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Week 11 Consistency Report - Floors and Ceilings

On Thursday night, I went to the Titans-Steelers game in person and was uber excited to watch a ton of different players. I was excited as always to see my Steelers play, but also players on the Titans side like Rishard Matthews, Eric Decker, Marcus Mariota, and of course, Corey Davis.

I was also very intrigued by the USC matchup of Adoree Jackson on Juju Smith-Schuster and how the Steelers secondary looks without Joe Haden. Needless to say, the game did not disappoint me, especially as a Steelers fan. A few rows down from where I was sitting, I overheard one guy shout “GIVE ME SOME JUJU FANTASY POINTS!” Couldn't agree more buddy...

With that being said, here is this week’s consistency charts at each position.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Quarterbacks

I would like to highlight one person on this list and illuminate his production in a dynasty setting. Derek Carr is not a top-five dynasty quarterback. In fact, the only thing keeping him inside the top-10 is his age and the weapons around him. However, despite having receivers like Michael Crabtree, Amari Cooper, and Jared Cook and a great offensive line, Carr is on pace for less than 3700 passing yards. I know he missed a game with an injury, but even if he had played that week, he is still on pace for only 3900 yards over a 16-game stretch. Similarly, he is also on pace for only 25 touchdowns, but also 13 interceptions.

2017 will be his fourth straight season with less than 4,000 passing yards and his touchdowns have dropped in each of the past three years. In fact, his statistics since his breakout 2015 campaign have not improved. On a weekly basis, Carr is not consistent as well, which makes him hard to rely upon as a weekly QB1, especially given his dynasty price. This season, Carr has been one of the most inconsistent quarterbacks based on standard deviation and has a floor lower than players like Blake Bortles, Eli Manning, and Ben Roethlisberger (though his ceiling is higher than all three). In 2016, his consistency numbers are very similar to this season’s, with a 7.71 standard deviation (9.52 floor and 24.93 ceiling). He is a very matchup-dependent QB and should be seen as more of a high-QB2 as a spot start in great matchups than a weekly starter.

 

Running Backs


Ever since this past Sunday, I have seen a lot of Rex Burkhead love on Twitter. Sure, he had a great game and was heavily utilized and his snap percentage has increased over the last few weeks. Thank goodness, we finally have our Patriots running back, right? Not so fast. We have played this narrative before with a Pats back, first with Mike Gillislee, then with Dion Lewis, and now Burkhead. However, everyone has been neglecting the only consistent back on that team, who has been quietly and consistently producing on a weekly basis: James White.

As the RB19 on the season in PPR, White has only one game below 8.5 fantasy points and only three games under 10 points. Let me rephrase that: James White has scored double digit fantasy points in six of his nine games. Statistically, he has a higher floor than Chris Thompson, Melvin Gordon, LeSean McCoy, Demarco Murray, and Jordan Howard. The only negative is his ceiling, which is capped due to his low touchdown production. However, for fantasy purposes, White has been the model of consistency at the running back position in a backfield that people believe is impossible to predict. For many teams, White is a solid flex play, given where owners where able to draft him or even add him from the waiver wire.

 

Wide Receivers

Can we stop with the Michael Thomas hate? I get it, he only has two touchdowns on the year, with the last one coming in Week 4 at the beginning of October. But man, I have never seen a fantasy WR1 be called a disappointment more than Thomas has this season. Thomas is currently the WR8 in PPR and has only scored less than double digit points in only two weeks this year. In fact, he has scored over 20 points in three of his nine games this season and hasn’t scored less than points over the past four weeks.

In terms of consistency, Thomas is as consistent as it gets at the wide receiver position. Among the top-12, Thomas ranks third in consistency behind Jarvis Landry and Julio Jones. With a floor of 9.57, Thomas is a safer play than Julio Jones, Adam Thielen, Doug Baldwin, and AJ Green. His ceiling may not be as high, but imagine if he found the endzone. If Thomas is consistenly scoring 14-18 points per week, add one trip to the endzone and you have an elite fantasy option at the wide receiver position.

