Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


The Cut List (Week 16) - Time to Let Go?

Not a ton has changed since last week given the one combined real game from Monday through Thursday. Friday doesn't exactly give us enough new information, either: as if Josh Bell opening the second half 0-for-4 would make anyone panic.

That said, there are still decisions to be made. Fewer, given the lack of new evidence, but some. Only six suggestions this week, two per depth, before ramping things back up again next week.

Stats are through Friday, July 12. Weekly reminders: Recommendations are for mixed leagues. Recommendations in one league size obviously apply to smaller leagues. You can also feel free to drop a shallower suggestion in a deeper league, but the dividing line is generally there for a reason. And, as usual, you can find ideas on how to replace your cut candidates at the Waiver Wire Pickup List.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!


10-Team Cut Candidates

Hunter Dozier (3B, KC)

Dozier was a nice surprise to start the year, hitting a whopping .349/.447/.686 in March and April. He was strong in May as well, hitting .283/.354/.505. At the end of May, however, he went on the injured list with "right side thorax tightness." Since returning, he's hit just .179/.257/.343 in 17 games. That has been enough to start scaring away owners, perhaps in part due to the chance that it is related to his chest injury.

His overall line remains an excellent .278/.362/.524, and a slow 17-game stretch even coming out of an injury could turn around in a shorter amount of time, so it's too early to go overboard in deeper leagues. But in the shallower ends, you may find better options to chase. This is especially true with Dozier stuck on a poor offense like Kansas City's, which gives him relatively fewer opportunities to score or drive in runs. In fact, a 12-team cut isn't unthinkable here either if there is someone one the wire who addresses a clearer category need.

Noah Syndergaard (SP, NYM)

Like Guerrero last week, this is a bit of devil's advocacy. Off the bat, let's just say it's probably too aggressive to drop "Thor." (Selling somewhat low in a trade, in redraft leagues, is not necessarily unreasonable though. But yes, he's someone who should have trade value.) Syndergaard has the added benefit over Guerrero of a long track record of being much better than this.

However, Syndergaard on the season does have -- and this after benefiting from a Saturday date with the soft Miami offense -- a 4.55 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 4.03 xFIP, 4.13 SIERA, 23.4 K% (8.8 K/9), and is struggling despite a fairly unassuming .309 BABIP. If this were a pitcher named Noah Smith and you had no prior information, what would your course of action be?

Now, we do have that extra information that tells us Syndergaard is a better pitcher than he's shown this season. But the relative disappearance of strikeouts -- he's down from a career high of 29.3% back in 2016, when strikeouts were less prevalent league-wide -- is discouraging. His whiffs are falling too; 12.3% of his pitches are swung at and missed, a figure which has declined steadily for him since 2016. Even if he remains roster-worthy in all leagues throughout 2019, he's someone to be wary of entering draft season in 2020.


12-Team Cut Candidates

Kyle Schwarber (OF, CHC)

Schwarber's knock has always been difficulty hitting lefties, but he's improved against them this year with a .220/.304/.407 line. Unfortunately, that's come with a regression against right-handed pitching, in the form of a .225/.319/.462 slash. The overall result, .224/.317/.451, returns Schwarber to the ranks of below average after a nice 2018. And while he's on pace to set a career high in plate appearances, the platoon issue remains a threat to Schwarber's playing time. That said, the Cubs are sticking with him as the leadoff hitter, which might make cutting a little difficult.

Overall, however, Schwarber's batting average is deadly, he's not going to drive in runs from a National League leadoff spot, and he's never been a base stealer. That leaves him as a two-category player, home runs and runs. His 18 home runs have been nice, but this is also a year where everyone seems to be going long. Maybe the wire is barren of anyone who will hit more bombs than Schwarber, but it may well have someone who can give more juice in other areas. A one-dimensional below average hitter is not a must-have at standard depths.

John Gant (RP, STL)

Gant is a Carlos Martinez handcuff at this point. And while Gant's 2.54 ERA and 0.96 are solid, they are not dominant by reliever standards. His non-dominance is most evident in a 13.3 K-BB% (9.3 BB%, 22.5 K%). Several of the best starters have better strikeout numbers than Gant. A 4.04 xFIP and 4.17 SIERA also demonstrate his shortcomings as a middle reliever.

