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Happy Sunday, RotoBallers! Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy NFL DFS prop picks for the early games on Sunday, October 1, 2023. Welcome to our brand new NFL DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will continue to focus on the NFL DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks – whether you think a player will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (e.g., three picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people – you're just playing against the projections.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Today
Be sure also to check out our brand new Props Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Rachaad White, 73.5 Rush + Rec Yards (LOWER)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White faces the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. Despite being locked into a vital role in the Bucs backfield, White has been inefficient with his touches. White averages only 3.1 yards per rush and has the worst rush yards over expected at -65. White taking on the Saints does not help his cause. The Saints have allowed the 10th-fewest rushing yards this season. White is involved in the passing game but has not reached 74 total yards in two of three games.
K.J. Osborn, 29.5 Receiving Yards (LOWER)
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver K.J. Osborn faces the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. The Vikings are favored in this matchup and may only need to throw the ball a little. Even if the Vikings continue passing at a historic rate, Osborn may not hold onto his role in the offense for long. Rookie wide receiver Jordan Addison's snap percentage has climbed each week, and he may be closing in on the WR2 job in Minnesota. With Addison ascending and a positive game script, Osborn may reach less than 30 receiving yards.
Van Jefferson, 2.5 Receptions (LOWER)
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Van Jefferson faces the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. Although this is not a tough matchup for wide receivers, Jefferson's role in the offense has been minimal, with the emergence of rookie wide receiver Puka Nacua and Tutu Atwell as the top targets in the receiving game. Coming into the year, the assumption was Jefferson would be the Rams WR1 with Cooper Kupp on injured reserve, but that was not the case. Jefferson has had multiple catches in only one game this season.
Raheem Mostert, 13.5 Receiving Yards (HIGHER)
Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert faces the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Mostert has 10 receptions on 10 targets in the season's first three games. The Dolphins running back turned those 10 receptions into 79 receiving yards, 60 of which came in Week 3 against the Denver Broncos. The Bills are a much better offense than the Broncos and may force the Dolphins to be more pass-heavy. Mostert is talented enough to pick up 14 receiving yards on a single catch.
Javonte Williams, 53.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams faces the Chicago Bears on Sunday. The Bears are among the best matchups for running backs in the entire league. The Chicago defense has given up big weeks to running backs in the first three games. Aaron Jones had 127 total yards and two touchdowns, Rachaad White had 103 total yards and a touchdown, and the Chiefs running backs combined for 163 total yards and four touchdowns. Williams is in a great spot to break out.
Antonio Gibson, 13.5 Rushing Yards (HIGHER)
Washington Commanders running back Antonio Gibson faces the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. The Eagles are the toughest matchup for running backs this season, allowing a league-best 145 rushing yards and no touchdowns through the first three games. Gibson has averaged just over two carries for 11.7 yards per game so far, but maybe receiving work in the ground game if Brian Robinson Jr. proves ineffective between the tackles. 14 rushing yards is attainable for Gibson this week.
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