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Expert Monday Night Football betting predictions, best MNF prop bets, and odds analysis for Week 9. Free Monday Night Football picks and player props for tonight's game including our top pick for an anytime touchdown.
Hello everybody, and welcome to Week 9's edition of Monday Night Football bets and props! The NFL season is now in full swing, and we here at RotoBaller could not be more thrilled to bring you some of the best content in the market. We are excited to bring betting content to all those interested in every slate in any given week.
This weekly article will focus on the Monday night slate, and I will provide several different betting angles for the games scheduled. I will typically offer at least one play on the game's total or spread, as well as at least three player or game props, including at least one anytime touchdown prop. Although this article will be published each week on Sunday evenings, you can always feel free to check out our Discord channel to see plays posted throughout the week.
This week's matchup features the Arizona Cardinals at the Dallas Cowboys down at Jerry's World in Arlington, Texas. Each of these teams has soft spots in their defense that we can look to exploit as well. Without further delay, let's get into tonight's picks for what should be an awesome Week 9 of Monday Night Football!
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Week 9 Monday Night Football Betting Odds
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys -3
Total: 54.5
Tonight's matchup pits two middling teams with struggling defenses against each other, as the 2-5 Cardinals will take on the 3-4-1 Dallas Cowboys. While Arizona has lost five straight games heading into this contest, Dallas is 2-2-1 across their previous four games and is looking to build momentum against two basement dwellers in the next two weeks, with the Cardinals and Raiders on tap.
Dallas has been in some of the highest-scoring games this season, as their defense has struggled to make stops, and is the key reason they are not sitting with a record above .500. That being said, their offense has been brilliant and has helped them stay in games they would otherwise not be close in.
Week 9 Monday Night Football Betting Picks
This matchup figures to provide a ton of points, as the current total is set at 54.5, which is the highest total on the board this week by two points. This should come as no surprise, as both defenses have struggled quite a bit this season.
Overall, Dallas is ranked as the worst defense in the league and has allowed the most passing yards to quarterbacks, the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers, and the fifth-most rushing yards to running backs. Additionally, the Cardinals have allowed nearly 250 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, while also allowing nearly 4.8 yards per carry to running backs over the previous four weeks.
While the defense in Dallas is significantly worse on paper than that of Arizona, the question is whether or not this Arizona offense can keep up with the offense of Dallas. Overall, Arizona ranks 19th in the league in terms of points scored per game while averaging just under 22 points per game. Meanwhile, Dallas has been putting up some serious points on offense and currently ranks second in the league, averaging nearly 31 points per game.
Dallas is at home as well, where they have averaged over 41 points per game and have scored at least 40 points in every game. This feels like a spot where Dallas can continue the trend and put up some serious points on this Arizona defense. While I do like the over 54.5 total points in this game, I also think Dallas can cover the 2.5 and then some in this matchup, as Arizona may struggle to keep up, despite Dallas' struggles on defense.
The Pick: Cowboys -3 (-118, DraftKings)
Week 9 Monday Night Football Player Props
Marvin Harrison Jr. OVER 58.5 receiving yards (-110, DraftKings)
While I do think Dallas wins and covers this game, Arizona should still be able to have some success moving the ball against this defense, especially through the air when they are listed as the underdog. Harrison Jr. should be the beneficiary of several targets in this game, which is a key reason we like him to go over his receiving prop here.
Harrison Jr. has seen an average of nearly six targets per game and has turned those into an average of three receptions for 56 receiving yards per game. While the receptions do not jump off the page, it is good to see that he is still capable of racking up receiving yards, which is what we are looking for against this Cowboys' defense.
As aforementioned, Dallas has struggled against wide receivers, having allowed an average of over 172 receiving yards per game to the position, on the season. They have also allowed a total of 13 wide receivers to go for 55 or more receiving yards this season. The fact that Arizona is an underdog in this means they will likely be forced to throw a bit more late in the game, which is another reason this prop makes sense for Harrison Jr.
MARVIN HARRISON JR. ARE YOU SERIOUS?
TENvsAZ on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/44RgpWWK5x
— NFL (@NFL) October 5, 2025
Jake Ferguson OVER 4.5 receptions (-148, DraftKings)
While I normally like to keep prop recommendations in the -115 range for this article, selecting Ferguson over in his receptions on Monday night makes too much sense not to put it out there. On the season, he has averaged over seven targets per game and is averaging over six receptions per game. He has also hauled in five or more receptions in all but two games this season.
While there is potential for him to see a slip in targets with George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb in the lineup, this Cardinals defense is quite vulnerable to the tight end position. Overall, Arizona has allowed the ninth-most receiving yards to tight ends as well as the eighth-most receptions. Noting that the Cardinals have already had their bye week, these numbers are rather futile.
A total of four tight ends have eclipsed 4.5 receptions against the Cardinals, including Tucker Kraft and Tyler Warren in their previous two games, who combined for 11 receptions and 121 receiving yards.
Week 9 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Bet
Jake Ferguson ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN scorer (+120, DraftKings)
We are going to do a little double-dipping tonight in hopes that one of Ferguson's receptions goes for a touchdown. He has been a solid threat to score week in and week out, and now has seen a total of 11 red zone targets since Week 3. He has also managed to haul in six touchdowns since Week 4 and is averaging two red zone targets per game over the previous three games.
The Cardinals, as noted above, have struggled vs. tight ends. In addition to the receptions and yards allowed, they have also allowed a total of three receiving touchdowns to the position. Recency has also not been kind to the Cardinals' defense in regards to tight ends, as they have allowed all three of these receiving touchdowns across their last four games.
Dallas currently has a team total set to 28.5, which makes it quite feasible that Ferguson could figure into the scoring mix, and with his odds set at just +120, it appears Las Vegas tends to agree, especially when considering the flaws on this Cardinals defense.
Jake Ferguson takes the screen all the way to the end zone for a Cowboys TD!
DALvsNYJ on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/poTLD0y0wf
— NFL (@NFL) October 5, 2025
