👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Outfield Sleepers For 2016: AL Edition

Like many fantasy writers, I've expressed reservations about what the term "sleeper" even means anymore. So let's quantify it for purposes of this article.

Any player outside the top 100 who has potential to turn a significant profit relative to their ADP qualifies. All ADP figures are courtesy of FantasyPros.

Today we'll cover potential outfield bargains in the AL, and tomorrow we'll look at the Senior Circuit. Be sure to also check out more of our draft sleeper articles, which will continue to roll in until the season starts.

 

American League Outfield Sleepers

Adam Eaton - OF, CHW

ADP: 112

For your consideration:

Player ADP BA R RBI HR SB
Adam Eaton 112 0.287 98 56 14 18
Mookie Betts 20 0.291 92 77 18 21

 
The point here isn't that Eaton is Betts' equal. When you factor in things like age, injury history, and even team context, it's obvious why fantasy owners are betting big (sorry) on Mookie and letting Eaton fall into the middle rounds. But...well, those numbers are fairly similar. Similar enough that Eaton is arguably a better investment from a pure profit perspective.

Maybe you don't buy the power, given that Eaton hit only six homers in his first 928 MLB plate appearances. But just three of those 14 bombs were classified as "Just Enough" by HitTracker. While you're at it, take a look at the batted ball distance leaderboards over at Baseball Heat Maps and you'll see that Eaton and Betts had essentially identical marks. After his scorching second half (.904 OPS, eight homers, 13 steals), it's surprising that Eaton isn't getting more attention in early drafts.

 

Josh Reddick - OF, OAK

ADP: 207

Did you know that over the last four seasons, Josh Reddick is 24th among all outfielders in home runs? He's got more than Matt Holliday, Shin-Soo Choo, and Alex Gordon among others. Back in 2012, he hit 32 homers, stole 11 bases, and totaled 170 R+RBI. Last season, he went 20/10 with 144 R+RBI. Of course, the intervening years were injury-plagued and not very good, but Reddick obviously has the talent to be a fantasy asset.

What's interesting is that his strikeout rate has steadily decreased over that four-year span. In 2012, Reddick whiffed on 22.4% of his trips to the plate. Last season, exactly half that. The secret? He quit swinging so much, particularly early in the count and at pitches low and away. Pretty simple, huh? Assuming health - admittedly a tricky thing with him - Reddick offers pop and speed in the back half of the draft.

 

Steven Souza - OF, TB

ADP: 218

Had he not missed 50 games with finger and wrist injuries, Souza had a decent chance at a 20/20 season last year. Of course, that category juice also came saddled with a .225 average. Souza is a textbook three true outcomes hitter - he walked, struck out, or homered in just over 48 percent of his plate appearances as a rookie. Only nine players made less contact than Souza (minimum 400 PA). He obviously carries much more value in leagues that count OBP instead of AVG, but he's worth rostering even in standard leagues if you can absorb the latter. Power and speed combos aren't exactly easy to find after pick 200, after all. Particularly if you missed out on Reddick.

Steamer thinks Souza can cut down on the Ks. If he can do that and avoid the disabled list in 2016, he'll return a nice profit at his current price. Should you find yourself well-stocked with high-average hitters as the draft wears on, Souza would make a fine addition to your fake baseball team.

 

Delino DeShields - OF, TEX

ADP: 235

So DeShields is fast. Like, really fast. He isn't quite on Billy Hamilton's level - few mortals are - but like Hamilton, he has a 100 SB season on his minor league resume. And unlike Hamilton, he can actually hit a little. As a rookie, he posted a .261/.344/.374 line with 83 runs in 121 games. The OBP probably tipped you off as to his plate discipline; he maintained the double-digit walk rate he carried throughout his minor league career. He only stole 25 bases, true, but he was on a 50-steal pace before suffering a hamstring injury. 40-plus swipes are definitely on the table, along with 100 runs if he keeps his spot near the top of the Rangers lineup.

Stolen bases were more difficult to find on the waiver wire than usual last season. There's no guarantee that will continue, of course, but you might want to invest a little more in speed just in case. If you're going to do that though, why pay a premium for Hamilton, whose ADP is just inside the top 100? DeShields is barely a blip on the radar for most owners right now. Take advantage.

 

Aaron Hicks - OF, NYY

ADP: 289

Hicks was dealt from the Twins to the Yankees back in November. Though Hicks was a first round pick and a well-regarded prospect, he's 26 years old and hasn't amounted to much in the majors yet. He'll also start the year as New York's fourth outfielder. So why are we talking about him? Well, he managed to hit 11 homers and steal 13 bases in only 390 plate appearances last year, for one. He did that while shaving eight points off of his K% and maintaining a solid walk rate. Oh, and this all came against increased quality of competition. Now he's moving from Target Field to Yankee Stadium, which could give him a further boost in the power department.

