Brooks Koepka Needs To Find Consistency

Brooks Koepka will be in a group with Shane Lowry, Erik Van Rooyen and Harold Varner III at Austin County Club this week. Koepka salvaged a mediocre outing at the Valspar with a Sunday 65, two shots better than the next-lowest Round 4 score. His inconsistencies can be a concern heading into match play, as […]

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Valspar Championship

Cameron Smith you beauty! What a scintillating final round from the wallaby wizard. Smith did not limit the damage with the driver, but managed to offset that by breaking countless Players' putting records to claim Breaking $100's first outright ticket of the series. Smith was also one of the six placing bets that cashed for […]

Jhonattan Vegas Relying On Ball-Striking

Jhonattan Vegas missed his first cut in five starts at the tumultuous Players Championship last week. At a course like Innisbrook, Vegas may find his distance advantage off the tee slightly nullified by forced layups. With a larger emphasis on the rest of his game, he is able to lean on his approach play to […]

Sahith Theegala Still High-Risk, High-Reward

After a poor week at The Players Championship, Sahith Theegala suffered back-to-back missed cuts for the first time this season. However, with drastic scoring differences depending on tee times, The Players should be a tournament that carries very little relevance if a golfer plays poorly. Sahith's volatility across all statistical categories makes him a high-risk, […]

Mito Pereira Looking To Bring Entire Game To Valspar

Mito Pereira has all the skills to win on the PGA Tour, but he has been struggling to bring all his skills to the same event. When Pereira has gained strokes on approach and putting in the same event, he has finished T29 or better. Pereira has recently traded out an incredible stretch of putting […]

Andrew Putnam Looks To Regroup On Approach

Andrew Putnam's game seems to be heading in a positive direction. He has gained more than 0.92 strokes per round on approach in four of his last eight starts. Over the last 50 rounds, Putnam ranks ninth in putting on Bermuda surfaces. Coming off missed cuts at a soggy Players Championship and a tough Arnold […]

Bubba Watson An Innisbrook Enigma

Bubba Watson has finished T13 and T4 in his last two Valspar Championships. Watson's course history is often a better predictor of success than his recent form. He is one of the most eccentric golfers on tour, shaping shots in ways that most golfers cannot replicate. Watson seems to feel comfortable around Innisbrook, gaining significantly […]

Kevin Kisner A Great Course Fit

Kevin Kisner's fourth-place finish at The Players Championship was courtesy of his field-best, around-the-green game. He also put forward a top-10 putting performance that masked another below-average approach week. Positive ball-striking weeks are more of a bonus than an expectation for the short hitter. Kisner's strengths lie on and around the green, which will be […]

Jason Day To Lean On Short Game

Jason Day has the short game to be competitive at Innisbrook. After a missed cut at The Players in very testing and lopsided conditions, that result should not be taken too seriously. Compared to TPC Sawgrass with less water around Innisbrook, it should not punish errant approach shots as severely. Day's weakness is his iron […]

Max Homa's Game Peaking Before The Players

Max Homa gained six strokes on approach at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and he's now gained strokes on approach in five consecutive events. With his irons peaking heading into the week, he fits the narrative that great recent iron play is a necessity to win The Players Championship. His T17 finish at the API included […]

Sahith Theegala A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Sahith Theegala had a forgettable Friday at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, losing four strokes putting to shoot a 79. The rest of his game seemed to face a similar fate, as he lost strokes around the green and on approach. He was not the only one to struggle mightily at Bay Hill, as multiple professionals […]

Mito Pereira Looking To Bounce Back With Putter

After gaining over half a stroke putting per round in six straight events, Mito Pereira broke his streak at The Honda Classic, losing a total of 4.44 strokes to finish T30. He gained strokes in each of the other three major statistical categories, though, which is promising. Pereira has gained strokes on approach in four […]

Russell Henley Has A High Floor

Russell Henley has made all 10 cuts this season. He has finished T33 or better in nine of those starts. TPC Sawgrass is a shorter course that requires precision off the tee and on approach. Henley checks both of those boxes consistently, with his strokes gained on approach ranking inside the top 10 on tour […]

Corey Conners A Great Course Fit This Week

Corey Conners is one of the best ball-strikers on tour. Conners has gained more than 0.26 strokes per round off the tee in each of his nine starts this season. Although not as consistent as his driver, he has also produced multiple weeks of elite iron play, which is what TPC Sawgrass demands. Unfortunately, his […]

Avoid Bubba Watson At The Players

Bubba Watson leans on his driver to gain most of his strokes on the field. He also has one of the stronger course histories on tour, with success at certain courses being a lot more predictable than the average tour pro. Watson's last two starts were a missed cut at The Genesis Invitational and a […]

