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Wide Receiver Breakouts for Fantasy Football: Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends for Tyreek Hill, Keenan Allen, Garrett Wilson, Drake London

Garrett Wilson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups - rotoballer icon

You are already aware that wide receivers will play a critical role in the success of your teams. The undeniable volatility that exists with the running back position has also presented an increasing rationale for prioritizing wide receivers when you build your rosters – both at the onset of your drafts and as you manage your teams throughout the regular season. The numbers that are generated by all wide receivers provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the position, which I will be constructing for the fifth consecutive season.

This will be the 15th installment that will examine game-specific data, including updated totals for targets, air yards, targets per route run, yards per route run, red-zone targets, and snap counts. The information that is contained in this weekly report will analyze how various receivers are being utilized, and how effectively they are capitalizing on their opportunities.

All noteworthy changes in usage and production will be blended into the equation as we progress through the fantasy postseason. That will bolster your efforts to determine which wide receivers should be in your lineups, and which are worthy of remaining on your rosters. Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, NextGenStats, Rotowire, Rotoviz, PFF, and Football Outsiders were also used as resources in the creation of this report.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers won two writing awards and received 12 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. A big congrats to our very own Byron Lindeque (Golf) and Jordan McAbee (NASCAR) for both winning Writer Of The Year awards! Be sure to follow RotoBaller's analysis and advice all year long, and win more. Win More With RotoBaller!


Week 15 Target Leaders

Wide Receiver Targets Targ/Gm Yards/Targ
Justin Jefferson 158 11.3 10.3
Tyreek Hill 152 10.9 10.1
Davante Adams 151 10.8 8.4
Stefon Diggs 142 10.1 9.1
CeeDee Lamb 124 8.9 8.8
Diontae Johnson 123 8.8 6.1
Michael Pittman Jr. 121 9.3 6.7
D.K. Metcalf 119 8.5 7.8
Amon-Ra St. Brown 119 9.2 8.2
A.J. Brown 118 8.4 10.2
Christian Kirk 116 8.3 8.3
Chris Godwin 116 9.7 6.8
Amari Cooper 115 8.2 8.1
Garrett Wilson 110 7.9 8.8
Ja'Marr Chase 110 11 8
Tyler Lockett 108 7.7 8.9
Mike Evans 108 8.3 8.2
Zay Jones 106 8.2 7.2
Terry McLaurin 104 7.4 9.8
DeVonta Smith 103 7.4 8.7
Chris Olave 102 7.8 9.2
Jaylen Waddle 101 7.2 11.1
D.J. Moore 97 6.9 7
Josh Palmer 97 7.5 7.4
Adam Thielen 95 6.8 7.2
Tee Higgins 93 6.6 9.6
Drake London 92 6.6 6.6
JuJu Smith-Schuster 92 7.1 9.2
Deebo Samuel 91 7.6 6.7
Brandon Aiyuk 90 6.4 8.6
Courtland Sutton 89 7.4 7.7
Marquise Brown 88 9.8 6.6
DeAndre Hopkins 86 10.8 8.3
Mack Hollins 85 6.1 7.4
Curtis Samuel 84 6 7.1
Donovan Peoples-Jones 84 6 9.3
Gabriel Davis 77 5.9 9.8
Allen Lazard 77 6.4 8.1
Jerry Jeudy 76 6.3 8.7
Mike Williams 74 7.4 9.4
Jakobi Meyers 73 6.6 8.8
K.J. Osborn 73 5.2 6.3
Chase Claypool 72 5.5 5.9
Parris Campbell 72 5.1 7.1
Robert Woods 72 5.1 5.8
Brandin Cooks 71 7.1 7.3
Tyler Boyd 71 5.1 9.7
George Pickens 69 4.9 9.3
Nico Collins 66 6.6 7.3
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 66 4.7 9.6

 

Justin Jefferson has now stockpiled 158 targets after collecting 11+ in six of his last seven matchups. He has also attained 13+ during four of his last seven contests while accumulating 87 (12.4 per game) during that span. Tyreek Hill has now collected 152 targets, after capturing 10+ for the ninth time this season in Week 15. Hill has also attained double-digit target totals in three consecutive matchups.

Davante Adams has been targeted 151 times even though he has averaged 8.0 per game since Week 14. Adams had previously averaged a league-best 13.4 per game from Weeks 9-13 while stockpiling 67 during that span. Stefon Diggs has collected 142 targets including 9+ in 10 different matchups. He has averaged 9.8 per game since Week 10 while attaining a 29.1% share during those contests.

CeeDee Lamb has accrued 124 targets while averaging 8.9 per game. However, he has failed to exceed seven targets during six of his last eight games. Diontae Johnson had failed to reach double digits during four consecutive outings from Weeks 8-11 but has now accomplished it during two of his last three matchups. That has propelled his overall total to 123.

Michael Pittman Jr. has now captured 121 targets after collecting 14 when the Colts traveled to Minnesota in Week 15. It was his fourth double-digit target total of the season and his second in three weeks. D.K. Metcalf has now collected 119 targets after accumulating 51 (10.2 per game) during his last five games. He has also eclipsed 9+ in seven of his matchups throughout the season.

That ties Metcalf with Amon-Ra St. Brown, who captured 10+ targets for the seventh time this season. St. Brown has also collected 9+ in six of his last seven games.

A.J. Brown has now been targeted 118 times entering Week 16 after he secured a season-high 16 when Philadelphia traveled to Chicago in Week 15. Christian Kirk has now assembled 116 targets, including 72 (9.0 per game) since Week 7. Chris Godwin has accumulated 113 targets since Week 4 while averaging 10.3 per game during that span. That has expanded his season-long total to 116.

Amari Cooper has accrued 115 targets, even though he has only averaged 6.5 during his last two matchups. Ja’Marr Chase has captured 28 targets during his last two contests which fueled a rise in his overall total (110). That ties Chase with Garrett Wilson, who has now averaged 10.3 per game since Week 13. Wilson’s numbers in Week 15 will be examined further in the Five Things I Noticed section.

Tyler Lockett has captured 108 targets including 9+  in three consecutive outings. Lockett has also assembled 30 (10 per game) during that span. That ties Lockett with Mike Evans, who was targeted 10 times in Week 15. It was his first double-digit total since Week 9 while he has also averaged 7.0 from Weeks 10-14.

Zay Jones is tied for eighth overall with 51 targets (8.2 per game) from Weeks 10-15.  That has launched his overall total to 106. Terry McLaurin has now accumulated 104 targets, even though he has been limited to just six in two of his last three games. DeVonta Smith has now been targeted 8+ times in six consecutive games which has expanded his overall total to 103.

Chris Olave has collected 102 targets, although the four that he attained in Week 15 represented his lowest weekly total since New Orleans’ season opener. Jaylen Waddle has now assembled 101 targets after collecting seven when the Dolphins visited Buffalo in Week 15. The second-year receiver had averaged just 4.5 targets per game in his two previous outings.

Six different wide receivers have averaged at least 10 targets per game from Weeks 1-15 - Jefferson (11.3), Chase (11.0), Hill (10.9), Adams (10.8), Hopkins  (10.8), and Diggs (10.1).   

 

Week 15 Target Risers And Fallers 

Wide Receiver  Week 14 Week 15 Changes
K.J. Osborn 5 16 +11
A.J. Brown 6 16 +10
Russell Gage 2 12 +10
Marvin Jones 1 6 +5
Stefon Diggs 5 9 +4
Mack Hollins 4 8 +4
Darius Slayton 3 7 +4
Kalif Raymond 2 6 +4
Tyreek Hill 10 13 +3
Christian Kirk 7 10 +3
Noah Brown 6 9 +3
Jaylen Waddle 4 7 +3
D.J. Moore 3 6 +3
Braxton Berrios 3 6 +3
Diontae Johnson 8 10 +2
Davante Adams 7 9 +2
Garrett Wilson 7 9 +2
Mike Williams 6 8 +2
Gabriel Davis 4 6 +2
George Pickens 3 5 +2
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 3 5 +2
Jauan Jennings 2 5 +2
Ja'Marr Chase 15 13 -2
Chris Moore 11 9 -2
Amari Rodgers 5 3 -2
Elijah Moore 10 7 -3
Robert Woods 7 4 -3
Zay Jones 12 8 -4
Adam Thielen 8 4 -4
Nelson Agholor 10 6 -4
Richie James 9 5 -4
Brandon Aiyuk 3 4 -4
Michael Gallup 6 2 -4
Kendrick Bourne 5 1 -4
Keenan Allen 14 9 -5
Tutu Atwell 9 4 -5
Ben Skowronek 8 3 -5
D.J. Chark 7 2 -5
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 8 2 -6
Josh Reynolds 6 0 -6
Donovan Peoples-Jones 12 4 -8

14 different wide receivers accumulated at least 10 targets during their matchups in Week 15.  This includes Justin Jefferson, who contributed to his league-leading target total by capturing 16 when Minnesota hosted Indianapolis in Week 15. It is the second time in his last six contests that he has secured 16 targets, and he has now eclipsed 10+ in 10 different matchups throughout the season.

That tied Jefferson with his teammate K.J. Osborn, who established a new career high with his 16 targets. It was just the second time in 40 career games that Osborne has attained a double-digit total. A.J. Brown was the third wide receiver who assembled 16 targets in Week 15 which was his highest weekly total since Week 16 of 2021. Brown has now eclipsed 10+ targets in five different matchups during his first season with Philadelphia.

Michael Pittman’s 14 targets represented his highest weekly total since Week 6 when he captured a season-high 16. He also secured the second-highest target share of any wide receiver in Week 15 (45.2%). Tyreek Hill has now accumulated 37 targets since Week 13, after collecting 13 when Miami visited Buffalo in Week, 15. That places Hill second among all wide receivers during that three-game sequence while he has also averaged 12.3 per game.

Ja’Marr Chase has now collected 10+ targets in seven of his 10 contests this season after accruing 13 in Week 15. Chase has also secured a double-digit target total in five of his last six matchups Russell Gage attained a double-digit target total for the second time this season when he was targeted 12 times by Tom Brady in Week 15. It was the first time that he eclipsed 10+ since Week 3.

Drake London has now secured 11+ targets during each of his last two matchups after he assembled 11 during Desmond Ridder’s debut under center for Atlanta. That tied London with DeAndre Hopkins, who has now stockpiled 86 targets (10.8 per game) since he resurfaced in Arizona’s lineup during Week 7.

Five different wide receivers amassed 10 targets during their matchups in Week 15. That list includes Diontae Johnson, who has commandeered the league’s third-highest target share since Week 13 (36.7%). Amon-Ra St.Brown has also exceeded 10+ targets during five of his last eight matchups after securing 10 in Week 15.

Christian Kirk has now averaged 9.2 targets per game during his last five matchups after he was targeted 10 times by Trevor Lawrence in Week 15. Mike Evans has averaged 8.2 targets per game since Week 9 after he collected 10 targets in Week 15.

JuJu Smith-Schuster did not register a double-digit target total from Weeks 1-8. However, he has now accomplished it during three of his last six matchups after accumulating 10 targets in Week 15.

K. J. Osborn had averaged just 3.3 targets per game from Weeks 11-14, including the five that he registered in Week 15. However, the career-best 16 that he stockpiled in Week 15 fueled his weekly rise of +11.

Michael Pittman’s 14 targets in Week 15 represented his second-highest weekly total of the season. It also transpired one week after he had been relegated to a season-low four targets, which resulted in his increase of +10

A.J. Brown had failed to exceed six targets during four of his six matchups from Weeks 9-14, including a six-target outing when Philadelphia visited the Giants in Week 14. However, his season-high 16 targets in Week 15 launched his week-to-week rise of +10.

That tied Brown with Russell Gage, who was limited to 25 snaps (33% share) in Week 14. He accumulated 46 snaps (62% share) when Tampa Bay hosted Cincinnati in Week 15, which provided Gage with the opportunity to collect 12 targets during the matchup with the Bengals.

Donovan Peoples-Jones secured a career-high 12 targets in Week 15 but the third-year receiver was only targeted four times by Deshaun Watson in Week 15. That created his decline of -8.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine captured eight targets when Tennessee hosted Jacksonville in Week 14. However, even though he secured an 82% snap share when the Titans traveled to Los Angeles in Week 15 he was only targeted twice. That fueled his weekly decline of -6.

Josh Reynolds played on 43 snaps and garnered six targets during the Lions' Week 14 matchup with Minnesota. He only played on three fewer snaps in Week 15 but failed to register a target. That launched his weekly drop of -6.

D.J. Chark averaged 6.5 targets per game in Weeks 13-14 but was only targeted twice with Detroit traveling to New York in Week 15. That resulted in his weekly decrease of -5.

That tied him with Keenan Allen, who had accumulated 14 targets in two consecutive matchups entering Week 15. Allen still accrued nine targets in Week 15 but that was sufficient to cause his drop of -5.

 

Week 15 Air Yards

Wide Receiver  Air Yards
Davante Adams 1767
Tyreek Hill 1758
Justin Jefferson 1607
Stefon Diggs 1548
Chris Olave 1475
A.J. Brown 1404
Amari Cooper 1359
Mike Evans 1350
Terry McLaurin 1311
D.K. Metcalf 1292
Jaylen Waddle 1259
CeeDee Lamb 1258
Diontae Johnson 1237
D.J. Moore 1192
Gabriel Davis 1158
Tyler Lockett 1136
Garrett Wilson 1119
Mack Hollins 1105
Christian Kirk 1049
Courtland Sutton 1045
DeVonta Smith 1017
George Pickens 998
Allen Lazard 991
Donovan Peoples-Jones 977
Tee Higgins 972
Ja'Marr Chase 963
Adam Thielen 935
Mike Williams 912
Drake London 905
Marquise Brown 904
Zay Jones 901
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 884
Marvin Jones 877
Brandon Aiyuk 849
Jerry Jeudy 838
DeAndre Hopkins 830
Alec Pierce 812
Michael Pittman 793
Darius Slayton 774
Jakobi Meyers 766
Amon-Ra St. Brown 759
Nico Collins 744
Josh Palmer 733
Elijah Moore 718
JuJu Smith-Schuster 697
Tyler Boyd 690
Noah Brown 678
Corey Davis 675
Chris Godwin 675

Davante Adams leads all wide receivers with 1.767 air yards. Tyreek Hill is a close second (1,758), followed by Justin Jefferson (1,607), Stefon Diggs (1.548), Chris Olave (1,475), A.J. Brown (1,404), Amari Cooper (1,359), Mike Evans (1,350), Terry McLaurin (1,311), and D.K. Metcalf. who has accumulated 1,292 air yards.

Jaylen Waddle is next (1,259), followed by CeeDee Lamb (1,258), Diontae Johnson (1,237), D.J. Moore (1,192), Gabriel Davis (1,158), Tyler Lockett (1.136), Garrett Wilson (1,119), and Mack Hollins, who has accrued 1,105 air yards. Christian Kirk is next (1,049), followed by Courtland Sutton (1,045), DeVonta Smith (1,017), George Pickens (998), Donovan Peoples-Jones (977), and Cincinnati teammates Tee Higgins (972) and Ja’Marr Chase (963).

Wide Receiver AY %
D.J. Moore 45.9
DeAndre Hopkins 41.88
Davante Adams 41.43
A.J. Brown 41.37
Justin Jefferson 40.76
Tyreek Hill 39.43
Amari Cooper 38.93
Darius Slayton 38.53
Ja'Marr Chase 37.85
D.K.Metcalf 37.09
Marquise Brown 36.57
Chris Olave 36.37
CeeDee Lamb 36.23
Terry McLaurin 35.89
Stefon Diggs 35.42
Mike Williams 34.6
Mike Evans 34.37
Chris Conley 33.59
Diontae Johnson 32.74
Tyler Lockett 32.62
Allen Lazard 32.11
D.J. Chark 31.57
Jakobi Meyers 31.3
Tee Higgins 31.16
Nico Collins 31
Drake London 30.69
Christian Kirk 30.34
DeVonta Smith 29.96
Courtland Sutton 29.68
Van Jefferson 29.49
Brandon Aiyuk 29.01
Alec Pierce 28.7
Chase Claypool 28.69
Gabriel Davis 28.52
Brandin Cooks 28.37
Garrett Wilson 28.26
Jaylen Waddle 28.24
Michael Pittman 28.03
Donovan Peoples-Jones 27.99
Keenan Allen 27.98
Racey McMath 27.72
Zay Jones 26.99
George Pickens 26.42
Treylon Burks 26.37
Marvin Jones 26.02
Amon-Ra St. Brown 25.96
Mack Hollins 25.91

D.J. Moore leads all wide receivers with a 45.9% air yards share. DeAndre Hopkins is second (41.9%), followed by Davante Adams (41.4%), A.J. Brown (41.4%), Justin Jefferson (40.8%), Tyreek Hill (39.4%), Amari Cooper (38.9%), Darius Slayton (38.5%), and Ja’Marr Chase, who has secured an air yards share of 37.9%.

D.K. Metcalf is next (37.1%), followed by Marquise Brown (36.6%), Chris Olave (36.4%), CeeDee Lamb (36.2%), Terry McLaurin (35.9%), and Stefon Diggs, who has attained an air yards share of 35.4%. Mike Williams is next (34.6%), followed by Mike Evans (34.4%), Diontae Johnson (32.7%), Tyler Lockett (32.6%), and Allen Lazard, who has secured an air yards share of 32.2%.