As for his path to playing time? Jacoby Ellsbury has missed an average of 54 games per season this decade and turns 33 in September. Carlos Beltran will 39 in April and has missed his fair share of time over the last few seasons as well. He's also declined defensively, against lefties, and on the bases. Hicks happens to grade out well in all of those areas. Then consider Joe Girardi's affinity for playing matchups, and it's not hard at all to envision Hicks cobbling together enough plate appearances to be relevant in most formats. He likely won't even be drafted in most leagues.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kevin Durant

a Game-Time Decision on Tuesday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Day-to-Day After Being Hit on the Hand on Monday
Mick Abel

Injury Described as "Not Too Serious"
Brendan Donovan

Mariners Place Brendan Donovan on Injured List With Groin Strain
NFL

Is Fernando Mendoza an Undisputed First-Round Pick in Rookie Drafts?
NFL

Omar Cooper Jr. a Top-Five Rookie Receiver in Fantasy Football?
Joel Embiid

is Officially Ruled Out for Game 2
Sonny Gray

Heading to the Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Victor Wembanyama

Wins Defensive Player of the Year
Puka Nacua

Present for Rams First Day of Offseason Program
Odell Beckham Jr.

Works Out for Giants on Monday
OG Anunoby

is Available to Play for Monday's Game 2
Onyeka Okongwu

is Cleared to Play During Game 2 on Monday
Brandon Aubrey

Cowboys Make Brandon Aubrey the Highest-Paid Kicker in the League
Immanuel Quickley

is Ruled Out for Game 2
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Expected to Miss Around Three Months
Edwin Uceta

Shut Down for 2-3 Weeks; Is he Still Stash-Worthy?
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Doubtful for Game 2
Brad Keller

Will "Probably" Earn First Save Situation in Modified Phillies Bullpen
Roope Hintz

to Miss at Least Two More Games
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Placed on 15-Day Injured List with Elbow Injury
Ross Johnston

Won't Play in Game 1 Against Oilers
Artem Zub

Considered a Game-Time Decision Monday
Tyler Kleven

Remains Out Monday
Jason Dickinson

a Game-Time Call Monday
Leon Draisaitl

Expected to Return Monday
Tyler Reddick

Earns His Fifth Win of the 2026 Season at Kansas
Kyle Larson

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Kansas
Chase Briscoe

Rallies for A New Career-Best Finish at Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Leads the Most Laps at Kansas but Misses Out on Victory
Christopher Bell

Falls Out of Contention for Kansas Victory on Final Restart
NFL

K.C. Concepcion a Top-Five Rookie Wideout for Dynasty Managers?
NFL

Eli Stowers Offers Long-Term Dynasty Upside
Mike Malott

Scores Third-Round TKO Win
Sonny Gray

Leaves Monday's Start Early With Hamstring Tightness
Alec Pierce

Expected to Be Ready for Training Camp After Ankle Surgery
Gilbert Burns

Retires After UFC Winnipeg Loss
NFL

Jordyn Tyson Rising Up Rookie Draft Boards
Charles Jourdain

Extends Winning Streak
Mick Abel

Twins Placing Mick Abel on Injured List With Elbow Inflammation
Kayshon Boutte

Emerging as a Trade Candidate
Kyler Phillips

Drops Decision At UFC Winnipeg
NFL

Kenyon Sadiq Profiles as a High-Upside Dynasty Tight End
Mandel Nallo

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss In His UFC Debut
Jai Herbert

Scores First-Round TKO Win
Karine Silva

Gets Dominated at UFC Winnipeg
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Dominates Karine Silva
NFL

Carnell Tate Likely the Safest Rookie Receiver in This Year's Class
Trent Williams

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with 49ers
NFL

Where Does Denzel Boston Slot into Rookie Drafts?
Arizona Cardinals

Jeremiyah Love in Play for Cardinals at Third Overall
Aaron Rodgers

' Decision Not Expected Before NFL Draft
A.J. Brown

to the Patriots Considered Likely
Deni Avdija

Posts 30-Point Double-Double in Loss
Paolo Banchero

Leads Magic in Game 1 Win
Jalen Duren

Posts Quiet Line in Series Opener
Cade Cunningham

Erupts for 39 Points in Playoff Opener
Logan Cooley

Scores Mammoth's First-Ever Playoff Goal
David Pastrnak

Finishes Game 1 Loss With Three Points
Jalen Williams

Posts All-Around Line in Game 1
Tage Thompson

Bags Three Points in Postseason Debut
Devin Booker

Delivers in Tough Game 1 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Drops 35 Points in Playoff Debut
Jake Guentzel

