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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Kevin Na A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Kevin Na led the field in strokes gained approach at the Masters. He will be looking to bring his hot irons to an event where he has multiple top-10s and missed cuts since 2011. His boom or bust potential at this golf course makes him a high-risk, high-reward play. After leading the tour in strokes […]


Matt Kuchar A Course-History Thoroughbred

Matt Kuchar has seven top-30s in his last eight starts at the RBC Heritage. Kuchar is typically very efficient with his short game and has yet to lose strokes on approach at this golf course in his last 11 appearances. He not only has great course history on his side, but he has also found […]


Justin Thomas Is Putting Well Lately

Justin Thomas clawed himself back from a shaky Masters opening round to finish T8. Thomas now has seven top-10s in his 11 starts this season. For a player of his caliber there always seems to be a sequence of holes that derails his chances of contending for victory, though. Thomas gained over six strokes on […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - The Masters

Folks, it is Masters week! We get both beautifully manicured flower beds and golf swings. We get multiple video streams of our favorite holes and watery streams named after some guy called Rae. We get a Wednesday Par 3 contest where generational greats attempt to break their age, while Tony Finau attempts to not break […]


Cameron Young Looking To Capitalize On Elite Driving Ability

Cameron Young is making his maiden Masters start as the 46th-ranked player in the world. Two T2s at the Sanderson Farms Championship and The Genesis Invitational gained him most of the Official World Golf Ranking points needed to crack the top 50. Young is a monster off the tee, gaining well over a stroke per […]


Si Woo Kim Seeking First Masters Top-10 Finish

Si Woo Kim has finished inside the top 20 in half of his 14 starts this season. He has done so on the merits of his steady off-the-tee game, with the other areas of his game sporadically gaining the necessary strokes to finish that high up on the leaderboard. Kim has put together a tidy […]


Jason Kokrak Needs Ball-Striking To Improve

Jason Kokrak will need to ramp up his ball-striking this week if he wants to contend. Even with an abundance of length off the tee, Kokrak has barely been gaining strokes in that department lately. His approach play has been steady, but he has yet to have any impressive iron performances since his win at […]


Brian Harman A Sneaky Play This Week

Brian Harman may be one of the shorter hitters on tour, but that has not stopped him from gaining over 0.58 strokes off the tee in his last four stroke-play starts. Consistent accuracy off the tee is Harman's strength, which is slightly nullified around a more forgiving Augusta National. Harman has also shown some form […]


Francesco Molinari Lacking Upside

Francesco Molinari heads back to Augusta for the 11th time. Ever since he squandered the lead on Sunday of the 2019 Masters, he has yet to record a top-five finish at any event around the world. He has a T42 as his best finish the last five times he has teed it up. The Italian's […]


Kevin Na A Safe Play At Augusta

Kevin Na will be playing in his 11th Masters and is looking to improve on his trio of T12 finishes over the last decade. Na led the tour in strokes gained around the green last season, with the rest of his stats all outside the top 50. He is one of the more polarizing players […]


Gary Woodland A Tough Decision At Augusta

Gary Woodland has three top-10 finishes in his last five starts, gaining the majority of his strokes on approach. He has now strung together six consecutive starts where he has gained at least a quarter stroke per round with his irons. With impressive recent form, Woodland heads to Augusta, where he has yet to crack […]


Paul Casey Battling Back Spasms

Paul Casey (back) finished third at The Players Championship, improving his strokes gained in putting by nine strokes compared to his disappointing weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. However, Casey's putter is the least of his concerns, as he is currently battling back spasms that forced him to withdraw from the Match Play two weeks […]


Adam Scott Looking For Second Masters Win

Adam Scott enters the week with impressive ball-striking numbers and a putter that has been a massive asset this season. He has gained over 0.25 strokes off the tee and over 0.5 on both approach and putting. However, the former Masters champion has been losing strokes around the green far too often to feel comfortable […]


Justin Thomas In Tremendous Form

Justin Thomas has six top-10 finishes this season in 10 starts. He is gaining more total strokes so far than any of his other seven illustrious years on tour. The last time Thomas lost strokes on approach was in July of 2021. He is also having his best year off the tee, gaining 0.68 strokes […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Valero Texas Open

Scottie Scheffler is a menace. In fact, after just five weeks, Breaking $100 has an elite club called "Scottie's Notties" for our outright's that have finished second to the new world No. 1. Kevin Kisner (Match Play) and Viktor Hovland (API) have both finished runner-up to Scheffler who has officially gone rogue, winning three of […]


Maverick McNealy Has All-Around Game To Contend At Valero

Maverick McNealy was unlucky to score 2.5 match-play points and not advance from his group last week. McNealy has not missed a cut in his last 10 stroke-play starts. He is a perpetual gainer off the tee, with the rest of his game flashing moments of brilliance. McNealy has the all-around game to contend on […]


Davis Riley Dependent On Short Game At Valero

Davis Riley lost to Sam Burns in a playoff at the Valspar two weeks ago. He found himself in a playoff courtesy of his short game that gained him 12 strokes on the field. Riley's statistical profile is highlighted by his length and accuracy off the tee, an area of his game he has gained […]


Lanto Griffin Looking To Improve On Poor Florida Swing

Lanto Griffin will be looking to bounce back from his Friday 78 at the Valspar two weeks ago when he lost over a stroke in each major statistical category, which can hopefully be chalked up as a bad day at the office. He finished no worse than T39 in his four starts out west earlier […]


Gary Woodland's Driver The Missing Piece

Gary Woodland has tidied up his short game recently, rounding out his game into a much more sustainable product. He has two T5s in his last four starts, gaining strokes in all four major statistical categories. Woodland has always been a great iron player and has gained strokes on approach in his last four events. […]


Cameron Young Grouped With John Rahm, Patrick Reed

Cameron Young is a top-10 birdie-maker on tour, averaging a birdie or better on 26% of his holes. Churning out this many birdies makes Young an interesting play, even with Jon Rahm and Patrick Reed in his group. Young relies on his driver to set himself up for scoring opportunities, ranking fifth on tour in […]


Will Zalatoris A Contender If Putter Obliges

Will Zalatoris has lost strokes putting in his last six starts, finishing T26 or better in four of those events. Zalatoris is one of the elite ball-strikers on tour, gaining the second-most strokes on approach this season behind Russell Henley. He also ranks in the top 10 for strokes gained off the tee. Zalatoris is […]


Keith Mitchell Can Rely On Driver

Keith Mitchell is gaining roughly a shot per round off the tee this season. His driver is his biggest asset, keeping him out of trouble while simultaneously setting up easier approach shots. Mitchell gains his next chunk of strokes with his putter, which averages over a stroke per round when putting confidently. If Mitchell keeps […]


Bubba Watson To Lean On Match-Play Experience

Bubba Watson has a winning match-play record of 10-6-5 at Austin Country Club. Although Watson has not been playing well lately, he has proven that his history at specific courses or events is one of his more reliable predictors of success. Watson has to outscore Webb Simpson, Abraham Ancer and Brian Harman to emerge from […]


Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - WGC Dell Match Play

After having an outright in final-round contention three weeks in a row, Collin Morikawa's T68 gifted our chore lists and wives with some much-needed weekend attention. Morikawa had no short-game touch at all, wasting another impressive ball-striking week from the world #2. We had a small loss on the week, but remain profitable over the […]


Scottie Scheffler Looking To Make Match-Play Finals Again

Scottie Scheffler was a finalist at this event last year and beat Jon Rahm in singles at The Ryder Cup. Scheffler is in fantastic form, winning two of his last four events. He has been putting incredibly and his irons have been peaking, both crucial elements to succeeding in match play. While playing the best […]


Kevin Kisner Can Continue Match-Play Success

Kevin Kisner has one of the best match-play records at this event (16-6-1). As a former winner of the WGC Dell Match Play, Kisner has wielded his elite chipping and putting to win many matches against better drivers and more accurate iron players. Even with Justin Thomas in his group, Kisner has a chance to […]


Kevin Na A Match-Play Nightmare

Kevin Na can win a hole from anywhere around the green with his elite short game. His accuracy off the tee and streaky iron play have allowed him to enter the week with an 8-8-2 record at Austin Country Club. Na has also shown that there is more to match play than just strokes gained, […]


Sungjae Im Relying On Short Game

Sungjae Im has not gained more than 1.5 strokes on approach in any of his last five starts. Im will need to beat Patrick Cantlay, Seamus Power and Keith Mitchell if he wants to advance out of his group this week. He has been struggling with his irons for the last two months, which will […]


Marc Leishman Brings Complete Game To Match Play

Marc Leishman missed his first cut of the season at The Players Championship. He has six top-20 finishes in his 11 starts this season. He has been incredibly consistent, gaining strokes in all four major categories in most of his starts. Leishman will be looking to improve on his losing record at Austin Country Club […]


Patrick Cantlay Struggling On Approach

Patrick Cantlay has only gained strokes with his irons in two of his six starts in the 2022 season. However, he has four top-10s in those starts while the rest of his game has been firing on all cylinders. He missed his first cut of the season at The Players Championship, where he lost strokes […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
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