Alec Mills (SP, CHC) - Week 20 Waiver Wire Pickups

August 8, 2021

Alec Mills is a fantasy baseball waiver wire pickup for Week 20 of the 2021 MLB season. Consider adding the SP if he's free agent in your leagues.

BALLER MOVE: Add in leagues of 14+ teams

ROSTERED IN: 3% of leagues

ANALYSIS: Now you can look at Mills' 4.41 ERA, 1.442 WHIP and 16.4 percent strikeout rate for the year and think that he would not be a good streaming option this week. However if you look at his numbers since joining the Cubs rotation in mid-June, he's posted better numbers with a 3.55 ERA, 1.401 WHIP and 17.9 percent strikeout rate over 45 2/3 innings of work. He'll open up the week against Milwaukee, as they are hot at the plate right now with a .266/.332/.435 triple-slash line and are averaging 5.6 runs per game over their last 10 games. He's faced them three times this year, posting a 3.24 ERA and 0.600 WHIP with just one strikeout over 8 1/3 innings.

This will be his first time facing them since joining the rotation full time, but he'll be at a slight disadvantage with the Brewers hitting better on the road (.237/.322/.398) than at home (.219/.311/.378). If he makes it through relatively unscathed, he should have a solid matchup with the Marlins to close out the week. Miami has been hitting well over their last 10 games (.257/.315/.414, 4.5 runs per game) and they are also hitting better at home (.242/.308/.368) than on the road (.228/.296/.380). But in his last start against Miami, Mills held them scoreless for five innings, allowing six hits with three strikeouts to earn his third win of the year.

Mills is an underrated streaming option this week. The big key will be how he does against Milwaukee. I don't see a ton of strikeout value coming for Mills, but he should be able to put up solid value otherwise.

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