Records Three Assists Sunday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Nets Unique Hat Trick in Playoff Opener
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Hurt in Game 1 Loss
Leon Draisaitl

Could Be Ready for Game 1 Against Ducks
Corbin Carroll

Expected Back Tuesday; Injury Concern Appears Minor
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Posts 25 Points in Series Opener
Paul George

Delivers 17 Points Against Boston
Tyrese Maxey

Leads 76ers in Game 1 Defeat
Jaylen Brown

Scores 26 Points in Game 1 Victory
Jayson Tatum

Posts Double-Double in Game 1 Win
Peyton Watson

Still Sidelined for Game 2
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Dynasty Value at All-Time Low
NFL

David Bailey Visits Several Teams Leading Up to the NFL Draft
Anthony Edwards

Listed as Questionable for Game 2
NFL

Oscar Delp Takes Several Visits Ahead of Draft
Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs Talking With Cardinals About the No. 3 Pick
Thomas Bryant

to Remain Out Monday
Juan Soto

is on Track to Return Next Homestand
Corbin Carroll

Exits Sunday's Game with Back Tightness
Artem Zub

Uncertain for Game 2
Karel Vejmelka

Makes Playoff Debut Sunday
Carter Hart

in Vegas Crease for Playoff Opener
Jeremy Swayman

Begins Fifth Postseason Campaign
Alex Lyon

Available for Game 1
Dominic James

Activated From Injured Reserve
Tarik Skubal

Fans 10 in Win Over Red Sox on Saturday
Raisel Iglesias

Dealing With Shoulder Issue
Kyle Larson

Should not be Underestimated for the Win at Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Can Denny Hamlin Dominate at Kansas Again?
NASCAR

Christoper Bell Should Contend for First Win at Kansas
Joel Eriksson Ek

Powers Minnesota Past Dallas in Opening Game
Tyler Reddick

Fastest in Practice and Qualifying for Kansas Race
Ryan Blaney

Could Score another Top-10 Finish at Kansas
Ty Gibbs

Poised to Continue Hot Streak at Kansas
Chris Buescher

Always Consistent, Has Speed Heading Into Kansas
William Byron

is A Solid DFS Option for Kansas Lineups
Carson Hocevar

Poised for Career-Best Run at Kansas
Chase Briscoe

Is Chase Briscoe Worth Rostering for DFS at Kansas?
Chase Elliott

Is A Favorable DFS Option for Kansas Lineups
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano be Considered Playable In DFS This Week at Kansas?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Favorable Driver to Consider for Kansas Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain A Worthy DFS Option for Kansas?
Brad Keselowski

Could Brad Keselowski be A Sneaky DFS Option for Kansas?
Daniel Suarez

Should DFS Managers Roster Daniel Suarez at Kansas?
Jhoan Duran

Placed on 15-Day Injured List With Oblique Strain
Kyle Stowers

Will be Activated on Sunday
Max Muncy

has Another Multi-Homer Game at Coors Field
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Expected to Make Season Debut on Saturday
Austin Riley

Hits Two Home Runs in Shutout Win Over Phillies
Daulton Varsho

Removed Early on Friday With Knee Discomfort
Mike Malott

A Favorite At UFC Winnipeg
Gilbert Burns

Set For UFC Winnipeg Main Event
Kyler Phillips

Set UFC Winnipeg Co-Main Event
Charles Jourdain

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Jai Herbert

An Underdog At UFC Winnipeg
Mandel Nallo

Set For His UFC Debut
Karine Silva

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Looks To Bounce Back
CFB

Michigan Lands Commitment From Quarterback Kamden Lopati
Sahith Theegala

Brings Strong Form Into Harbour Town
Wyndham Clark

Needs Putter to Show Up at RBC Heritage
Jacob Bridgeman

Looks to Return to Elite Form at Harbour Town
J.J. Spaun

a Volatile Option at RBC Heritage
PGA

Sungjae Im Offers High-Upside Value at RBC Heritage
Matt Fitzpatrick

Set for Another Strong Showing at RBC Heritage
Jason Day

Eyes Bounce-Back After Sunday Struggles at the Masters
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Rebound at Harbour Town
Cameron Young

Hoping to Secure Second Win of Season at RBC Heritage
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Again at RBC Heritage
Shane Lowry

Has Disappointing Final Round at Masters
Viktor Hovland

Hoping to Build on Final Round at Masters
Brian Harman

Struggling For Consistency Heading to RBC Heritage
Chris Gotterup

Putting Together Outstanding 2026 Season
Justin Thomas

Looks to Defend in Hilton Head
Jordan Spieth

in Search of Improved Putting at RBC Heritage
Marco Penge

May Continue Up-and-Down Ride at the RBC Heritage
Xander Schauffele

Could Get The Job Done at RBC Heritage
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF