About The Model Maniac
Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit
Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of... Read More
Si Woo Kim A Safe Play
Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to... Read More
Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking
Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his... Read More
Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run
Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category,... Read More
Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day... Read More
Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot
Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is... Read More
Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson
Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship
Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned... Read More
Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit
At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition... Read More
Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter
Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February.... Read More
Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking
Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent... Read More
Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac
Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can... Read More
Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag
This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open
We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to... Read More
Chris Kirk Striking It Well Enough To Win
Chris Kirk has gained strokes tee to green in every event he has played in this season. His driving, approach play, and around the green game have been steady and well above average for most of the year. His putter can flash upside but typically fails him when in contention on a Sunday. Kirk is... Read More
Rafa Cabrera-Bello Offers Minimal Upside
Rafa Cabrera-Bello enters the week having missed three of his last four cuts at events with relatively weak strength of schedule. His lack of distance off the tee is another concerning trend that the Spaniard will have to overcome at the Mexico Open. Sitting outside the top-100 of Official Golf World Rankings, Cabrera-Bello's game has... Read More
Brendon Todd Leaning On Putter
Brendon Todd is one of the shortest drivers on tour, which will hurt him at a Par 71 that is almost 7,500 yards long. After an abysmal Florida swing with his irons, Todd has gained in three consecutive events and will be looking to continue that trend at a lengthy resort course this week. Over... Read More
Kevin Na Relying On Short Game
Kevin Na's accuracy off the tee may not be as much of an asset at this week's venue in Mexico. He will have longer approaches than most of the field due to his lack of distance off the tee. However, he led the field in strokes gained approach at Augusta and continued his impressive iron... Read More
Jon Rahm A Great Course Fit
Arguably the best ball-striker on the planet, Jon Rahm heads to a golf course that suits his booming drives and precise long irons. The last time Rahm lost strokes off the tee at a PGA Tour stroke-play event was in August of 2019. His irons have been similarly impressive gaining 0.73 per round this season.... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - RBC Heritage
Four wins in six starts for Masters champion and World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler! Just an incredible run of golf. Two weeks ago, we wrote about "Scottie's Notties" and how we were always the bridesmaid to him. Well, if you can't beat them, bet on the bride and hope he carries on breaking hearts around... Read More
Si Woo Kim Has Only One Missed Cut This Season
Si Woo Kim's course history at the RBC Heritage is a mixed bag, with two top-20s and two missed cuts in his five appearances here. Kim's last missed cut was in October 2021 at the Shriners Children's Open. He has quietly collected seven top-20s in his 16 starts this season by leaning on his consistency... Read More
Jason Kokrak Needs Putter To Perform This Week
Jason Kokrak has gained on approach in his last eight starts at Harbour Town but has missed three of his last four cuts courtesy of a disobedient putter. As one of the better putters on tour over the last two years, Kokrak will be looking to buck his poor putting trend at this venue. If... Read More
Brian Harman A Safe Play
With four top-30s in his last five RBC Heritage starts, Brian Harman is one of the safer plays this week. His lack of distance off the tee will be minimized and his accuracy exaggerated at a shorter Harbour Town Golf Links. Harman has gained over 1.5 strokes putting in his last nine appearances at this... Read More
Kevin Na A High-Risk, High-Reward Play
Kevin Na led the field in strokes gained approach at the Masters. He will be looking to bring his hot irons to an event where he has multiple top-10s and missed cuts since 2011. His boom or bust potential at this golf course makes him a high-risk, high-reward play. After leading the tour in strokes... Read More
Matt Kuchar A Course-History Thoroughbred
Matt Kuchar has seven top-30s in his last eight starts at the RBC Heritage. Kuchar is typically very efficient with his short game and has yet to lose strokes on approach at this golf course in his last 11 appearances. He not only has great course history on his side, but he has also found... Read More
Justin Thomas Is Putting Well Lately
Justin Thomas clawed himself back from a shaky Masters opening round to finish T8. Thomas now has seven top-10s in his 11 starts this season. For a player of his caliber there always seems to be a sequence of holes that derails his chances of contending for victory, though. Thomas gained over six strokes on... Read More
Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - The Masters
Folks, it is Masters week! We get both beautifully manicured flower beds and golf swings. We get multiple video streams of our favorite holes and watery streams named after some guy called Rae. We get a Wednesday Par 3 contest where generational greats attempt to break their age, while Tony Finau attempts to not break... Read More
Cameron Young Looking To Capitalize On Elite Driving Ability
Cameron Young is making his maiden Masters start as the 46th-ranked player in the world. Two T2s at the Sanderson Farms Championship and The Genesis Invitational gained him most of the Official World Golf Ranking points needed to crack the top 50. Young is a monster off the tee, gaining well over a stroke per... Read More
Si Woo Kim Seeking First Masters Top-10 Finish
Si Woo Kim has finished inside the top 20 in half of his 14 starts this season. He has done so on the merits of his steady off-the-tee game, with the other areas of his game sporadically gaining the necessary strokes to finish that high up on the leaderboard. Kim has put together a tidy... Read More
Jason Kokrak Needs Ball-Striking To Improve
Jason Kokrak will need to ramp up his ball-striking this week if he wants to contend. Even with an abundance of length off the tee, Kokrak has barely been gaining strokes in that department lately. His approach play has been steady, but he has yet to have any impressive iron performances since his win at... Read More