 

Week 15 Targets Per Route Run

Wide Receiver TPRR%
DeAndre Hopkins 38.4
Tyreek Hill 37.2
Amon-Ra St. Brown 35.2
Deebo Samuel 34.7
Davante Adams 34.1
Christian Watson 33.3
Chris Olave 30.8
CeeDee Lamb 30.1
A.J. Brown 30
Keenan Allen 29.1
Chris Godwin 28.9
Drake London 28.6
Jauan Jennings 28.6
Justin Jefferson 28.4
Brandon Aiyuk 28
Amari Cooper 27.4
Jakobi Meyers 27.3
D.K. Metcalf 27.2
Nico Collins 27.2
Ja'Marr Chase 26.6
Michael Pittman 26.6
Tee Higgins 26.4
Randall Cobb 26.3
Marquise Brown 26.2
Demarcus Robinson 25.9
Nelson Agholor 25.9
Garrett Wilson 25.8
Terry McLaurin 25.4
Stefon Diggs 25.3
Allen Lazard 25.3
Jaylen Waddle 25.1
Zay Jones 25.1
Diontae Johnson 24.9
Mike Evans 24.7
Julio Jones 24.7
Christian Kirk 24.6
DeVonta Smith 24.6
D.J. Moore 24.3
Treylon Burks 24
Jerry Jeudy 23.9
Van Jefferson 23.6
Tyler Lockett 23.5
Courtland Sutton 23.5
Josh Palmer 23.4
JuJu Smith-Schuster 23.2
Mike Williams 23.1
Darius Slayton 23.1

DeAndre Hopkins is being targeted on 38.4% of his routes which leads all wide receivers. Tyreek Hill is second overall (37.2%), followed by Amon-Ra St. Brown (35.2%), Deebo Samuel (34.7%), Davante Adams (34.1%), Christian Watson (33.3%), Chris Olave (30.8%), CeeDee Lamb (30.1%), and A.J. Brown, who completes the list of 10 receivers who are being targeted on at least 30% of their routes.

Keenan Allen is next (29.1%), followed by Chris Godwin (28.9%), Drake London (28.6%), Jauan Jennings (28.6%), Justin Jefferson (28.4%), Brandon Aiyuk (28%), Amari Cooper (27.4%), Jakobi Meyers (27.3%), and two receivers who are being targeted on 27.2% of their routes – D.K. Metcalf, and Nico Collins. Ja’Marr Chase and Michael Pittman have both secured a percentage of 26.6%, followed by Tee Higgins who has been targeted on 26.4% of his routes.

 

Week 15 Yards Per Route Run

Wide Receiver YPRR
Tyreek Hill 3.74
DeAndre Hopkins 3.18
Christian Watson 3.17
A.J. Brown 3.06
Justin Jefferson 2.91
Amon-Ra St. Brown 2.88
Davante Adams 2.88
Chris Olave 2.84
Jaylen Waddle 2.78
CeeDee Lamb 2.64
Tee Higgins 2.54
Terry McLaurin 2.48
Keenan Allen 2.44
Brandon Aiyuk 2.4
Jakobi Meyers 2.4
Darius Slayton 2.35
Deebo Samuel 2.34
Treylon Burks 2.33
Stefon Diggs 2.32
Randall Cobb 2.28
Garrett Wilson 2.27
Amari Cooper 2.22
Mike Williams 2.16
DeVonta Smith 2.15
JuJu Smith-Schuster 2.14
Ja'Marr Chase 2.13
D.K. Metcalf 2.11
DeVante Parker 2.11
Tyler Lockett 2.1
Jerry Jeudy 2.08
Allen Lazard 2.06
Christian Kirk 2.05
Mike Evans 2.03
Corey Davis 2.03
Jauan Jennings 2.02
Nico Collins 1.98
Equanimeous St. Brown 1.97
Chris Godwin 1.96
Noah Brown 1.95
Donovan Peoples-Jones 1.91
Drake London 1.87
Olamide Zaccheaus 1.87
Terrace Marshall 1.86
Zach Pascal 1.85
Nelson Agholor 1.84
Courtland Sutton 1.82
Zay Jones 1.81

Tyreek Hill leads all wide receivers with an average of 3.74 yards per route run. DeAndre Hopkins is second overall (3.18), followed by Christian Watson (3.17), A.J. Brown (3.06), Justin Jefferson (2.91), Amon-Ra St. Brown (2.88), Davante Adams (2.88), Chris Olave (2.84), Jaylen Waddle (2.78), CeeDee Lamb (2.64), and Tee Higgins, who is averaging 2.54 yards per route run.

Terry McLaurin is next (2.48), followed by Keenan Allen (2.44), Brandon Aiyuk (2.4), Jakobi Meyers (2.4), Darius Slayton (2.35), Deebo Samuel, (2.34), Treylon Burks (2.33), Stefon Diggs (2.32), Randall Cobb (2.28), and Garrett Wilson, who is averaging 2.27 yards per route run. Amari Cooper is next (2.22), followed by Mike Williams (2.16), DeVonta Smith (2.15), JuJu Smith- Schuster (2.14), and Ja’Marr Chase, who is averaging 2.13 yards per route run.

