Strikeout Rate Risers - Starting Pitcher Breakouts for Fantasy Baseball

We are now halfway through the month of May and some interesting names have risen to the top of the strikeout leaderboards. If you don't follow my work already, I do daily strikeout projections for DFS and sports betting, so I am constantly looking at pitchers' strikeout rates and trying to gauge if they can […]

Florio's Fantasy Baseball Bullpen Report - Making Sense of the Many Bullpen Injuries!

There is a saying in fantasy baseball that you have to pay for saves -- you just get to decide if you pay in draft capital or FAAB. My approach typically is to split the difference, take one premium closer in the draft, take some deeper shots in the draft, and find the rest off […]

Potential Breakout Hitters for Fantasy Baseball - 2023 xwOBA Leaders

One of my favorite tools to look at is the Statcast rolling xwOBA leaderboard. It shows you the hitters who have improved their xwOBA the most over the last 50 plate appearances. Since wOBA (weighted on-base average) "is a version of on-base percentage that accounts for how a player reached base, instead of simply considering […]

Are You For Real? Surprising Pitcher Starts From Tanner Bibee and James Paxton

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. It was something old and something new this week. First we'll take a look at […]

NL Rookie of the Year Candidates - Fantasy Baseball Outlooks for James Outman, Corbin Carroll, Brett Baty

A two-man race has emerged for the National League Rookie of the Year, with Corbin Carroll initially seen as the runaway favorite to win the award. However, James Outman of the Los Angeles Dodgers has made a strong case to challenge for the award. Outman aims to become the first Dodger to capture the award […]

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Advanced Metrics Leaders for xERA (Week 8)

Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller’s Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week, I will select one advanced metric, choose two pitchers with strong values and two with poor values, and analyze what those values may mean for future performance. There are many ERA skill indicator metrics that fantasy managers can use […]

Top Five MLB Prospects To Stash For Fantasy Baseball Redraft Leagues (Week 8)

Welcome back to top prospects to stash! This list will highlight the top five hitting and pitching prospects to hold on your bench in re-draft fantasy baseball leagues.  As more teams are incentivized to push their top prospects up the pecking order, the excitement of the game grows. These five fantasy baseball prospects are most […]

Potential Buy-Low Trade Candidates for Fantasy Baseball - 2023 Exit Velocity Fallers

We're now a month into the MLB season, which means that some of these hot starts aren't just hot starts but legitimate gains and breakouts. As stats begin to stabilize, we can get a sense of which players have truly changed something about who they are as a hitter and separate them from the players […]

Overvalued, Undervalued Trade Targets - Buy/Sell for Fantasy Baseball (Week 7)

Making the right trades can be crucial to championship success in fantasy baseball. Almost as much as the draft, if not more. While most trades can have a significant impact on your fantasy team, it’s the deals where you acquire undervalued players and then see their production improve that can really tip the scales in […]

AL Rookie of the Year Candidates - Fantasy Baseball Outlooks for Masataka Yoshida, Josh Jung, Hunter Brown, Anthony Volpe

Four strong candidates have surpassed the opening-day favorite, Gunnar Henderson, to win American League Rookie of the Year. Masataka Yoshida, Josh Jung, Hunter Brown, and Anthony Volpe. Let’s discuss the type of production we can expect to see for the remainder of the year and who will most likely hit the rookie wall.  We could […]

Florio's Fantasy Baseball Bullpen Report - A's Keep Changing, Yankees Going Committee?

Each week on RotoBaller Radio -- which you can listen to on Sirius XM Fantasy Sundays from 3 to 5 pm ET -- Scott Engel and I talk about relievers you can nab off the waiver wire. One thing that we always preach is that you should not overlook closers on “bad” teams.  Often, the […]

Are You For Real? Surprising Pitcher Starts From MacKenzie Gore and Bryce Miller

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. We've got a treat this week, as we saw exceptional performances from two young interesting […]

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Advanced Metrics Leaders for SIERA (Week 7)

Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller’s Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week, I will select one advanced metric, choose two pitchers with strong values and two with poor values, and analyze what those values may mean for future performance. With just over a month of data, I think it's time to […]

Top Hitter Streamers: Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups and Starts For Week 7

Hey, RotoBallers! It's that time of the week again to check on the waiver wire. We have reached the 1/5th mark of the season, and there are still a little under 130 games left to play. The standings haven't endured any significant changes since last week, other than the recent outbreak of the Dodgers (7-3 […]

Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds: Using Average Exit Velocity to Predict Regression (Week 6)

