Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Rookie Roulette - Which QB Goes After Kyler Murray in Dynasty Drafts?


Asking the question "which first-year quarterback should go first in rookie drafts" is, basically, a bad question. You don't need to read a 1000 word piece from me about why to pick Kyler Murray over the other quarterbacks in this class. No way. Kyler should be the first quarterback off the board in 100 percent of rookie drafts, even if you think he's not as good as advertised.

But what about the battle to be the second quarterback off the board?

There are three quarterbacks who you could make a case for as the second quarterback that gets taken. Let's look at those cases for Dwyane Haskins, Daniel Jones, and Drew Lock. (Apologies to Will Grier fans who insist that the Panthers are going to move on from Cam Newton.)

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

The Case For Dwayne Haskins

Haskins has the easiest case of any of these quarterbacks. He was arguably the second-best quarterback prospect in this year's draft, even though he wasn't the second quarterback drafted. He ends up on a Washington team where he shouldn't have too much competition to be the team's quarterback before the end of the 2019 season.

And, maybe most importantly, Haskins is extremely talented. Before this year's NFL Draft, SB Nation put up some numbers ranking the 22 quarterbacks from this class with the best chance of making the NFL by various metrics. Haskins ranked first in college completion percentage, second in success rate (to Kyler Murray), second in passer rating (again, to Murray), and second in adjusted net yards per attempt (again, because there seems to be a pattern here, to Kyler Murray). As a pure passer, Haskins is either the best or second best player from this draft, a guy who can make any throw. He's got to improve some of his reads, but Haskins has the makings of an above-average NFL passer.

The problem with Haskins is with his legs. You (mostly) want a modern NFL quarterback to be a guy who can escape the pocket when he needs to. Haskins runs a 5.04 40-yard dash, a number that's just...not very good. Haskins is going to have to rely on his arm to give him value and while that's probably fine in the real-life world of the NFL, it does lower his fantasy ceiling, as he's unlikely to be much of a factor in the run game.

Still, Haskins' arm strength and accuracy are up there, and with only Case Keenum and Colt McCoy to beat out, Haskins should be in a position to succeed fairly quickly.

 

The Case For Drew Lock

Lock was the big loser on draft night in the "went later than expected and lost out on money" sense, but he actually ended up in a pretty good situation with the Denver Broncos.

Denver's current quarterback is Joe Flacco, but Flacco has transitioned into the "temporary placeholder" portion of his career, so his presence in Denver shouldn't be a long term impediment for Lock.

There are some concerning numbers for Lock. Of the aforementioned 22 quarterbacks, his completion percentage was the third worst, while he was in the middle of the pack in most of the other categories. Lock's got to figure more things out as a passer than someone like Haskins does.

Lock's did issue is that while he's got the arm strength to make whatever throw he needs to, he struggles with ball placement. He's shown signs of being able to zip the ball into small windows, but he didn't do it consistently enough at Missouri for us to assume that he'll be able to quickly get up to NFL speed as a thrower.

What Lock does have going for him over Haskins is that he's a more effective runner, but does that make up for his accuracy issues? Or his struggles under pressure? He's got a decent bit of development left to do, but his arm strength is there.

 

The Case For Daniel Jones

Jones was the actual second quarterback taken in this year's draft, even if the decision to take him over Haskins was...questionable.

Look, it's no mystery that I'm not a fan of Jones. While his 59.9 completion percentage is better than Lock's, Jones ranked last in this draft class -- and again, I'm talking about of 22 potentially draftable quarterbacks, not just the ones who were drafted -- in yards per completion and marginal efficiency and second to last in adjusted net yards per attempt. As a passer, the Duke version of Daniel Jones was just really poor in a lot of ways.

But look, I've been trying to keep it more positive lately, so let's talk about things Jones could d0 right in the NFL.

First, he's fine in terms of accuracy when throwing short balls. If the Giants employ a ton of short passing routes, Jones is more than capable of putting the ball in the right spot, which means that the Jones to Saquon Barkley connection could be very dangerous.

His arm is also pretty strong. Yes, his deep ball accuracy needs a lot of work, but he can throw the ball deep, which is a good sign. And Jones has some mobility to him -- he gets compared a lot to the Manning brothers, but Jones can actually get out of the pocket and do a little damage with his legs. He isn't Peyton Manning on the run.

Now, do these positives outweigh the negatives, which are that Jones doesn't throw with accuracy beyond 10 to 15 yards, has trouble making reads, and struggles immensely when pressured in the pocket? Nah, but you can at least see the upside that made the Giants take him where they did.

 

And The Winner Is...

Dwayne Haskins. Yes, his mobility is concerning, but he's the best passer of this bunch and is in the best situation to have both a short and long term impact. I think there's actually a pretty big gap between Haskins -- who should turn out to be an incredibly solid NFL quarterback -- and the other two, who both have much bigger question marks surrounding their ability to stick around the league.

More Dynasty League Strategy




More Recent Articles

 

Week 14 Surprises? We Must Overreact Immediately!

In Week 14, the quarterback position was littered with surprises. Drew Brees dropped over 40 fantasy points on a 49ers Defense that's given up the second-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks on the season and Jameis Winston hung 456 yards and 5 touchdowns on a Colts Defense that's been solid against the pass all year. Mitch... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 15)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 15-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Still doing things a little differently this week--for those of you who are still alive. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Week 15 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 15 is here and for those of you that won the first week of your fantasy playoffs, congratulations. If you had a bye week, good luck to you this week. Kicker lives still matter, and three different kickers had 15 or more points last week. Three different kickers outscored Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick... Read More


FAAB Bidding - Week 15 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


Week 15 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

You have to love fantasy football. You have to, otherwise you would have given up by now. In a week that most likely represented the first matchup of the fantasy playoffs or a must-win in some form for the vast majority of players, we were treated to the following: Alvin Kamara netting three fantasy points,... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

It is almost inconceivable that we are progressing into the second week of fantasy postseason matchups. Congratulations to those of you whose teams are still competing in the playoffs. Your meticulous planning during the draft process and the regular season has been rewarded with an opportunity to win your leagues' championships. This critical week provides the opportunity to... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 15

Week 15 is upon us, which means that even the holdovers who play in leagues with four team playoffs and no byes are now in fantasy playoff mode. This is it: the home stretch. Are there any wide receivers left on the waiver wire who can help you in the playoffs? Let's look at some... Read More


Week 15 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football season is over, either because you did not make your league’s playoffs or because you have had enough of failing in DFS contests, then this column is not for you. Congratulations if you HAVE qualified for your fantasy league’s playoffs! To reach the postseason you must have received some decent play... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 15

The first week of the fantasy playoffs in almost in the books, and if you're fortunate enough to have advanced then it's already time to start thinking about Week 15 lineups, especially for those who stream quarterbacks. Luckily, there are plenty of viable options available as eliminated owners have stopped making moves, and if you... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More