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Our new NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station.
Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators. Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. Do keep in mind that with the Cup Series now featuring the Next Gen car, Loop Data statistics are helpful, but not rigid factors when projecting performances.
The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and more Loop Data. If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, this is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building.
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Ruoff Mortgage 500: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for usage. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are for the last four races at Phoenix Raceway dating back to 2020 unless otherwise indicated. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Kyle Larson – Third in Driver Rating in the last four Phoenix races dating back to 2020 (110.4). 13 percent Implied Odds to win, best of all drivers. Projected to score 60.9 DraftKings points, tops among all drivers.
Ryan Blaney – 10 percent Implied Odds to win, second-best among all drivers. Had the second fastest 10 Consecutive Lap Average and second-fastest single lap in practice.
William Byron – Leads in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under Green Flag Conditions, 229). Fourth in Green Flag Passes (393). Had the best Consecutive 10 Consecutive Lap Average in practice.
Denny Hamlin - Second in Fastest Laps Run in the last four Phoenix races dating back to 2020 (120). Third-best in all-time Fastest Laps Run (567).
Joey Logano – Second in Driver Rating in the last four Phoenix races dating back to 2020 (120.1). Fourth in Fastest Laps Run (111). Second in Laps Led (328). Has finished in the Top 5 in 77 percent of his Short/Flat Track starts. Has 18.8 Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Phoenix starts, second-best among all drivers.
RotoBaller NASCAR Research Station Highlights - Phoenix
Kyle Busch – Third in Quality Passes (217). Third-best in all-time Driver Rating (103.8). Projected to score 58.55 DraftKings points, second-most among all drivers. Has a 10.7 Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers and 22.2 Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers, both best among all drivers in recent Phoenix starts.
Chase Elliott/Martin Truex Jr. –Good Place Differential Targets, starting in 19th and 20th, respectively. Both drivers are projected to score 57-plus DraftKings points. Truex is $900 cheaper on DraftKings at $9800.
Austin Cindric – 20 percent Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5, best among all drivers below $9400. Had the single Fastest Lap in practice. A prime value play at $7700.
Aric Almirola – Second in Green Flag Passes at Phoenix dating back to 2020 (412). Second in Quality Passes (227). Has finished in the Top 10 in 62 percent of his Short/Flat track starts. Has 12.6 Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Phoenix starts.
Tyler Reddick – Fifth in Green Flag Passes (373). Projected to score 43.00 DraftKings points, second-most among all drivers below $9000.
Chase Briscoe – 35 percent Implied Odds to finish in the Top 10, best among all drivers under $7700. One of the best bargain selections at $6900.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Starts 36th and is a top Place Differential target. Projected to score 37.60 DraftKings points, the most of any driver below $8000.
A.J. Allmendinger - Starts 29th and is another top Place Differential target. Projected to score 36.00 DraftKings points, the second-most of any driver below $8000. Has 10.7 Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Phoenix starts.
Cole Custer – Leads all drivers in Green Flag Passes at Phoenix dating back to 2020 (434). Fifth in Quality Passes (192).
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success
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