MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (6/22/2025)

June 22, 2025

Thunder Dan Palyo's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/22/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Eugenio Suarez, Cal Raleigh, and Nolan Arenado.

We saw a lot of balls leave the yard yesterday as the hot weather and good hitting conditions continue to drive up scores around the league.

Today should be more of the same, with at least six or seven stadiums featuring warm weather and winds blowing out. I'll try to target these ballparks with my props today, but also understand that the books will be baking these conditions into the players' odds (especially at Wrigley Field).

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, June 22, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/22/2025)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Sunday, June 22:

• Trent Grisham, New York Yankees
• Nolan Arenado, St. Louis Cardinals
• Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
• Eugenio Suarez, Arizona Diamondbacks
• Mickey Moniak, Colorado Rockies

Trent Grisham OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+300 FanDuel Sportsbook)

The first good spot for hitters is in the early game at Yankee Stadium. We have warm temperatures, and the wind is blowing out around 10 mph. Anything under 10 mph usually doesn't move the needle too much for me, but when you pair 10 mph winds with hot and humid weather, it's an excellent recipe for more home runs.

The Yankees face Baltimore pitcher Dean Kremer, whom they have a pretty solid history against in terms of BvP. Aaron Judge has smacked four home runs off Kremer, but he's actually worse against lefties this season and in his career, so I am going to pivot to leadoff man Trent Grisham.

Grisham has a home run off Kremer and a .500 batting average (though in a small sample size). Grisham comes into this game in good form, having smacked a home run in two of his last three games.

This ballpark plays well to lefties, too, with the short porch in right field. I like the price we are getting here, Grisham's odds are twice are long as Judge's on FanDuel.

Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+500 FanDuel Sportsbook)

The next stop on our excellent hitting environment tour today is in St. Louis, where temperatures will be in the 90s and the wind is blowing out to left field at 12 mph.

While Andrew Abbott is having a career year, let's not forget he's an extreme fly ball pitcher, and he has allowed over 1 HR/9 this season. Arenado has hit him well in their prior meetings, batting .467 with two home runs across 15 at-bats.

NOLAN ARENADO!

The @Cardinals tie the game in the bottom of the 9th! pic.twitter.com/BHW3Fe02dP

— MLB (@MLB) June 21, 2025

The Cardinal third-baseman comes in hot here, too, with a home run in each of the first two games in this series. These odds are tremendous compared to many around the league today, so I am gladly taking a shot on Arenado to stay hot in a good spot.

Cal Raleigh OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+132 FanDuel Sportsbook)

I know I said earlier this season that I would try to avoid recommending Aaron Judge or Cal Raleigh this season at low odds, but I need some exposure to this Cubs-Mariners game today. We have the third straight day of hot weather in Chicago and winds blowing out at Wrigley.

These teams have combined for 12 home runs in the first two games of this series. We should see the ball continue to jump off the bat here today and remember that even long fly balls have a chance of leaving this park when we have any kind of strong winds.

The Seattle bats are more appealing against Colin Rea and his 1.19 HR/9 than the Cubs are against Logan Gilbert, though it is just the second start for Gilbert since returning to the IL.

If you want to bet some Cubs to homer, too, I get it, but the odds on all of the best hitters are very juiced here. Raleigh leaving the yard just feels like a foregone conclusion, though, so I am okay betting it at these odds (and using my +200 boost on DK).

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Eugenio Suarez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+230 DraftKings Sportsbook)

The final two home run bets today come from the game at Coors Field between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies. Like the Cubs-Mariners series, this one has been filled with offensive fireworks, too, as both teams have combined for 30 runs in the first two games. There have been nine home runs hit in those two games, and three of them were hit by Suarez.

Eugenio Suárez’s 3rd straight game with a homer lifts the @Dbacks to victory. pic.twitter.com/OuhzVSfddO

— MLB (@MLB) June 22, 2025

Suarez is one of those hitters who can get red hot and hit home runs in bunches. We saw him do it in the second half of last season and earlier this year, too. If you remember, he even hit four home runs in the same game back in April. He's now clubbed four home runs in his last three games and now has 10 long balls in June to bring his season total to 25.

Suarez and the Snakes are implied for over seven runs in this game today. We have the same warm weather and friendly winds today that we have had the last two days, so everyone is expecting another big day at the plate for Arizona, especially because they are facing one of the worst pitchers in baseball, Antonio Senzatela.

Senzatela has an ERA approaching seven and has allowed 1.52 HR/9. Of the 12 home runs that he's surrendered, eight have come to righties. Suarez has two dingers against him in his career, and I like his chances of continuing his hot streak and overall dominance of Senzatela and the Rockies today.

Mickey Moniak OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+425 DraftKings Sportsbook)

The Rockies are in a good spot for home runs, too, as Arizona pitcher Brandon Pfaadt has surrendered 15 long balls already this season. I usually like to pick on Pfaadt with lefties as he has struggled with them during his career, but I will point out that righties are hitting him hard this year, too, and the difference in splits (at least with power) is negligble as hitters from both sides of the plate are slugging over .500 against him.

Moniak brings the best ISO rating against RHP of any Colorado hitter and has been heating up lately with three home runs in his last five games. The former big-time prospect may have finally found a home in Colorado as he's now up to ten home runs on the season and has been able to find regular playing time with the Rockies.

Moniak has already collected three hits in this series, including a home run and a double. We are going to get his prop at better odds than some of the more well-known hitters on each team, and I wanted to round out my card with a hitter at longer odds since we have some guys like Suarez and Raleigh on there today, too.

Thanks for checking out my home run props today at RotoBaller, good luck if you are tailing any or all of these bets!

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