He's been good enough, and the Cardinals bullpen situation post-Jordan Hicks shaky enough, that maybe Gant is not a cut everywhere. But without saves, his ratios and strikeouts are not good enough to justify presence on standard rosters.


14-Team Cut Candidates

Billy Hamilton (OF, KC)

Once again, the lead 14-team cut is a former 12-team cut. Hamilton is hitting .217 with nine RBI. Nine RBI all year! Kansas City ended the first half with a trip to Washington, and the lack of an extra hitter caused Hamilton begin all three games on the bench. Nor was he in the lineup to start the second half. That will happen when you hit .217/.284/.271.

Hamilton hasn't even been a monster base stealer of late. He has four swipes in the last 30 days, making him one of 22 players with at least that many in that time frame, while 11 players have five or more. With the Royals seeming to move away from Hamilton, you should be able to as well at almost any depth. He is just too terrible at the plate.

Brad Keller (SP, KC)

Not to pick on the Royals, but they are really not good. Keller has a 4.47 ERA, an even worse 5.17 xFIP, a devastating 1.45 WHIP, an anemic 15.9 K%, a troubling 11.3 BB%, and a bad offense behind him contributing to a 4-9 record. He remains on some rosters, but he should be on even fewer.

Keller's teammate Jacob Junis is on half the rosters thanks to a higher ERA, but is the better pitcher peripherally. That doesn't mean drop Keller for Junis, or to pick up Junis anywhere, just that Keller himself -- bad pitcher, bad team, no strikeouts -- is not worth the trouble.


Last Week's Updates

Here is the link to last week's Cut List. Thanks to the All-Star Break limiting new information, all of those suggestions ought still apply. Exceptions may be starting pitchers, Yu Darvish more so than Jack Flaherty, who seemed to do something different and more effectively.

More Fantasy Baseball Busts and Avoids

More Recent Articles


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Le'Veon Bell (illness) is questionable to play this week. Marlon Mack is expected to be back on the... Read More

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More

Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

Fantasy Football IDP Rankings for Week 14 (Top 100)

The fantasy playoffs are here for most of us, so every position matters that much more. IDP spots often become an afterthought or a set-it-and-forget-it situation but it could be that linebacker who has a monster game or that key interception that makes the difference between winning or going home. Look to our streamer suggestions... Read More

Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More

Star Players Who Might Miss the Fantasy Playoffs

As we head into the playoff weeks of fantasy football, you'll hear many experts preach (correctly) the need to stash high-upside handcuffs or backups at quarterback or tight end. You'll inevitably hear about looking ahead three weeks for favorable playoff schedules and thinking less about what the player has done up until now or whether... Read More

Week 14 Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding

It's finally here... The fantasy playoffs for most leagues. Hopefully you have a chance to win a fantasy championship in the next few weeks. If you're lucky, you have a first-round bye and won't have to worry about anything this week except for picking out a Christmas tree and setting up all your holiday decorations.... Read More

Fantasy Football Booms, Busts - Zach Pascal, Jamaal Williams, Gardner Minshew

Whether this is the first week of your playoffs, the last week of your regular season, or the time to win a DFS league to pay for your holiday presents, this is the most crucial week of your fantasy football season. While my booms from last week (Robert Woods, Jack Doyle, Dede Westbrook, Kyle Allen)... Read More

Running Back Start/Sit Advice - Week 14

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the running back position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in RB3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 13 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As many of you prepare for your Week 14 matchups, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which... Read More

Week 14 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are beginning in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning a championship.... Read More

Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 14

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

The King's Week 14 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Below you will find my Week 14 fantasy football lineup rankings for the first round of your playoffs. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR, and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions, especially on the weekends. Skill Position analysis versus... Read More

Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery: Playoff Panic

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody else on your bench. Disaster Recovery is here to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting and to help you decide if you should... Read More

Thursday Night Football Matchups Analysis - Week 14

It's that time of year again! While many will be caught up in the thrills of the holiday season, those lucky few who have risen to the top of their fantasy leagues will be sweating over lineup decisions in pursuit of a championship (in most league formats). To our fantasy owners who have managed to... Read More