Welcome to the second edition of Statcast Hitter Studs and Duds for the 2023 fantasy baseball season! Be sure to also check out all of our Statcast analysis for fantasy baseball, including the weekly series by Connelly Doan about Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds. We're still early enough into the 2023 MLB regular season that […]

Potential Breakout Hitters for Fantasy Baseball - 2023 Exit Velocity Gainers

We're now a month into the season, which means that some of these hot starts aren't just hot starts but legitimate gains and breakouts. As stats begin to stabilize, we can get a sense of which players have truly changed something about who they are as a hitter and separate them from the players who […]

Overvalued, Undervalued Trade Targets - Buy/Sell for Fantasy Baseball (Week 6)

Making the right trades can be crucial to championship success in fantasy baseball, almost as much as the draft, if not more. While most trades can have a significant impact on your fantasy team, it’s the deals where you acquire undervalued players and then see their production improve that can really tip the scales in […]

Florio's Fantasy Baseball Bullpen Report - Iglesias Nearing, Dodgers Going Committee

Every week on RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (Sundays from 3-5 pm ET), Scott Engel and I go over names to grab off the waiver wire in fantasy baseball. One thing I preach weekly is that not every waiver wire pickup needs to be a league winner or even someone that you roster for the entire […]

The Rest of the Reds Hitters - Fantasy Baseball Streamers, Pickups, and Sleepers

The Cincinnati Reds are just two years removed from a winning record (83-79 in 2021) and only three from a postseason berth. Now, six out of their top eight leaders in WAR from 2021 are on different teams, with longtime Reds first baseman Joey Votto and former NL Rookie of the Year Jonathan India being […]

Are You For Real? Surprising Pitcher Starts from Vince Velasquez and Jose Suarez

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. This week we've got two interesting arms to break down. First, we'll look at Vince […]

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Advanced Metrics Leaders for BABIP (Week 6)

Welcome back to another edition of RotoBaller’s Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week, I will select one advanced metric, choose two pitchers with strong values and two with poor values, and analyze what those values may mean for future performance. Over the last two weeks, I looked at different components of pitchers' […]

Fantasy Baseball Prospects Report - MLB Rookie Risers and Fallers for Week 6

Welcome to this year's iteration of RotoBaller’s Recently Promoted Prospects series for fantasy baseball! Here I discuss some recently promoted MLB prospects and rookies, making note of what I think their upside could be for fantasy baseball managers, and whether they are potential risers or fallers. We have already seen a huge number of high-impact […]

Top Hitter Streamers - Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Pickups and Starts for Week 6

Hey, RotoBallers! Another exhilarating week of baseball is in the books! Balls are flying, and Drew Maggi finally gets the call. Baseball is moving to Mexico City, and Nick Castellanos is the biggest jokester in the game. Now that we've covered the fluff topics, it's time to take a sneak peek at Week 6, running […]

Hot MLB Prospect Hitters and Potential Call-Ups - Mining the Minors for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome to the second season of this series where I comb through the minor league leaderboards to see who is having a particularly impressive start to the season. I then try to break down whether the performance is for real and whether or not this player should be somebody that we should have on our […]

Overvalued, Undervalued Trade Targets - Buy/Sell for Fantasy Baseball (Week 5)

Making the right trades can be crucial to championship success in fantasy baseball, almost as much as the draft, if not more. While most trades can have a significant impact on your fantasy team, it’s the deals where you acquire undervalued players and then see their production improve that can really tip the scales in […]

Pitchers With New Pitches - Should We Care for Fantasy Baseball? (Part Four)

Welcome to the third season of the FSWA-award-winning series Pitchers with New Pitches (and Should We Care) where we take the simple premise that not every new pitch should be greeted with praise. A new pitch, like a shiny new toy, might be exciting on its own, but it also needs to be a complement […]

Florio's Bullpen Report - Changes With the Phillies, A's, Angels Pen (Week 5)

Every week in the bullpen report, I go over bullpens that have had some clear changes, some that may be changing, and then some non-closers that are worth picking up in fantasy baseball. The closers tend to get all the hype in fantasy baseball. Sometimes picking up an elite non-closer, especially if they are in […]

Fantasy Baseball Buys/Sells - Using Expected Statistics to Find Regression Targets

Using expected offensive statistics such as xBA, xwOBA, and xSLG, we can locate some hitters who could be heading for major regression (positive or negative). Statcast is not a perfect science as there are nuances to batted balls that don't account for human abilities and or limitations. xBA is typically lower for speedsters who can […]

Are You For Real? Surprising Pitcher Starts from Drew Smyly and Joey Lucchesi

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. It was good to be a lefty last week, and we'll be breaking down two […]