RADIO
Matt Chapman 2024 Player Outlook: Fair Value Despite Unfavorable Venue Switch
9 months agoSan Francisco Giants third baseman landed a three-year deal with the club this winter on the heels of a solid season with the Blue Jays in 2023. The veteran hit .240 with 17 home runs, 39 doubles, and a .754 OPS across 140 appearances a season ago. At the same time, he only drove in 54 runs and offers little speed with a career-high four steals last season. The fact Chapman managed just 17 homers in a favorable home run park at the Rogers Centre in Toronto does not bode well for his home run upside at Oracle Park in San Francisco. According to Statcast, the Rogers Centre sits 14th in terms of home run factor at 104 over the last three seasons while only three ballparks have suppressed homers more than Oracle Park and its 84 home run factor in that time. ATC still projects 24 home runs and 70 RBI for Chapman in 2024 and he's currently the 24th third baseman coming off draft boards this spring, giving him fair value even with the unfavorable change in venue.