 

Week 15 Red Zone Targets

Wide Receiver Inside 20 Inside 10 Inside 5
Justin Jefferson 25 17 5
D.K. Metcalf 23 9 3
Stefon Diggs 22 12 8
Ja'Marr Chase 22 9 6
Christian Kirk 20 10 8
Davante Adams 18 10 6
Adam Thielen 18 7 4
Garrett Wilson 17 10 4
Zay Jones 17 6 3
Amon-Ra St. Brown 15 7 6
Amari Cooper 15 6 2
Chris Godwin 15 9 3
Diontae Johnson 15 4 2
Russell Gage 15 7 5
A.J. Brown 14 8 4
JuJu Smith-Schuster 13 3 3
Isaiah McKenzie 13 6 3
Mike Evans 12 6 3
Brandon Aiyuk 12 3 1
Allen Lazard 12 5 3
Deebo Samuel 12 7 3
Drake London 12 6 4
Noah Brown 12 4 2
CeeDee Lamb 11 4 3
Chris Olave 11 2 1
Courtland Sutton 11 6 5
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 11 5 2
Keenan Allen 11 5 2
Robert Woods 11 4 1
Terry McLaurin 10 1 0
Gabe Davis 10 4 2
Mike Williams 10 1 0
Jerry Jeudy 10 6 1
Mack Hollins 10 7 3
Curtis Samuel 10 8 3
Marquise Brown 10 2 1
Josh Reynolds 10 8 5
Michael Gallup 10 6 2
Mecole Hardman 10 6 2
Julio Jones 10 3 0
Tyreek Hill 9 5 5
Tyler Lockett 9 4 1
DeVonta Smith 9 2 1
Tee Higgins 9 2 2
Donovan Peoples-Jones 9 6 3
D.J. Moore 9 4 4
Chris Moore 9 1 1

Justin Jefferson accumulated two red zone targets in Week 15 and has now collected 10 during Minnesota’s last six matchups. That has increased his overall total to 25 from Weeks 1-16 which leads all wide receivers. D.K. Metcalf is second overall with 23 targets, followed by two receivers who have been targeted 22 times – Stefon Diggs, and Ja’Marr Chase.

Christian Kirk is next (20), followed by Davante Adams (18), Adam Thielen (18), Garrett Wilson (17), Zay Jones (17), and five receivers who have captured 15 red zone targets from Weeks 1- 16 – Amon-Ra St. Brown, Amari Cooper, Chris Godwin, Diontae Johnson, and Russell Gage. A.J. Brown has been targeted 14 times, while Juju Smith-Schuster and Isaiah McKenzie have accrued 13 targets.

Jefferson also leads his position with 17 targets inside the 10-yard line. Diggs has been targeted 12 times, while Kirk, Adams, and Wilson have all garnered 10 targets inside the 10. Three receivers have collected nine targets (Metcalf/Chase/Godwin)  while Brown, Curtis Samuel, and Josh Reynolds have accumulated eight.

Diggs and Kirk lead all wide receivers with eight targets inside the 5-yard line, while Adams, Chase, and St. Brown have been targeted six times.

 

Week 15 Snap Counts

Wide Receiver  Total Snap %  Total Snaps Week 15
D.J. Moore 96.59 764 41/95.4%
Michael Pittman 96.25 846 77/97.5%
Justin Jefferson 95.55 881 78/91.8%
Davante Adams 95.25 822 63/98.4%
Marquise Brown 94.86 591 54/91.5%
Mack Hollins 93.63 808 56/87.5%
Ja'Marr Chase 93.16 613 56/90.3%
Adam Thielen 92.08 849 77/90.6%
Brandon Aiyuk 91.41 798 59/96.7%
Gabriel Davis 91.38 784 69/97.2%
Allen Lazard 90.71 674 64/94.1%
Terry McLaurin 90.43 850 54/93.1%
DeVonta Smith 90.36 844 68/95.8%
Diontae Johnson 89.94 814 50/73.5%
Courtland Sutton 89.51 674 INJ
Donovan Peoples-Jones 89.17 840 49/76.6%
Christian Kirk 88.7 793 62/88.6%
CeeDee Lamb 87.51 792 69/93.2%
DeAndre Hopkins 87.48 454 54/91.5%
Zay Jones 87.03 738 67/95.7%
Chase Claypool 86.34 436 INJ
Mike Evans 83.89 750 56/81.2%
A.J. Brown 83.83 783 63/88.7%
Robbie Anderson 83.59 270 20/33.9%
Parris Campbell 83.5 774 65/82.3%
Amari Cooper 83.44 786 46/71.9%
Josh Palmer 83.26 741 46/64.8%
Tyler Lockett 82.37 682 55/90.2%
Ben Skowronek 82.22 680 30/69.8%
Chris Godwin 81.54 676 61/88.4%
Brandin Cooks 81.03 470 INJ
Rondale Moore 80.97 434 INJ
D.K. Metcalf 80.68 668 59/96.7%
Drake London 80.12 653 56/81.2%
Mike Williams 78.54 549 62/87.3%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 77.43 645 56/84.9%
Stefon Diggs 77.14 712 60/84.5%
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 76.91 613 47/82.5%
Deebo Samuel 76.71 583 INJ
George Pickens 76.69 694 45/66.2%
Garrett Wilson 76.65 686 60/98.4%
Robert Woods 76.41 609 47/82.5%
Jakobi Meyers 75.99 497 38/60.3%
Noah Brown 75.94 644 55/74.3%
Tyreek Hill 75.06 623 47/82.5%
K.J. Osborn 74.51 687 70/82.4%
Isaiah Hodgins 74.42 288 55/88.7%

 

D.J. Moore leads all wide receivers with a 96.6% snap share entering Week 16. Michael Pittman is next (96.3%), followed by Justin Jefferson (95.6%), Davante Adams (95.3%), Marquise Brown (94.9%), Mack Hollins (93.6%), Ja’Marr Chase (93.2%), Adam Thielen (92.1%), Brandon Aiyuk (91.4%), and Gabriel Davis, who has secured a 91.4% snap share.

Allen Lazard is next (90.7%), followed by Terry McLaurin (90.4%), DeVonta Smith (94.4%), Diontae Johnson (89.9%), Courtland Sutton (89.5%), Donovan Peoples-Jones (89.2%), Christian Kirk (88.7%), and CeeDee Lamb, who has attained a snap share of 87.5%.

DeAndre Hopkins is next (87.4%), followed by Zay Jones (87.0%), Chase Claypool (86.3%), Mike Evans (83.9%), A.J. Brown (83.8%), Robbie Anderson (83.6%), Parris Campbell (83.5%), and Amari Cooper, who has secured a snap share of 83.4%.

