DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - Genesis Invitational Golf Advice With Akshay Bhatia, Patrick Cantlay, Viktor Hovland and More (2025)

February 10, 2025

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Genesis Invitational. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Genesis Invitational. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version of including more picks, data, analysis and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Genesis Invitational

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Genesis Invitational

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 72
Cut: Top 50 & Ties (Or within 10 of lead)
Top 20 Entrants: 17

Last Five Winners of Torrey Pines (Using Torrey Pines and not Genesis)

Expected Cut-Line at the Genesis

*** Only a handful of players are getting cut + we typically get the North Course. I don't believe any of that information will be useful.

Torrey Pines South 

7,698 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Poa 

You can find my premium course breakdown here 

You can find Todd Mcgill's free breakdown here

First Look Into Outright Bets

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Targets Early On Monday

Akshay Bhatia ($7,100)

Here is a little teaser into the outlook of my model this week. These are the top five climbers mathematically when diving into their improvement in 'projected success" at Torrey Pines versus their recent results over the past 24 rounds. The easier way to explain that would be, "These are the golfers who are most likely to overcome bad form to find success at a course that fits their games better than we have seen in the recent window of returns."

The funny thing about that answer is that Harris English has already shown part of the expectation to be accurate, winning at Torrey Pines two weeks ago amid four finishes outside of the top 40 surrounding that result. It doesn't mean those names above will find the same success English just uncovered, but being ahead of the market is more important than playing things safe. 

We can dive into a few of those names a little deeper in a second, but Bhatia landed next to Wyndham Clark, Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry, Viktor Hovland, Robert Macintyre and Collin Morikawa as the only seven names to grade top 35 this week for Expected Driving, Putting and Iron Play.

Patrick Cantlay ($9,400)

We all know about Patrick Cantlay's recent mishaps of trying to get himself across the finish line. No victories since the 2022 BMW Championship will quickly ramp up a notion of struggles quicker than anything else when we are now in the 2025 calendar year. However, the one thing that I do highly want to stress during this article is how the public perception of a golfer is a hell of a drug that can cause poor reads to a situation if you start landing under the belief of "past results."

The space can sometimes be too reactionary in that way and make concrete decisions from it. You don't have to look further than last week when everyone said Detry couldn't close the show or around this time last year when Xander was labeled as a choker. I understand that until an idea is dispelled as inaccurate, you will always live in that world of belief with many gamers and bettors. Still, I will stress this comment once again...it is essential to avoid reading too much into "past results" since public perception can create leverage on the good end of the answer and overpricing when the market overreacts to quality past results of any kind.

Cantlay graded as one of only four golfers this week to crack the top 30 of my model for all seven categories that I weighed at Torrey Pines (Scheffler, McIlroy and Sungjae were the other three). That might have carried more weight if it weren't for his 33rd-place finish at Pebble Beach a few weeks back, but let's not forget the American was the top-projected scorer through two days before unraveling in the poor conditions on Saturday and Sunday.

While I don't believe this course is quite as ideal as Pebble Beach usually proves to be for his game, the 16-18/1 price two weeks ago in California are now doubled in the outright market and does present playability across the board for all game types this week.

When Cantlay wins again is unknown, but if we had odds on the location, California and Poa would always be the leaders in the clubhouse.

Viktor Hovland ($7,900)

We talked about this concept a little inside of Discord today. Extremely thick rough tends to help a poor around-the-green golfer since it 1. accentuates ball-striking and hitting greens and 2. leaves a little less creativity when you are trying to chop out onto the putting surface.

I still have some concerns about Hovland's lack of reps while in contention recently, but that upside isn't completely needed when you get a $7,000 price tag that will allow us to still shoot for the potential but do so at a much cheaper price tag than we are accustomed to paying.

Of the golfers who were in the bottom 15 in projected around-the-green production overall, only Akshay Bhatia and Viktor Hovland were able to reverse that trend by climbing into a top-25 producer when adding an extra mix of thick rough, three-putt avoidance, Fast Poa putting and overall scrambling.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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