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Geico 500 - DFS NASCAR Sleepers and Drivers to Avoid at Talladega

We are back to racing after a long week off and headed to (what I consider Gods Racetrack) TALLADEGA! This weekend I will be in the pits representing RotoBaller to bring you some inside information that will set you up for success with your DFS lineups on Sunday.

My excitement level is through the roof for this race as it was the first track my Dad brought me to and started my love for the sport. Be sure to keep up with me this weekend on Twitter (@GarageGuyChase) and Instagram.

Before the week off, Martin Truex Jr got his first career short track victory at Richmond Raceway. I was happy to see him finally pull off a victory in the short game due to his success he's had in his career. I even listed him as a sleeper in the last Sleepers and Drivers to Avoid article that I wrote so hats off to those of you who gave him a start.

Holiday Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has released it's NASCAR Premium Pass to help you win on DFS sites. The NASCAR Premium Pass writing team includes FSWA Hall Of Famer Scott Engel,  four-time FSWA award winner Daniel Dobish who has won NASCAR writer of the year twice, and five-time NASCAR DFS Tournament champ Sean Engel. Be sure to check it out!

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What We Learned at Richmond

  • Kyle Larson's bad luck continues
  • Paul Menard broke his bad record streak
  • Kevin Harvick is still winless after securing the Pole
  • Martin Truex CAN win at a short track

 

DFS Sleepers - Geico 500

Chase Elliott

Hendrick Motorsports has had its issues this year and one driver that I feel can be the first to turn it around is Chase Elliott. Elliott's best finish at Talladega was last April when he finished third after starting fifth from the pole. He doesn't put up those numbers in the fall so this is the race to give him the nod if you're going to do it. If he starts towards the middle or rear, it's all systems go for me.

Kyle Larson

Two weeks ago I had Kyle Larson as a driver to avoid. He wasn't a fan of my analysis but I just call it like I see it and this is the week Larson can prove everyone wrong. Earlier in the year, Larson placed 7th in the Daytona 500 and if he brings that game this weekend he will be worth a start at a good price on DraftKings and FanDuel. On a side note, Larson spent his week off playing golf with Michael Jordan and when you hang with goats you get inspired.

Michael McDowell

I was told by a friend earlier in the year that Michael McDowell would do well on the larger tracks this year and I laughed my face off. When I saw that he placed fifth in the Daytona 500 I immediately regretted the laughter. McDowell is a long time driver that is itching for his first win and Talladega is known for making names with these smaller teams. The best finish McDowell has had at this track is 16th in his career but its a new package we're dealing with and he seems to have a feel for it at the larger tracks.

 

DFS Avoids - Geico 500

Martin Truex Jr. 

Martin Truex Jr. is coming off his first short track win but I see some winning hangover hitting him this week. Not only that but historically Talladega hasn't been too kind to Truex. Since 2015 he has only placed one Top 5 and one Top 10. Even with a new package and new team its still a long shot for Truex to bag Dega or get you solid point production in your lineups. Especially if he starts towards the front.

Eric Jones

Last year in October, Jones finished 8th at the track but ask a driver and they will tell you there's a difference between racing in the fall and the spring. Jones has never cracked the Top 20 in his career at Talladega in April and even though he had success at Daytona I'm going to hang up his helmet this weekend. With Truex and Jones both not looking hot for me this weekend you can clearly see who I have faith in at Joe Gibbs Racing.

Bubba Wallace

Bubba has been very disappointing this year for many. I along with other believed that he would have more success with the new package this year and Richard Petty Motor Sports would invest more to make him a successful driver but this hasn't happened and here we are. Wallace has had two Top 20 finishes in his career at Talladega but don't count on that to get you in the money in DFS. Until we see a Top 10 out of Bubba, keep him out of your lineups.

 

The Keys to Weekly NASCAR DFS Success

Our DFS NASCAR Premium Package features Sean Engel, who won his sixth career tournament at Bristol, and had the top lineup in seven contests and 10 top-two finishes. Be sure to use his weekly NASCAR DFS rankings, updated regularly.

Chase Holden's DFS picks at Martinsville and Texas were tops in the industry, and we also have two-time FSWA Racing Writer of the Year Daniel Dobish and two-time Racing Writer of the Year finalist Scott Engel in the crew.

Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team, and use promo code GARAGE for a discount.

 

For any and all fantasy NASCAR questions, find me on Twitter @GarageGuyChase.  

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Reaves

Facing Multiweek Absence With Calf Issue
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Listed as Questionable Against Brooklyn
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Out at Least One Week With Calf Strain
Jock Landale

to Miss Bucks Game With Calf Issue
Jordan Poole

Cleared to Play Friday vs. Suns
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Set to Suit Up Against Bulls
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Cedric Coward

Active On Friday Against Milwaukee
Ja Morant

Available On Friday Night Against Milwaukee
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Done for the Season
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Available on Friday
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Will Suit Up Against Chicago
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Good to Go Versus Washington
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Upgraded to Available Against Washington
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Nikola Jovic Cleared to Play on Friday
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Available For Friday Night Against New Orleans
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Back on Friday Night
Gary Trent Jr.

Ruled Out For Friday Night Against Memphis
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Will Miss Friday's Game Versus Atlanta
Justin Champagnie

Downgraded To Questionable For Friday Night
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Now Downgraded To Questionable For Friday
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Won't Play Versus Charlotte
Tristan da Silva

Returns To Action On Friday Night Against Hornets
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
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"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
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Returns to Practice on Friday
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Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
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George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
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Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
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Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
David Montgomery

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
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Chiefs Place Rashee Rice on Injured Reserve
T.J. Hockenson

Ruled Out for Week 17
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
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Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

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Exits Early Tuesday
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Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
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in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
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Won't Play Tuesday
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Out Week-to-Week
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Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
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Scores Twice Monday
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Injured in Monday's Win
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Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
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Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
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