 

Tight Ends

I think we need to start appreciating what Delanie Walker is able to do for fantasy teams week-to-week. In terms of standard deviation, Walker is the second most consistent tight end in fantasy, behind only Zach Ertz. Including the Thursday night game versus the Steelers, Walker has now posted three straight weeks over 12 fantasy points. In fact, Walker has been extremely consistent despite having zero touchdowns on the season. Similar to the case for Thomas, if Walker is consistently scoring 8-12 fantasy points per week and then add a touchdown to those numbers. An already weekly top-10 tight end now turns into a top-5 option at the position. With Mariota coming back to form and healthy on top of a very favorable fantasy playoff schedule ahead of him, Walker may be a league winner for some teams buying him on the cheap before trade deadlines.

 

Floor Plays

 

 

Ceiling Plays

 

More Week 11 Lineup Prep




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Questionable for Thursday
Grayson Allen

Could Miss Clash Against Warriors
Deandre Ayton

May Skip Meeting With Jazz
Cole Anthony

Iffy for Thursday's Action
AJ Green

at Risk of Missing Another Game
Peyton Watson

Questionable for Thursday
Kyle Kuzma

Questionable for Thursday Due to Illness
Tim Hardaway Jr.

Questionable With Illness
Lauri Markkanen

Picks Up Questionable Tag Ahead of Thursday
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Questionable for Thursday
Pelle Larsson

Misses Second Straight Game
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Unavailable Against Nets
Pat Spencer

Ruled Out for Thursday
Norman Powell

Misses Practice, Uncertain for Thursday
Jakob Poeltl

Listed as Probable for Thursday
Al Horford

Ruled Out for Thursday, Nearing Return
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Matthew Tkachuk

Status Uncertain for Winter Classic
Tyson Foerster

Ruled Out for Five Months
Quinton Byfield

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Available Against Kings
Pavel Dorofeyev

Good to Go Wednesday
Shea Theodore

Out Against Devils
Jack Eichel

Misses First Game of the Season Wednesday
Brett Pesce

Back in Action Wednesday
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
Rashee Rice

Won't Practice Due to Concussion
Marvin Harrison Jr.

to Take Part in Wednesday's Walkthrough Practice
Drake London

Day-to-Day, Will Practice on Wednesday
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
Quinn Ewers

Making First Career Start in Week 16
Tua Tagovailoa

Being Benched by Dolphins
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Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Jeremy Ruckert

Jets, Jeremy Ruckert Agree to a Two-Year Extension
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Shuts Out Rangers With 23 Saves
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Notches Four Points in Tuesday's Win
Leon Draisaitl

Reaches Special Milestone During Four-Point Night
Shea Theodore

Questionable for Wednesday Night
Jack Eichel

Battling Illness
Darcy Kuemper

Placed on Injured Reserve
Brandon Montour

Hurt on Tuesday
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
Saquon Barkley

Misses Practice With Stinger
RJ Harvey

Dealing With Rib Injury
Josh Jacobs

Intends to Play Against Bears on Saturday
Zach Bogosian

Misses Tuesday's Game
Marcus Johansson

Unavailable Tuesday
Artyom Levshunov

Scratched for Tuesday
Mathew Barzal

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Joseph Woll

Returns to Action Tuesday
Bam Knight

Cardinals Place Bam Knight on Injured Reserve
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
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East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
Patrick Mahomes

Targeting Week 1 Return in 2026
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Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
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Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
Darren Waller

Hauls in Two Touchdowns in Monday Night Loss
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Considered Week-to-Week With Foot Injury
Davante Adams

Considered Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
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Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
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Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
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Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
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Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
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Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
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Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
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Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
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Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
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Looks To Extend His Win Streak
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Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
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Looks To Bounce Back
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Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
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Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff

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K
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1B
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SP
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