Luke List Has Great Putting History At TPC Sawgrass

Luke List has gained strokes putting in only one event this season, winning the Farmers Insurance Open that week. List heads to TPC Sawgrass, where he has gained over 0.63 strokes putting in three of his five appearances. In the other three major statistical categories, he has gained steadily across the board all season. He […]

Scottie Scheffler Extremely Hot Entering Players Championship

After winning last week's Arnold Palmer Invitational, Scottie Scheffler has now won two of his last three starts. His driver was a major factor in his first win while losing strokes on approach. His second win came courtesy of a whopping 8.44 strokes gained on approach with minimal contributions from his driver. In both wins, […]

Jason Day Not Striking It Well Recently

Jason Day won The Players Championship in 2016, gaining over 6.3 strokes on approach. His six starts in 2022 have only produced one positive iron performance at the Farmers Insurance Open. As is now a customary part of his game, he made the cut in five of his starts this year by leaning on his […]

Sungjae Im's Irons A Concern

TPC Sawgrass demands exceptional approach play from past champions. Sungjae Im has only gained more than a stroke on approach once in his last four starts. He putted exceptionally well in two of those four tournaments, salvaging two T20s by gaining more than six strokes putting. Im has been a consistent gainer off the tee […]

Hideki Matsuyama A Hot Putter Away From Victory

In classic Hideki Matsuyama fashion, the Japanese star finished T20 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational while losing stokes on the putting green. In 10 starts this season, Matsuyama has lost strokes on approach once, losing a menacing minus-0.01 strokes at the Shriners Children's Open. He has a similar record off the tee, losing strokes only […]

Rory McIlroy Looking To Repeat Ball-Striking At The Players

Rory McIlroy gained a season-high 7.5 strokes in ball-striking at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Unfortunately, his putter rebelled at the worst time, and he lost strokes over his four rounds. A three-putt from five feet on Sunday was seemingly the straw that broke the camel's back. Past winners at The Players, including McIlroy, have typically […]

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - The Players Championship

This series has got off to an incredibly sweaty start with Berger blowing a Sunday five-shot lead two weeks ago, and Hovland letting a Sunday back-nine lead slip through his fingers last week. As much as it stings to have come so close, twice, the entertainment value of having a horse in the race on […]

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Arnold Palmer Invitational

I typically write up the intro on Sunday evening, but in order to avoid it sounding like an obituary, I slept on it. A few more cups of coffee and the lingering taste of Sunday's belched-up Berger will hopefully disappear quicker than his final round five-shot lead. It was an absolute roller coaster of an […]

Sahith Theegala Well-Rested Heading Into API

Sahith Theegala had a much-needed break after playing six consecutive tournaments, including an emotionally draining T3 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. The rookie has shown that he has all the tools required to contend on the PGA Tour. Other than an impressive stretch of putting, gaining strokes in six of his last seven starts, […]

Matt Jones A Risky Play

After a disappointing title defense at the Honda Classic, Matt Jones will be looking to get his game back on track. He is an extremely streaky player that is capable of gaining or losing massive amounts of strokes with his putter and irons. At a course that punishes errant shots, Jones will have to bring […]

Garrick Higgo Brings Volatile Game To First API

Garrick Higgo's statistical profile is very volatile. Amidst mini streaks of consistent gains, there are events where he loses extreme amounts of strokes to the field in any random major area. His length off the tee is the only reliable element of his game. Regardless of his inconsistencies, he has managed to make three consecutive […]

Russell Henley A Safe Play At API

Russell Henley has made every cut in the nine tournaments he has played this year. Henley is one of the best iron players in the field, gaining over six strokes on approach four times this season. He has also gained over a stroke with his putter in five of his last six starts and will […]

Max Homa Looks To Capitalize On Great Recent Form

Max Homa has three top-15 finishes in his last four starts, gaining over 3.2 strokes putting in all four events. He has also gained strokes with his irons in each of those tournaments. With a recent uptick in driving distance gaining him strokes off the tee in six of his eight starts this season, Homa […]

Corey Conners A Tough Decision At Bay Hill

Corey Conners has been one of the premier ball-strikers on tour the last two seasons. He has gained over 0.26 strokes off the tee per round in every start so far in 2022. His iron play typically gains more strokes than his driver, but he has lost 0.57 and 0.45 strokes per round on approach […]

Luke List Can Overpower Bay Hill

As one of the best ball-strikers in the field, Luke List has the length and approach game to be a contender at this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational. List has only gained strokes with his putter once in nine recorded starts this season, winning the Farmers Insurance Open with 1.25 strokes gained putting per round. In […]