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Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 MLB season and alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props in which you determine if the pitcher in question will go over or under their projected strikeout total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat MLBP Totals
Lucas Giolito over 6.5 strikeouts - Giolito has had some rough outings in 2021, but he always seems to get his strikeouts as he has gone over 6.5 strikeouts in all but two starts. He will be facing a Twins team that has a K rate of just 19.2% over the previous 10 days, but they are also only walking at a clip of 7.9% and only posting a wRC+ mark of 94, neither of which should hinder Giolito's performance. Add in the fact that this is a day game after two consecutive night games and the Twins' biological clocks could also help Giolito in this one.
Trevor Rogers over 6.5 strikeouts - Rogers will be facing a Phillies team that is striking out at a rate of 27.5% over the previous 10 days vs. left-handers, which is ranked 11th-worst in baseball over that span. They have also struggled with patience vs. lefties as noted by their walk rate of just 7.8%. Rogers has been solid as well in 2021 as he has struck out at least seven batters in five of his eight starts and has reached six strikeouts in the other three.
Wade Miley under 4.5 strikeouts - The Giants have been solid against left-handed pitchers on the season as they boast a K rate of just 20.7%, which is ranked seventh-best in baseball. They also post a wRC+ of 109 and a solid walk rate of 13.5% on the season, so they are no easy task for Miley. Miley also faced these Giants back on April 12th in San Francisco, which is a more pitcher-friendly park than Great American, and only managed to strike out three. This seems like a solid spot to tag the under on Miley.
Zack Greinke under 5 strikeouts - Greinke will be facing an Athletics team that is only striking out at a rate of 22.7% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days and are also posting a wRC+ mark of 109, both of which rank in the top half of baseball. Greinke has only gone over this total twice on the season and has failed to go over it in his previous four starts, although he has matched it in two of those four starts. Greinke faced the Athletics back on Opening Day and only managed to strike out four through his six innings pitched. I think the worst-case scenario in this one would be a push as five strikeouts is almost the ceiling for Greinke in this one.
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