Dane Dunning (SP, TEX) - Week 19 Waiver Wire Pickups

August 1, 2021

Dane Dunning is a fantasy baseball waiver wire pickup for Week 19 of the 2021 MLB season. Consider adding the SP if he's free agent in your leagues.

BALLER MOVE: Add in leagues of 12+ teams

ROSTERED IN: 12% of leagues

ANALYSIS: Dunning has had a solid performance in the month of July, going 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.000 WHIP and 19.5 percent strikeout rate across 20 innings of work. Those numbers do come with the caveat though that three of his four starts in July came against the Tigers (twice) and the Diamondbacks.

He'll open up the week facing an Angels squad that is hitting fairly well over their last 10 games, as they're slashing .242/.301/.398 and averaging 3.7 runs per game in that span. The biggest benefit Dunning will have against Los Angeles is the double whammy of him pitching better at home (2.58 ERA, 1.204 WHIP) than on the road (6.45 ERA, 1.699 WHIP), plus the Angels hitting significantly worse on the road (.240/.298/.395) than at home (.274/.338/.482).

He'll close out the week against Oakland, as they are coming off a 10-game stretch currently in which they're averaging 4.4 runs per game and hitting .232 with a .687 OPS. Dunning will be helped by the fact that the Athletics have struggled to hit at home (.221/.312/.383) compared to their numbers on the road (.246/.312/.423).

Dunning will also have the same concern that fellow two-start streamer Adrian Houser has in that Dunning has only pitched five or more innings twice in his last four starts. One thing in Dunning's favor though is he has a higher strikeout rate this year (23.4%) than Houser does (18.2%). They should provide equal value across the board with the exception of strikeouts

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