👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Outfield Sleepers For 2016: AL Edition

Like many fantasy writers, I've expressed reservations about what the term "sleeper" even means anymore. So let's quantify it for purposes of this article.

Any player outside the top 100 who has potential to turn a significant profit relative to their ADP qualifies. All ADP figures are courtesy of FantasyPros.

Today we'll cover potential outfield bargains in the AL, and tomorrow we'll look at the Senior Circuit. Be sure to also check out more of our draft sleeper articles, which will continue to roll in until the season starts.

 

American League Outfield Sleepers

Adam Eaton - OF, CHW

ADP: 112

For your consideration:

Player ADP BA R RBI HR SB
Adam Eaton 112 0.287 98 56 14 18
Mookie Betts 20 0.291 92 77 18 21

 
The point here isn't that Eaton is Betts' equal. When you factor in things like age, injury history, and even team context, it's obvious why fantasy owners are betting big (sorry) on Mookie and letting Eaton fall into the middle rounds. But...well, those numbers are fairly similar. Similar enough that Eaton is arguably a better investment from a pure profit perspective.

Maybe you don't buy the power, given that Eaton hit only six homers in his first 928 MLB plate appearances. But just three of those 14 bombs were classified as "Just Enough" by HitTracker. While you're at it, take a look at the batted ball distance leaderboards over at Baseball Heat Maps and you'll see that Eaton and Betts had essentially identical marks. After his scorching second half (.904 OPS, eight homers, 13 steals), it's surprising that Eaton isn't getting more attention in early drafts.

 

Josh Reddick - OF, OAK

ADP: 207

Did you know that over the last four seasons, Josh Reddick is 24th among all outfielders in home runs? He's got more than Matt Holliday, Shin-Soo Choo, and Alex Gordon among others. Back in 2012, he hit 32 homers, stole 11 bases, and totaled 170 R+RBI. Last season, he went 20/10 with 144 R+RBI. Of course, the intervening years were injury-plagued and not very good, but Reddick obviously has the talent to be a fantasy asset.

What's interesting is that his strikeout rate has steadily decreased over that four-year span. In 2012, Reddick whiffed on 22.4% of his trips to the plate. Last season, exactly half that. The secret? He quit swinging so much, particularly early in the count and at pitches low and away. Pretty simple, huh? Assuming health - admittedly a tricky thing with him - Reddick offers pop and speed in the back half of the draft.

 

Steven Souza - OF, TB

ADP: 218

Had he not missed 50 games with finger and wrist injuries, Souza had a decent chance at a 20/20 season last year. Of course, that category juice also came saddled with a .225 average. Souza is a textbook three true outcomes hitter - he walked, struck out, or homered in just over 48 percent of his plate appearances as a rookie. Only nine players made less contact than Souza (minimum 400 PA). He obviously carries much more value in leagues that count OBP instead of AVG, but he's worth rostering even in standard leagues if you can absorb the latter. Power and speed combos aren't exactly easy to find after pick 200, after all. Particularly if you missed out on Reddick.

Steamer thinks Souza can cut down on the Ks. If he can do that and avoid the disabled list in 2016, he'll return a nice profit at his current price. Should you find yourself well-stocked with high-average hitters as the draft wears on, Souza would make a fine addition to your fake baseball team.

 

Delino DeShields - OF, TEX

ADP: 235

So DeShields is fast. Like, really fast. He isn't quite on Billy Hamilton's level - few mortals are - but like Hamilton, he has a 100 SB season on his minor league resume. And unlike Hamilton, he can actually hit a little. As a rookie, he posted a .261/.344/.374 line with 83 runs in 121 games. The OBP probably tipped you off as to his plate discipline; he maintained the double-digit walk rate he carried throughout his minor league career. He only stole 25 bases, true, but he was on a 50-steal pace before suffering a hamstring injury. 40-plus swipes are definitely on the table, along with 100 runs if he keeps his spot near the top of the Rangers lineup.

Stolen bases were more difficult to find on the waiver wire than usual last season. There's no guarantee that will continue, of course, but you might want to invest a little more in speed just in case. If you're going to do that though, why pay a premium for Hamilton, whose ADP is just inside the top 100? DeShields is barely a blip on the radar for most owners right now. Take advantage.

 

Aaron Hicks - OF, NYY

ADP: 289

Hicks was dealt from the Twins to the Yankees back in November. Though Hicks was a first round pick and a well-regarded prospect, he's 26 years old and hasn't amounted to much in the majors yet. He'll also start the year as New York's fourth outfielder. So why are we talking about him? Well, he managed to hit 11 homers and steal 13 bases in only 390 plate appearances last year, for one. He did that while shaving eight points off of his K% and maintaining a solid walk rate. Oh, and this all came against increased quality of competition. Now he's moving from Target Field to Yankee Stadium, which could give him a further boost in the power department.

As for his path to playing time? Jacoby Ellsbury has missed an average of 54 games per season this decade and turns 33 in September. Carlos Beltran will 39 in April and has missed his fair share of time over the last few seasons as well. He's also declined defensively, against lefties, and on the bases. Hicks happens to grade out well in all of those areas. Then consider Joe Girardi's affinity for playing matchups, and it's not hard at all to envision Hicks cobbling together enough plate appearances to be relevant in most formats. He likely won't even be drafted in most leagues.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jordan Walker

to Run More in 2026?
Mitch Spence

Royals Acquire Mitch Spence From A's
Tylor Megill

Moves to 60-Day Injured List
Christian Encarnacion-Strand

May Miss First Few Spring Games
Seth Lugo

Throws a Bullpen on Thursday
Keibert Ruiz

Cleared From Concussion Restrictions
Ryan Bliss

Back in Action at Spring Training
Lars Nootbaar

Will be Delayed in Reporting to Camp
Nabil Crismatt

to Have Elbow Surgery
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Working to Improve his Defense
Nathan Lukes

Davis Schneider Likely to Platoon in Left Field
Jordan Binnington

Records 26-Save Shutout Against Czechia
Connor McDavid

Ties Canadian Record With Three Assists in Olympic Debut
Addison Barger

Moving to Outfield Full Time?
Josh Morrissey

Hurt in Olympic Opener
Robert Williams III

Will Not Play Against Utah
Braxton Garrett

Reaches 95 MPH During Live BP
Deni Avdija

Sidelined vs. Jazz
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Multiple Weeks
Naji Marshall

Gets Upgraded to Probable
Ian Anderson

to Miss All of 2026 After Shoulder Surgery
Myles Turner

Will Not Play Thursday
Caleb Martin

is Downgraded to Doubtful
Gunnar Henderson

Leaves Camp Due to Personal Matter
Noelvi Marte

to Work in Center Field in Camp
New York Knicks

Jeremy Sochan Heading to New York
Sal Stewart

Drops Weight Heading into First Full MLB Season
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Eligible for 2026 Season
Kyle Kuzma

Cleared to Play Against Thunder
Ryan Rollins

Remains Sidelined Against Thunder
Keston Hiura

Dodgers Sign Keston Hiura to a Minor-League Deal
Shaedon Sharpe

Sidelined Against Utah
Nick Castellanos

Drawing "a Lot of Interest"
Hunter Dobbins

Not Running or Fielding Yet
Jeff Criswell

to Open 2026 Season on 60-Day Injured List
Scoot Henderson

Available Again on Thursday
Deandre Ayton

Ruled Out on Thursday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Resting on Thursday
Jalen Williams

Will Not Play Thursday Against the Bucks
Deni Avdija

Listed As Questionable on Thursday
Lauri Markkanen

Will Rest on Thursday Against Portland
Keyonte George

Will Not Play Thursday
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Will Likely Miss the Rest of the Season
CFB

BYU's Parker Kingston Charged with Felony Rape
Joel Embiid

to Be Re-Evaluated After All-Star Break
Caleb Martin

Iffy for Thursday's Game
Naji Marshall

Uncertain to Face Lakers
Cameron Young

Looking for Pebble Beach Success
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Turn Things Around at Pebble Beach
Collin Morikawa

Eyes Turnaround at Pebble Beach
Jake Knapp

Brings Hot Form to Pebble Beach
Nick Taylor

in Good Form Going into Pebble Beach Event
Viktor Hovland

Carrying Momentum Into Pebble Beach
Tommy Fleetwood

Set for 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Harris English

Looks to Build on Steady Form at Pebble Beach
Justin Rose

Tuned in for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Keegan Bradley

a Boom-or-Bust Play at Pebble Beach
Maverick McNealy

Playing Well with Pebble Beach Looming
Russell Henley

Carries Momentum to Pebble Beach
Shane Lowry

Makes 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Michael Kim

Putting Well with Pebble Beach on the Horizon
Billy Horschel

a Little Rattled After Consecutive Missed Cuts
Ben Griffin

Solid But Not Spectacular Early in 2026
Wyndham Clark

Has Question Marks Heading to Pebble Beach
Daniel Berger

Heating Up at the Right Time for Pebble Beach
Jordan Spieth

Looking For a Return to Form at Pebble Beach
Juuse Saros

Starting Wednesday
William Nylander

Iffy for Olympic Opener
Martin Necas

Ready for Thursday
Drake Maye

Says his Shoulder Injury was Significant
Xander Schauffele

Trying to Get the Motor Going at Pebble Beach
Hideki Matsuyama

Trying to Overcome Sunday Collapse
Kenneth Walker III

Runs Away With Super Bowl MVP Honors
Vinicius Oliveira

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Mario Bautista

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kyoji Horiguchi

Dominates At UFC Vegas 113
Amir Albazi

Gets Dominated At UFC Vegas 113
Rizvan Kuniev

Earns His First UFC Win
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 113
Marc-Andre Barriault

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Michal Oleksiejczuk

Gets His Third Win In A Row
Las Vegas Raiders

Klint Kubiak Confirms he Will be Next Raiders Head Coach
Jonas Rondbjerg

Out for Olympics
Brad Marchand

Good to Go for Olympic Opener
Gabriel Landeskog

Healthy for Olympics
Jack Hughes

Cleared for Olympics
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Returns to Super Bowl After Injury Scare
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Being Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
James Pearce Jr.

Arrested Following Police Chase
Quinn Hughes

Enters Olympics in Red-Hot Form
NHL

Juho Lammikko Returns to Switzerland
Pavel Zacha

Misses Olympics
Travis Kelce

Undecided on Playing Future, Leaning Towards Returning in 2026?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF