2 months agoAt a field stacked with what's left of the PGA Tour elite, getting down to Cam Davis at $8,700 on FanDuel is tricky business. That price range has a slew of guys rating out higher than the 29-year-old Australian from top to bottom, though few of them are hitting their irons as well, as he has gained an average of 2.42 strokes on approach shots in three of his last four events played. When looking at the history of winners at the Stadium Course, it's hard to overlook the Aussie success. Davis has two missed cuts and a T6 finish in 2023 on his resume, and while many view that as mostly disappointing, it's certainly conceivable that last year's finish could be a sign of big things to come this time around.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
2 months agoLuke List started off well at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. An early 69 put him position for better things. Instead, the American golfer turned in a 78. After a 72 on Saturday, List bottomed out with a 79. That dropped him to 56th on the event. After missing the cut the week before, things have turned sour for List once again. He just nearly won The Genesis Invitational less than four weeks ago. However, TPC Sawgrass could be a struggle with his 54.19% driving accuracy (152nd) and putting which ranks 118th in terms of strokes gained.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoWhile California proved to the liking of Matthieu Pavon, Florida has not treated the French golfer so well. Pavon won at The Farmers Insurance Open then came close at Pebble Beach (Tied-3rd). Since then, Pavon has been a little errant with shots and his putter. Back-to-back 70's kept him out of contention at the Cognizant Championship. Last week was even worse at Bay Hill. Pavon opened with a 74 then closed with consecutive 76's. The question becomes do we see the golfer who ranks second overall in strokes gained (1.74) or the one who could not string shots together in Florida.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoDoug Ghim started off 2024 slowly after missing the cut in his first two tournaments. Since then, the American has finished no worse than 16th. Also, Ghim has fired a 68 or better in the final round of each tournament. That included a 66 to get inside the Top 20 at the Cognizant Championship. Ghim has enjoyed two excellent weekends in a row with the putter and approaches to the green. It is more than the 49th and 12th in strokes gained with those metrics, Ghim has been accurate with his drives (13th on tour) and in GIR (Greens In Regulation).
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoBeau Hossler probably remembers last week more for the missed opportunities in Rounds 2 and 3. However, the American golfer fired off a 65 on Sunday to get himself back inside the Top 30. Putting even three rounds together of quality has been tough for Hossler in 2024. The year is young but even at The Genesis, that final round 73 was a backbreaker. Hossler can put very well and gains more than half a stroke on average. Unfortunately, he drives the ball 292 yards off the tee and his accuracy is 56.77%. At Sawgrass, Hossler must be more accurate on his tee shots. Anything less spells doom on this championship course.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoAlex Noren showed something last week at the Cognizant Classic. It was more than the tied for ninth as the Swedish golfer seemed to get better as the weekend rolled along. His 67 on Sunday showed that there was a little more left. He will need to be accurate this week as the 7,189 yard Par 72 is not that long. However, getting on the greens in good position is a priority. Noren ranks 16th in that metric at 72.96%. Do watch the weather this weekend at TPC Sawgrass. Breezy conditions and a chance of afternoon thunderstorms might hamper a golfer like Noren.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoIt has been a rather swift rise through the ranks for Jake Knapp, as the PGA Tour Rookie makes his Players Championship debut. It is uncommon to view a new player as someone who could potentially thrive here seeing how tricky and unpredictable rounds can be. But the intangibles Knapp has shown through his last five starts is a recipe for success at TPC Sawgrass. The former UCLA Bruin is ranked 9th in strokes gained on approach (0.718) and 52nd in strokes gained putting (0.333) on the season. It's worth noting that he is coming off a poor week with the driver (-2.56 strokes gained off the tee) at the API, which is something that will have to be much improved if he wants any shot of making a run this week. There is a good chance Knapp will be a wanted commodity, so keep a modest expectation of ownership. But those who take the plunge on Knapp could be very happy by weeks-end.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
2 months agoOther than a second-place finish in his opening tournament at the Farmers Insurance Open, the jump to the PGA Tour hasn't been as fruitful for Nicolai Hojgaard as his time on the European circuit. He's still managed to make 3 of 4 cuts since Torrey Pines, but with a T34 as his best finish, the long-knocker from Denmark hasn't exactly lived up to the hype. He is ranked 24th in strokes gained off the tee (0.488) and has solid approach numbers in various length categories despite being ranked 83rd in strokes gained on approach (0.091). However, at an intricate venue like TPC Sawgrass, where first-time visitors don't typically fare well, the decline in play with the putter and irons makes Hojgaard a volatile pick at $8,900 on FanDuel.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
2 months agoFor most golfers, three top-25 starts to the season would be great. However, Rory McIlroy is not your average golfer. McIlroy's talent and price tag on DraftKings require him to contend, not just post a respective finish. McIlroy has been the best driver on the PGA Tour, but the rest of his game just isn't in form enough to feel confident spending on him right now.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
2 months agoLast week it finally all came together for Scottie Scheffler. After he switched putters, Scheffler found success on the greens and another win against an elite field. As the reigning champion, Scheffler returns to an event where his best skills are highlighted. Elite ball striking is usually required to succeed at TPC Sawgrass and there's nobody better in the world than Scheffler.
--Rob RoseSource: PGATOUR.com
2 months agoShane Lowry is heating up just in time for the largest purse on Tour. The 36-year-old Irish star has been knocking on the door for his third PGA Tour victory, coming off back-to-back top-5 finishes at the Cognizant Classic and Arnold Palmer Invitational. While he couldn't quite close
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2 months agoRussell Henley will likely be a popular golfer for fantasy managers this week, and rightfully so. The 34-year-old tour veteran has made the cut in all seven of his starts this season, including four top-15 finishes and a T4 finish at the difficult Arnold Palmer Invitational last week. He has also posted back-to-back top-20 finishes at TPC Sawgrass, and his recent form could bring him into contention over the weekend. Henley ranks fourth in good drive percentage, 24th around-the-green, and 13th in bogey avoidance over the last 24 rounds, and he's only lost strokes ball-striking twice since the last year's Players Championship. Henley profiles as a very safe option with upside and win equity at a reasonable $8,600 DraftKings salary, and fantasy managers should strongly consider getting some exposure to him this week.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
2 months agoTom Kim's recent poor form will likely keep fantasy managers away from him this week, as a course as difficult as TPC Sawgrass is typically not a spot for a golfer to turn his game around. The 21-year-old South Korean star is coming off of back-to-back middling performances in the Florida Swing, finishing T62 at the Cognizant Classic and T52 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week. He lost over three strokes from tee-to-green in both starts, just the second time in his PGA Tour career where he's lost strokes in that category in consecutive weeks. Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks 85th in strokes gained off-the-tee, 89th on approach, 58th around the green, 83rd in Bermuda putting, and outside of the top-100 in opportunities gained and bogey avoidance. Kim also lost strokes on approach and in the short game in his only Players start last year en route to a T51 finish. Fantasy managers may want to skip over Kim's name this week and wait to roster him until he displays better recent form.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
2 months agoKeegan Bradley jumped another two spots to OWGR No. 13 thanks to his T36 result at the challenging Arnold Palmer Invitational last week. That marked his seventh made cut in eight Tour starts this season, a stretch of golf that has included four top-20 finishes and a runner-up showing at the Sony Open in January. Bradley is notoriously streaky with his irons and putter, but he has enjoyed success at TPC Sawgrass with only one missed cut and finishes of T16, T29, and solo fifth since the tournament moved to March back in 2019. He certainly won't jump off the page statistically, as he ranks 82nd off-the-tee, 38th on approach, 50th around-the-green and 116th in putting over the last 24 rounds. Bradley continues to find ways to pile up solid finishes despite these numbers, and he offers fantasy managers a high-upside option with win equity in the $7,000-range on DraftKings.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
2 months agoAdam Scott was a huge letdown for fantasy managers last week. The Australian veteran was a highly-touted option heading into the Arnold Palmer Invitational on the heels of seven-straight top-20 finishes, but failed to make the cut at the challenging Bay Hill. That performance will likely keep Scott's ownership low, and fantasy managers may want to consider capitalizing on that leverage. He hasn't missed consecutive cuts in over ten years and still profiles as a solid course fit for TPC Sawgrass. Over the last 24 rounds, Scott ranks 29th off-the-tee and 14th on approach, and he's capable of spiking on the greens any given week. He also has a solid track record on difficult courses, and despite below-average results at The Players in recent years, he did rattle off finishes of T12, T6, T11 and T12 between 2016 and 2019 when the tournament was played in May. Scott should be expected bounce back this week, and fantasy managers choosing to roster him at low ownership could be handsomely rewarded come Sunday.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
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