Olivier Rodrigue Signs KHL Deal
NHL

Emil Bemstrom to Join Swiss Team
Payton Pritchard

Reportedly Moving Into Starting Lineup
Quinshon Judkins

Won't Face Formal Charges
Kevin Durant

Rockets Not Interested in Keeping Kevin Durant with Max Extension
NBA

Isaiah Mobley Joins Turkish Team
NBA

Cole Swider Links Up with EuroLeague Powerhouse
Ethan Thompson

Joins Heat for Training Camp
Los Angeles Clippers

Clippers Add Jason Preston for Training Camp
Akshay Bhatia

a High-Upside Play at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

a Safe Play at BMW Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im a Risky Play at BMW Championship
Xander Schauffele

Chases Big Week at BMW Championship
Shane Lowry

Aims to Rebound at BMW Championship
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Build Momentum at BMW Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Looking to Rebound at BMW Championship
Patrick Cantlay

Eyeing Another BMW Championship Victory
Neemias Queta

Wants to Raise His Free-Throw Attempts
Anfernee Simons

Celtics Stuggling to Trade Anfernee Simons
Cole Anthony

Focuses on Winning with Bucks
NBA

Jesse Edwards Moves to Australia
Kessler Edwards

Joins Nuggets