Justin Jefferson leads all wide receivers with 881 offensive snaps from Weeks 1-15. Terry McLaurin is second overall (850), followed by Adam Thielen (849), Michael Pittman (846), DeVonta Smith (844), Donovan Peoples-Jones (840), Davante Adams (822), Diontae Johnson (814), Mack Hollins (808), and Brandon Aiyuk, who has played on 798 offensive snaps.

Christian Kirk is next (793), followed by CeeDee Lamb (792), Amari Cooper (786), Gabriel Davis (784), A.J. Brown (783), Parris Campbell (774), D.J. Moore (764), Mike Evans (750), Josh Palmer (741), and Zay Jones, who has been involved in 738 of Jacksonville’s offensive snaps.

Stefon Diggs is next (712), followed by George Pickens (694), Curtis Samuel (688), K.J. Osborn (687), Garrett Wilson (686), Tyler, Lockett (682), Ben Skowronek (680), and Chris Godwin, who has performed on 676 snaps entering Week 16.

 

Five Things I Noticed  

1. Keenan Allen entered Week 13 having been limited to 145 snaps, 21 targets, 16 receptions, and 220 receiving yards from Weeks 1-12. This was the byproduct of his lingering hamstring injury which forced fantasy managers to exercise patience as Allen remained sidelined for seven games.  

Mike Williams had also been limited to a minuscule six snaps, one target, one reception, and 15 receiving yards from Weeks 8-13 due to an ankle issue that had been re-aggravated during an ill-fated return in Week 11. This had followed a sequence from Weeks 1-7 in which he had operated with an 88.7% snap share while vaulting to ninth in receiving yards (495/70.7 per game), and 11th overall in targets (59/8.4 per game), and receptions (37/5.3 per game).

However, Allen operated with an 89.82% snap share since Week 12, while Williams has secured a 76.4% share since Week 14. These developments have provided Justin Herbert with the opportunity to target his top two receiving weapons. This has been beneficial for Los Angeles while also providing fantasy managers with a scoring boost that can be embraced.

Allen soared to the league lead with 28 targets (14 per game) in Weeks 13-14, while his 31.5% target share placed him fifth overall. He is currently second overall with 37 targets (12.3 per game) from Weeks 13-15, and eighth with a 29.1% target share. Allen is also second in receptions (26/8.7 per game), eighth in receiving yards (266/88.7 per game), and ninth in air yards (316) while attaining an air yards share of 35.5%.

Allen ran 52 routes in Weeks 13-14 and was targeted on a whopping 53.8% of those routes. He also averaged 3.46 yards per route run during that two-game span.

Williams secured a 65% snap share when he resurfaced in Week 14 while collecting all six of his targets, and assembling 116 yards. It was the fourth time that Williams had eclipsed 6+ targets and was also the fourth game in which he exceeded 100 yards. Williams also accumulated 83 air yards and attained a 34.6% air yards share.

Since Week 14 Williams is now sixth overall in receiving yards (183/91.5 per game), 12th in air yards (202), 14th in air yards share (37.4%), and 19th in yards after catch (41). He has also accumulated 14 targets (7.0 per game), and 10 receptions (5.0 per game), has been targeted on 17.9% of his routes and has averaged 2.35 yards per route run.

Josh Palmer had secured a 23.7% target share from Weeks 6-13 while operating as the Chargers’ WR1 during that span. He rose to WR22 in PPR scoring during that sequence (15.8 points per game), while also ascending to 14th in targets (58/9.7 per game), 12th in receptions (40/6.7 per game), and 24th in receiving yards (429/53.6 per game).

Palmer’s target share has dropped to 12.9% since Week 14, while he has averaged 5.5 targets, 4.5 receptions, and 51 receiving yards. He is also averaging 9.6 points per game, has been targeted on 15.9% of his routes, and has averaged 1.48 yards per route run.

Palmer is no longer a starting option due to the unsurprising statistical decline that has occurred since Allen and Williams resurfaced. Allen is an unquestioned WR1 while Williams is a high-end WR3  during their next two matchups with the Colts and Rams.

 

2. The AFC East showdown between Miami and Buffalo in Week 15 was a critical matchup for both teams, while the results were also crucial for fantasy managers who were dependent on the top receiving options that were involved in the contest. Even though Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle were both contained inside the top 11 in scoring, the recent statistical decline of their quarterback had provided reasons for concern.

Fantasy managers who had been rewarded for their investments in Hill and Waddle throughout the regular season had also encountered some level of uneasiness due to the recent decline in Tua Tagovailoa’s proficiency under center for the Dolphins. Tagovailoa had built a 19:3  touchdown to interception ratio from Weeks 1-12 while averaging 31.6 attempts, 22 completions, and 285 yards per game. He was also completing 69.7% of his passes while averaging 9.0 yards per attempt during that span.

However, in Weeks 13-14 Tagovailoa’s completion percentage plummeted to 45.9% as he averaged 30.5 attempts, 14 completions, and 220 yards per game. His numbers became even more alarming when Miami visited the Chargers in Week 14 as Tagovailoa only completed 35.7% of his passes while averaging 5.2 yards per attempt.

Hill still captured 24 targets during that two-game sequence (12.0 per game) which placed him fifth among all wide receivers. He was also fourth in receiving yards (227/113.5 per game) and seventh in receptions (13/6.5 per game). He delivered those numbers despite being confronted by an ankle issue in Los Angeles while finishing WR5 in Weeks 13-14. He was also second overall in air yards (327) and third in both air yards share (47.4%) and yards after catch (81).

Waddle was unable to evade the sudden issues under center while he also sustained a leg injury in Week 13 that also contributed to his statistical plunge in Weeks 13-14. He was limited to a 15.5% target share during those contests while also being relegated to just nine targets (4.5 per game), 3.0 receptions (1.5 per game), and 40 yards (20 per game) during those two contests. He was also targeted on 34.6% of his 26 routes while averaging 1.54 yards per route run.

Fortunately for anyone who had Hill or Waddle contained on their rosters there was an improvement in Tagovailoa’s performance during Week 15. He completed 17 of his 30 attempts (56.7%), as Hill and Waddle combined for a 66% target share, 12 receptions, and 183 receiving yards. Tagovailoa also connected with both receivers for touchdowns.

Hill tied for fifth among all wide receivers in Week 15 with 13 targets while his 43.3% share placed him third overall. He was sixth among all wide receivers with nine receptions, although his 69 yards with the fewest since Week 10. Hill did generate a touchdown for the fifth time in six of his last six matchups and was targeted on 44.8% percent of his routes while averaging 2.38 yards per route run.

Waddle secured a 23.3% target share while collecting three of his seven targets and generating his highest yardage total since Week 6 (114). He also finished ninth among all receivers with 114 air yards and was eighth with a 46.0% share of air yards. He was also targeted on 30.4% percent of his routes and averaged 4.96 yards per route run.

Hill and Waddle will commandeer a high percentage of targets when the Dolphins host Green Bay on Sunday, and should remain cemented in all lineups when Miami travels to New England in Week 17.

 

3. Garrett Wilson’s exceptional talent is unquestioned. However, his usage and production have fluctuated on multiple occasions during the season as the result of multiple transitions at quarterback by the Jets.

Wilson thrived at the onset of his rookie season with Joe Flacco spearheading the Jets’ aerial attack. Wilson soared to WR9 in scoring from Weeks 2-3, while he also averaged 11.0 targets, 6.0 receptions, and 71.3 receiving yards per game from Weeks 1-3. He also eclipsed 8+ targets and 52+ yards during all three of those contests, while being targeted on 30.8% of his routes and averaging 2.00 yards per route run.

Zach Wilson emerged from his knee injury at that juncture of the season and remained the starting signal caller for seven consecutive games. His inadequacies have been well-documented, and the conversion under center fueled a drop in Garrett Wilson’s numbers. This included a decline in his per-game averages (5.4 targets/3.7 receptions/45.6 yards per game).

Those averages plunged even further from Weeks 4-6 (2.0 receptions/25.3 yards) as Wilson plummeted to WR76. He was also targeted on 21.7% of his routes and averaged 1.10 yards per route run.

Robert Saleh’s decision to replace Zach Wilson with Mike White in Week 12 resuscitated Garrett Wilson’s season by immediately removing the obstacle that had impeded him from delivering highly productive outings.

This also enabled Wilson to secure a 23.6% target share while vaulting to second in receiving yards (335/111.98 per game), eighth in targets (30/10.0 per game), and eighth in receptions (19/6.3, per game) from Weeks 12-14. Wilson was also targeted on 37.5% of his routes and averaged 4.19 yards per route run.

The insertion of White as the starting signal caller had ignited the Jets’ passing attack while positioning Wilson to sustain his recent statistical surge when the Jets hosted the Lions in Week 15. However, White sustained a rib injury when New York visited Buffalo in Week 14, which ultimately fueled the re-emergence of Zach Wilson under center.

News of the latest transition at quarterback defused the enthusiasm that had been building in advance of Wilson’s enticing matchup with Detroit. This was abruptly replaced by diminished expectations following the announcement.

Zach Wilson eventually launched 35 attempts in Week 15 which were the most since Week 8. He only completed 18 of those passes (51.4%) although he did eclipse 300 yards (317).

Garrett Wilson secured a team-best 26.5% target share while capturing a team-high nine targets. He also accumulated four receptions and 94 receiving yards - which placed him ninth among all wide receivers in Week 15. Wilson also soared to third overall with 166 air yards and was 19th with a 33.7% air yards share.

Wilson also ran 39 routes, was targeted on 23.1% of those routes, and averaged 2.51 yards per route run.

Elijah Moore attained the second-highest target share 20.6% while accumulating four targets and 51 receiving yards. Corey Davis was inactive and his status for New York’s Week 16 matchup with Jacksonville should be monitored. Wilson’s usage could be impacted whenever Davis does resurface although fantasy managers should continue to start him as a WR2.

 

4. Wilson is not the only rookie wide receiver who could provide a late-season statistical boost to fantasy managers in their drive for a championship. Drake London has captured a league-high 46% target share during his last two matchups while accumulating 23 during that span. London has attained the league’s fifth-highest target per game average during those matchups (11.5) which includes his first game following the transition from Marcus Mariota to Desmond Ridder under center.

London had not secured a double-digit target total since Week 2 prior to his favorable usage during the Falcons' last two contests. He had also averaged 5.0 targets per game from Weeks 3-12 while his target share was 24.7%. London’s numbers still led Atlanta’s wide receivers by a considerable margin despite the uninspiring results. This was a byproduct of Arthur Smith’s penchant for the deployment of Atlanta’s rushing attack, as the Falcons currently rank second in run play percentage (56.1%).  London also ran 231 routes from Weeks 3-12, but was targeted on 21.6% of those routes, and averaged 1.2 yards per route run.

However, London operated with a 50% target share when the Falcons hosted Pittsburgh in Week 13. That was Mariota‘s final matchup as the team's starting signal caller and 12 of his 24 passing attempts were distributed to London during that contest.

London also collected six receptions during that Week 13 matchup which was his highest weekly total since Week 2. He also established a new career high while accumulating 95 receiving yards. London’s 176 yards also placed him fourth among all wide receivers while he was also 13th overall with a 46.6% air yards share.

The Falcons returned from their Week 14 bye with Ridder elevated into the starting role at quarterback. Atlanta had selected Ridder in Round 3 of last April’s NFL draft (74th overall) and his insertion under center provided the first opportunity to witness how London would be impacted by the transformation from Mariota.

Ridder’s numbers were certainly underwhelming as he only connected on 13 of his 26 attempts while generating 97 yards. However, London’s involvement in the reshaped aerial attack was encouraging.

