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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Scottie Scheffler Is A Smash Play At Southern Hills

Scottie Scheffler trails Justin Thomas by a fraction in strokes gained total on the 2022 season, but has four more victories than Thomas. Scheffler has risen to the top of the world rankings in rapid fashion and is playing golf at such an exceptional level that it will not be surprising to see him continue […]


Jason Day Remains A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Jason Day remains a mixed bag of results. He has flashed rounds of brilliance with stellar iron play and a tidy short game that has always been a crutch to lean on during lackluster rounds. Day has also had a few recent rounds where he was not sure which direction the ball would fly off […]


Tiger Woods May Struggle At PGA Championship

With very little statistics to go off, it is tough to predict how Tiger Woods will play when he tees it up for the second time this year. He made the cut at The Masters which is essentially his backyard as he has played well there so many times. He heads to Southern Hills where […]


Xander Schauffele Riding High Into PGA Championship

Xander Schauffele displayed one of the most impressive 2.5 rounds of golf since Cameron Smith and Jon Rahm broke scoring records at The Tournament of Champions in January. After appearing to be headed for an imminent missed cut, eight strokes off the cut line early on Friday, he rattled off 13 holes of blistering ball […]


Justin Thomas Primed For Victory At Southern Hills

Justin Thomas has finished T8 or better in 75% of his regular starts this year. He lights up the strokes gained columns across the board, including putting which is an area of his game he has seen drastic improvement in. He is having the best statistical season of his illustrious career, gaining an average of […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - AT&T Byron Nelson

Keegan Bradley led the field in strokes gained putting at the Wells Fargo Championship last week. Let that sink in for a second. Keegan... Hansen... Bradley... led the field in strokes gained putting, but hit just too many bad shots in critical moments on Sunday to finish T2. In last week's article we noticed that […]


Will Zalatoris Desperate For Positive Putter

Will Zalatoris has gained strokes putting twice this season, with both instances coinciding with two of his three worst approach performances. He is one of the premier ball strikers on tour, crippled by a putter that refuses to gain even a fraction of a stroke needed to win golf tournaments. He has six top-20s in […]


Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit

Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of […]


Si Woo Kim A Safe Play

Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to […]


Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking

Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his […]


Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run

Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category, […]


Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day […]


Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot

Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is […]


Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson

Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship

Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned […]


Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit

At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition […]


Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter

Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February. […]


Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking

Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent […]


Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac

Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can […]


Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag

This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open

We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to […]


Chris Kirk Striking It Well Enough To Win

Chris Kirk has gained strokes tee to green in every event he has played in this season. His driving, approach play, and around the green game have been steady and well above average for most of the year. His putter can flash upside but typically fails him when in contention on a Sunday. Kirk is […]


Rafa Cabrera-Bello Offers Minimal Upside

Rafa Cabrera-Bello enters the week having missed three of his last four cuts at events with relatively weak strength of schedule. His lack of distance off the tee is another concerning trend that the Spaniard will have to overcome at the Mexico Open. Sitting outside the top-100 of Official Golf World Rankings, Cabrera-Bello's game has […]


Brendon Todd Leaning On Putter

Brendon Todd is one of the shortest drivers on tour, which will hurt him at a Par 71 that is almost 7,500 yards long. After an abysmal Florida swing with his irons, Todd has gained in three consecutive events and will be looking to continue that trend at a lengthy resort course this week. Over […]


Kevin Na Relying On Short Game

Kevin Na's accuracy off the tee may not be as much of an asset at this week's venue in Mexico. He will have longer approaches than most of the field due to his lack of distance off the tee. However, he led the field in strokes gained approach at Augusta and continued his impressive iron […]


Jon Rahm A Great Course Fit

Arguably the best ball-striker on the planet, Jon Rahm heads to a golf course that suits his booming drives and precise long irons. The last time Rahm lost strokes off the tee at a PGA Tour stroke-play event was in August of 2019. His irons have been similarly impressive gaining 0.73 per round this season. […]


billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - RBC Heritage

Four wins in six starts for Masters champion and World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler! Just an incredible run of golf. Two weeks ago, we wrote about "Scottie's Notties" and how we were always the bridesmaid to him. Well, if you can't beat them, bet on the bride and hope he carries on breaking hearts around […]


Si Woo Kim Has Only One Missed Cut This Season

Si Woo Kim's course history at the RBC Heritage is a mixed bag, with two top-20s and two missed cuts in his five appearances here. Kim's last missed cut was in October 2021 at the Shriners Children's Open. He has quietly collected seven top-20s in his 16 starts this season by leaning on his consistency […]


Jason Kokrak Needs Putter To Perform This Week

Jason Kokrak has gained on approach in his last eight starts at Harbour Town but has missed three of his last four cuts courtesy of a disobedient putter. As one of the better putters on tour over the last two years, Kokrak will be looking to buck his poor putting trend at this venue. If […]


Brian Harman A Safe Play

With four top-30s in his last five RBC Heritage starts, Brian Harman is one of the safer plays this week. His lack of distance off the tee will be minimized and his accuracy exaggerated at a shorter Harbour Town Golf Links. Harman has gained over 1.5 strokes putting in his last nine appearances at this […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
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Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
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DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Travis Etienne Jr.

the Jaguars Lead Back?
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Daniel Jones

the Favorite in Colts QB Competition?
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Shohei Ohtani

Blasts Two Homers in Win
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Michael King

Not Making Progress
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Jackson Merrill

Removed Early on Saturday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Riley Herbst

Surprisingly Outqualifies 23XI Racing Teammates at Mexico City
Cody Ware

a Very Experienced Road Racer but Still a Long Shot
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite to Win in Mexico City
Christopher Bell

the Chalk DFS Play in Mexico City
Tyler Reddick

Has a Lot of Work To Do To Be Competitive in Mexico
AJ Allmendinger

Struggling to Find Speed in Mexico City
Chris Buescher

Says Car is "Bad Fast" Heading into Mexico City Race
Michael McDowell

Confident Heading into Viva Mexico 250
Giancarlo Stanton

Likely Returning Early Next Week
Spencer Strider

Registers 13 Strikeouts
Hunter Brown

s Records 12 Strikeouts
Emeka Egbuka

"the Talk" of Bucs Minicamp
Royce Lewis

to be Placed on Injured List
Byron Buxton

Exits Early on Saturday
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Jaxson Dart

Working as No. 2 QB During Offseason Workouts
Xavier Gipson

Roster Spot Could be in Jeopardy
Josh Reynolds

the Front-Runner for WR2 Duties
Garrett Wilson

Stock Up This Offseason
Breece Hall

Motivated Going into 2025 Season
Brandon Aiyuk

Making Good Progress From Knee Injury
Keon Coleman

Inconsistent at Minicamp
Mitchell Trubisky

Not a Lock for Backup Job
Dalton Kincaid

Adds Strength and Bulk
James Cook

a Full Participant in Mandatory Minicamp
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Jacob Misiorowski

Expected to Make Next Start
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Charlie Morton

Continues Good Work With 10 Strikeouts
James Wood

Homers, Drives in Four
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Homers Twice to Snap Skid
Isaac Paredes

Astros Hopeful Isaac Paredes Can Avoid the Injured List
Royce Lewis

Dealing With Hamstring Strain
Kodai Senga

Diagnosed With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain
Gleyber Torres

Goes Deep Twice on Friday
Anthony Richardson

Should be Fine for Training Camp
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Cam Akers

Joining Saints
Michael Mayer

to Get More Involved
Aaron Rodgers

DK Metcalf Building Chemistry with Aaron Rodgers
Colston Loveland

Likely to be Primary Tight End
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Cody Brundage

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alonzo Menifield

Opens Up UFC Atlanta Main Card
Oumar Sy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
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