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The 2021 NBA season is coming to a close, but our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat.
For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, March 29th.
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Single Stat NBA Totals
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Khris Middleton OVER 5.0 Assists - I'll start tonight's slate off with Khris Middleton's assist prop. Middleton's logged at least five assists in eight of his last ten matchups, as well as in 39 of 63 games this season (62%). The matchup isn't the best, as the Bulls rank 2nd in defensive efficiency and allow 0.15 assists under the league average to small forwards. Despite this, though, Middleton has logged at least six assists in each of the first two matchups between these two teams. I have Middleton projected for 5.2 assists tonight, so we're getting decent value on this number.
James Harden OVER 7.5 Rebounds - While Harden hasn't been hitting this number at a super consistent rate, he has logged eight or more rebounds in each of the Sixers' last three contests. The Pacers allow 0.1 rebounds under the league average to shooting guards but allow 0.11 rebounds over the league average to point guards. Considering Harden plays both positions seemingly equally, I'd consider this a wash. I have Harden projected for 8.7 rebounds tonight, so we are getting some solid projected value on this number.
Nikola Vucevic OVER 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists - This is likely my favorite play of the night. Vucevic has hit this number in three of his last four matchups, as well in five of seven games with two days rest, and in each of his last five matchups against the Bucks in the last two seasons. The Bucks rank fourth in center efficiency, but his consistent production against them makes this a tough line to fade. I have Vucevic projected for 32.7 PRA tonight, so we're getting great value on this number.
Other Recommendations - Jalen Green OVER 24.5 Points, Anthony Edwards OVER 3.5 Assists, Jalen Green OVER 3.5 Three-Pointers Made, Donovan Mitchell OVER 3.5 Three-Pointers Made, Jrue Holiday OVER 18.5 Points
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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