London secured a 42.3% target share which placed him fifth among all wide receivers in Week 15. He also lead the team and targets by a considerable margin as no other Falcons surpassed three when the team visited New Orleans.

London also captured seven receptions which were his highest total since Week 2. He also assembled 70 receiving yards and 96 air yards while his 46.6% air yard share placed him sixth overall. London also ran 30 routes in Week 15, was targeted on 36.7% percent of those routes, and averaged 2.33 yards per route run.

Ridder’s learning curve and Smith’s ground-oriented strategic approach will impede London from maximizing his abilities during Atlanta’s remaining matchups. However, his role as the Falcons’ top receiving weapon should still compel you to utilize him as a WR3.

 

5. Brandon Aiyuk had captured a 24.8% target share from Weeks 6-10 and had also accumulated 35 targets (8.8 per game) - which placed him 16th overall. He was also 12th overall in receptions (27/6.8 per game), and 13th in receiving yards (330/82.5 yards per game) during those contests. He also stockpiled seven red zone targets which placed him second overall behind Justin Jefferson during that sequence.

Aiyuk had been accruing those numbers with Jimmy Garoppolo guiding San Francisco’s offense. However, Garoppolo sustained a foot injury in Week 13 which vaulted rookie Brock Purdy under center.

Purdy now connected on 62 of his 93 passing attempts (66.7% completion percentage) while generating 678 yards (113 per game) and constructing a 6:2 touchdown to interception ratio. He has also averaged 7.3 yards per attempt and 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Purdy has also started two consecutive games for the 49ers (Weeks 14-15). Aiyuk has attained an 87.4% snap share but just a 14.6% target share during those contests. He has been targeted seven times (3.5 per game) while collecting four receptions (2.0 per game) and generating 76 yards (38 per game) during Purdy’s two starts. Aiyuk has also been targeted on 15.6% of his routes while averaging 1.69 yards per route run.

Purdy has distributed a team-high 11 targets to Christian McCaffrey (22.9% share) while George Kittle is the only other 49er who has attained a double-digit total (10/20.8% share). Deebo Samuel had collected four or five targets (22.7% share) and generated 43 receiving yards before sustaining both an MCL sprain and an ankle sprain in Week 14.

Aiyuk’s upcoming matchups against Washington and Las Vegas are enticing. However, anyone who has Aiyuk contained on their rosters should be concerned about the reduction in his targets following the transition to Purdy.

Aiyuk is not the only wide receiver who has sustained a decrease in usage during recent matchups. Parris Campbell attained a 22.3% target share from Weeks 6-10 which was second on the Colts to Michael Pittman’s 28% share. Rookie Alec Pierce was a distant third among Indianapolis wide receivers with an 11.4% share during those contests.

Campbell ascended to 13th among all wide receivers with 39 targets during that span. He also secured 9+ in three of his five matchups during that sequence while averaging 7.8 per game.

However, even though Campbell has secured an 82% target share since Week 12, he has also been limited to a 12.2% share. He has also failed to exceed five targets during any of his last three matchups, which has relegated him to an average of 4.0 targets per game during those contests. Pittman leads the Colts with 36 routes during that sequence, followed by Pierce (32), and Campbell (31).

The decline in opportunities has also restricted his production, as Campbell has also averaged just 2.7 receptions per game during that sequence while failing to surpass 2.0 receptions in two of his last three matchups. Campbell has also averaged 23.3 yards per game while failing to surpass 14 yards in two of his last three games.

Pittman has attained a 29.6% target share since Week 12, while Pierce’s 14.3% share has also surpassed Campbell’s 12.2% during that span. This decline in usage already created risk in starting Campbell even before the decision was made to transition from Matt Ryan to Nick Foles. This should compel you to avoid using Campbell during your remaining postseason matchups.



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2024 NFL Free-Agency Winners and the Fantasy Football Impact - Part I

Free agency symbolizes the start of a new NFL season. It's the first opportunity for NFL clubs to start addressing their weaknesses and considerably impacts how the upcoming season plays out. Just as free agency can improve or worsen a team's outlook, a player's fantasy football value is also impacted. Free agency marks the real... Read More


Malik Nabers - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Coach Knows Ball: Malik Nabers 2024 NFL Draft Film Breakdown of LSU WR

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More


Avoid These Running Backs in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The staff is already looking ahead to the 2024 season to help our readers get the jump on their competition. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones discusses five Running Backs that you should AVOID in 2024 fantasy football drafts. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio... Read More


Brock Bowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers, NCAA College Football, Prospects

Brock Bowers 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update – When Will the Georgia TE Be Selected?

Georgia tight end Brock Bowers was arguably the top tight end in college football over the past few years. Bowers was outstanding his freshman year, totaling 56 receptions for 882 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns. Unfortunately, his production slightly slipped in 2022 as defenses started to game plan for the star tight end. Bowers had... Read More


Xavier Worthy 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update – When Will the Texas WR Be Selected?

Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy has been one of the top pass-catchers in college football over the past few years. The explosive receiver was outstanding his freshman year, totaling 62 receptions for 981 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. Unfortunately, his production slipped in 2022. Worthy had 60 receptions for 760 receiving yards and nine touchdowns... Read More


Blake Corum - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, RB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Blake Corum 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update - When Will the Michigan RB Be Selected?

Former Michigan running back Blake Corum is one of the most popular prospects in the 2024 NFL Draft class. The 23-year-old is fresh off a College Football National Championship victory and a 2023 campaign consisting of over 1,300 yards from scrimmage. However, given the devaluation of the running back position and Corum not being an... Read More


Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

Will The 49ers Trade Brandon Aiyuk?

Brandon Aiyuk had a career year last season, finishing seventh in the league in receiving yards (1342), second in yards per catch (17.9), and catching seven touchdowns. For his efforts, he was named to the Second-team All-Pro. However, despite many expecting them to do so, the 49ers failed to win Super Bowl LVIII and now... Read More