🖥 CYBER MONDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Sophomore Slump - Five 2015 Rookies Who Won't Live Up To 2016 ADP

The dreaded sophomore slump can strike without warning. It is widely assumed that rookies will improve with experience, but that is not always the case. Whether it's a change in usage, a new coaching staff, stiffer competition or simple regression, a player may not match the expectations raised by their rookie performance.

Here is a look at five players from the 2015 draft class who may not live up to higher expectations entering the 2016 NFL season. Average Draft Position Data is according to Fantasy Football Calculator 12 team Standard ADP as of May 12th.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium NFL Subscription, only $29.99 for the full season. We have all the preseason tools to help win your drafts, and in-season tools to win your seasonal and daily leagues: Draft Kit, Premium Rankings, ADP Sleepers Tool, Matchup Ratings for every player, Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Sophomores Who May Slump in 2016

Stefon Diggs (WR, MIN, ADP: 9.05)

Diggs was one of the most pleasant surprises among rookies at the skill positions in 2015. He caught 52 passes for 720 yards and four touchdowns in only 13 games, making for a popular in-season addition for fantasy owners active on the waiver wire. Most of Diggs' damage came between weeks 4-8, when he accumulated 419 yards in four games. After week 8, his production fell off and he only recorded more than four receptions in a game once. His decrease in production could be attributed to opposing defenses identifying him as the primary target for Teddy Bridgewater in the Vikings offense.

In April, the Vikings spent a first-round pick on Ole Miss Wide Receiver Laquon Treadwell and sixth-rounders on German Wide Receiver Moritz Bohringer and UTSA Tight End David Morgan. The addition of the incoming rookies will limit the numbers of targets that Diggs will see. Even if he starts opposite Treadwell, it is unlikely Diggs will be putting up 100 yard games. Minnesota will continue to be a run-first offense with Adrian Peterson, so big receiving games will be few and far between. With more receiving threats on the roster, Diggs won't be higher than a WR4 this season in fantasy football leagues.

 

Devin Funchess (WR, CAR, ADP: 13.01)

A 31-473-5 line and a 13th round ADP might seem like an easy bet to live up to, but Funchess will be dealing with more than the possibility of a sophomore slump. As amazing as Cam Newton was, coming off of a Super Bowl loss, the chances of him matching his MVP season are slim. Even if Carolina's passing game manages to come close to last year's production level, there is also the fact that fellow big wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin will return to the Panthers lineup after missing all of 2015 with a torn ACL.

The 6'5", 245-pound first-rounder from FSU will take over as the top WR target, followed closely by TE Greg Olsen. This leaves Funchess as the third option at best. Additionally, Newton tends to spread the ball around evenly, so it's hard to envision too many breakout performances with veterans Ted Ginn and Corey Brown still around. Funchess will not help fantasy owners and is nothing more than a late-round flyer.

 

Duke Johnson (RB, CLE, ADP: 8.03)

There is no debate Duke Johnson is fast. The 5'9" speedster regularly ripped off big runs at Miami and is a threat catching the ball out of the backfield. One might think this would lead to big play ability, but that wasn't on display in his first season with Cleveland. His longest run was 39 yards and he only averaged 23.7 rushing yards per game. The opportunity was there for the taking, with only Isaiah Crowell standing in his way, however, Johnson never became the Browns full-time starter.

I expect Johnson's role to stay the same - he will be an outlet receiver on obvious passing downs and an occasional change of pace back. His injury history in college is a cause for concern in regards to any increased workload. Johnson's great hands and breakaway speed give him potential value as a flex for deep leagues in PPR formats, but chances are his fantasy value will continue to be limited.

 

Jeremy Langford (RB, CHI, ADP: 3.10)

When Matt Forte went down in week 8, Langford took over as the primary back for Chicago. In Adam Gase's offense, he was asked to catch the ball out of the backfield regularly and served well in that role. Langford produced 142 combined yards in week 9 and had a 100-yard receiving game in week 10 to go along with 73 rushing yards. Just when he was looking like a waiver wire revelation, his production came back down to earth. Langford didn't reach 70 total yards in any of the next five weeks, and he didn't surpass 83 combined yards in the last 7 weeks of the season. In a timeshare with Forte, his role diminished and he failed distinguish himself as a lead back.

Langford's 3.6 yards per carry is likely one of the reasons the Bears pursued C.J. Anderson in free agency. Even with Forte now wearing a Jets uniform, Langford won't necessarily become a feature back in Chicago. Ka'Deem Carey and Indiana Rookie Running Back Jordan Howard could carve out roles and I wouldn't be surprised if the Bears look to add a veteran in free agency during training camp either. Langford has talent, but his two week breakout last season may have been more fluke than predictor. Langford projects as a low-end RB2 for this coming season, which makes his 3rd round price tag unpalatable.

 

T.J. Yeldon (RB, JAX, ADP: 7.06)

T.J. Yeldon, meet Chris Ivory. The Jaguars invested $32 million over 5 years to make Ivory a big part of the offense. It's hard to envision the coaching staff having much faith in Yeldon beyond a third-down back role if they felt compelled to sign a free agent running back to such a large contract. Yeldon posted respectable numbers during his rookie campaign, averaging 4.1 yards per carry, totaling 740 rushing yards and 279 receiving yards. PPR leagues may have use for Yeldon as a deep reserve, since he should produce similar receiving numbers, but his rushing numbers are sure to decline significantly.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
VEG

Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

Questionable With Adductor Issue
P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
Daniel Gafford

Expected To Miss Second Straight Game
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

Planning to Play Through Broken Bone in Left Hand in Week 14
Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
Sauce Gardner

Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
Noah Clowney

Considered Probable for Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Listed as Probable for Monday's Matchup
Caris LeVert

Expected Back Monday
Duncan Robinson

Questionable to Face Hawks
Jalen Duren

Likely to Return Against Hawks Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Alexandre Sarr

Iffy for Monday
Mark Williams

Available Against Lakers Monday
Ryan Dunn

on Track to Return Monday
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Uncertain for Monday
Coby White

Returning to Bulls Lineup Monday
Paolo Banchero

Unavailable Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

to Miss 3-4 Weeks
Jarrett Allen

to Miss a Week of Action
Justin Herbert

Suffers Fractured Hand in Week 13, Will Have Surgery
Kimani Vidal

has Season-High in Rushing Yards in Win Over Raiders
De'Von Achane

Looks Unstoppable on the Ground in Week 13
Davante Adams

has Another Two-Touchdown Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

is Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Adonai Mitchell

has Career Day With 102 Yards, Touchdown in Win
Bijan Robinson

Compiles 191 Total Yards, Touchdown in Loss to Jets
Shedeur Sanders

Will Start Again in Week 14 Against Titans
Mike Evans

Could Return in Week 14
Keon Coleman

Active for Week 13
Dalton Kincaid

Officially Inactive for Week 13
Kyren Williams

Returns in Week 13 After Injury Scare
Kyren Williams

Suffers Apparent Leg Injury in Week 13, Status Unclear
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP