BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 150
CURRENT ADP: ~165 overall
ANALYSIS: ATC is projecting Vaughn Grissom as a top 10 2B, which already speaks to the optimism but should rise even more when you consider it's coming in with under 500 PA. It's no surprise to see that ATC is the most bullish of the major projections, at least in regards to his 14 HR and 16 SB - Steamer and The BAT have him at 9-11 in both categories.
But they all, as I do, like his R+RBI upside, even batting near the bottom of Atlanta's order. When the nine-hole is followed by Ronald Acuna Jr., Michael Harris/Ozzie Albies, and Matt Olson, it's hard not to dream of runs scored even from down low.
My own projections (505 PA: 13 HR - 72 R - 59 RBI - 19 SB - .275) have Grissom as an even bigger bargain, with the stolen bases being my biggest disagreement with the others. But Grissom has plus speed, has stolen a lot at every level, and will get a boost from the new rules (pitch clock, max number of throw-overs, bigger bases). And while I'm also relatively bullish on his R+RBI production, a lot of that is the lineup around him. I like Atlanta a lot and am keen to get a lot of different pieces of it.
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