Alec Mills (SP, CHC) - Week 17 Waiver Wire Pickups

July 18, 2021

Alec Mills is a fantasy baseball waiver wire pickup for Week 17 of the 2021 MLB season. Consider adding the starting pitcher if he's free agent in your leagues.

BALLER MOVE: Add in 10+ Team Leagues

ROSTERED IN: 3% of leagues

ANALYSIS: Mills started off the year pitching primarily out of the bullpen and did not look particularly impressive, posting a 6.08 ERA and 1.521 WHIP over his first 23 2/3 innings of work. However, he's turned things around since joining the Cubs' rotation full time, as he's gone 2-2 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.297 WHIP and 24.3 percent strikeout rate over his last five starts. Mills will open the week at St. Louis, where he'll benefit from the Cardinals hitting worse against right-handers (.230/.300/.377) than against left-handers (.234/.313/.391). Mills will have the challenge of pitching at Busch Stadium though, as the Cardinals are hitting much better at home (.245/.314/.378) than on the road (.219/.293/.381). After that start though, he'll get a nice matchup with an abysmal Diamondbacks offense that is slashing .225/.302/.357 and averaging 3.5 runs per game over their last 10 games. Arizona is also hitting far worse against right-handed pitching (.226/.300/.355) than against left-handed pitching (.245/.322/.416), giving Mills yet another advantage.

Mills is a high-ceiling, low-floor option this week. If things go well in St. Louis, he could be one of the better two-start pitcher streaming options. But if he struggles against the Cardinals, any good numbers he puts up against Arizona might not be enough to salvage his week. He'll have the biggest impact in 14-team and deeper leagues, but he's still a solid option to stream in 10-team leagues.

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