ANALYSIS: Miami has been having a good year with their young pitching staff, and Thompson has been one of the highlights for the Marlins. Over the first nine starts of his major league career, Thompson is 2-4 with a 2.53 ERA, 1.102 WHIP and 24.3 percent strikeout rate over 42 2/3 innings of work.
He'll open up the week with a rematch against the Padres, after allowing three runs over five innings in his last outing against them in July. This week could be a slightly tougher matchup for Thompson though, as the Padres are hitting slightly better at home (.248/.336/.411) than on the road (.246/.320/.412). On top of that, the Padres have been hitting well over their last 10 games, slashing .261/.320/.423 while averaging 4.6 runs per game. If there is one thing in his favor, it's that Thompson has nearly identical numbers on the road (2.65 ERA, 1.059 WHIP) and at home (2.45 ERA, 1.130 WHIP), so he could very well end up with a similar performance to his last time out against San Diego when he faced them at home.
The Cubs should prove to be the better matchup for Thompson in Week 20. Not only are the Cubs hitting worse against right-handed pitching (.221/.300/.389) than against lefties (.246/.324/.416), they are also hitting worse on the road (.218/.290/.364) than at home (.239/.325/.434). Thompson has already faced off against Chicago once this season, and while he pitched just four innings in that outing, he only allowed one unearned run on three walks with seven strikeouts.
That Padres start could be a challenging one for Thompson, but he will have a great matchup going against the Cubs at the end of the week. If Thompson can at the very least put up a repeat performance against the Padres, that outing against the Cubs should pick up the slack in terms of fantasy value.
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