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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are a few of games we can look to target including the Buccaneers at Rams, Chargers at Dolphins, and Redskins at Giants. As an added bonus, I'm providing you some of my favorite lineups for the "Fantasy Challenge" games, which gets you entry into the RotoBaller Week 4 DFS contest with a grand prize of $500.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Rams
Fantasy Challenge Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Mike Evans, Cooper Kupp, and Todd Gurley over 50.5 fantasy points.
This week at Rotoballer, we are doing a DFS Challenge on Monkey Knife Fight. All you have to do is play in any $5+ fantasy challenge on Monkey Knife Fight for a chance to win $500 and a Rotoballer NFL Premium Pass. The contest runs from September 26-30 and is a great opportunity to test your DFS strategy against the competition on another platform. This is precisely why I will be playing in it this week. Additional information can be found here.
Now, let's discuss why Evans, Kupp, and Gurley are a solid combination at home vs Tampa Bay this week. While the Buccaneers Defense may have put up respectable defensive numbers so far this season, I think they are a sham. They haven't faced an offense with this type of fire-power yet, and last week the Giants were able to torch them for 336 yards through the air.
This week, Goff and Kupp should be able to hook up several times. Kupp currently leads all Rams' wide receivers with 31 targets, 23 receptions, 267 yards, and two touchdowns. He is also averaging over 20 fantasy points per week and is currently a top 10 wide receiver. The Bucs proved last week that they were unable to stop the pass vs. a rookie quarterback in Daniel Jones, and now Jared Goff welcomes them into L.A. Gurley currently has 44 carries for 203 yards and a touchdown, and has hauled in four of his six targets. He will be going up against a defense that allowed 1,551 rushing yards and 690 receiving yards to running backs a season ago.
So far this season, the Bucs have appeared solid vs. the running back position, but the only stud back they faced was Christian McCaffrey, which was in a lightning-delayed and overall sloppy game. Mike Evans finally got back on track last week for the Bucs by hauling in eight of his 15 targets for 190 yards and three scores. He has been targeted at least five times in each game and this will not change vs. the Rams. The Rams are favored by nine points, which means the Bucs will likely be in comeback mode and having to throw the ball a lot. This is a recipe for success for Evans. Look for these three to cruise past the 50.5 mark in a game that has a total of 49.5.
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Los Angeles Chargers @ Miami Dolphins
Over/Under Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Two of Two: Philip Rivers under 289.5 passing yards and Josh Rosen under 191.5 passing yards.
Another week and another team's matchup with the Dolphins finds its way into this weekly article. This time, however, I cautiously lean on the under for both plays. The first reason I lean on the under for Phillip Rivers is because of game flow. The Chargers are projected to win this game by 15 points and therefore will not need to rely upon the pass late in the game. Another reason I lean on the under for both Rivers and Rosen is the weather. It is expected to be windy in Miami on Sunday with sustained winds of 15mph and gusts upwards of 25mph. I think the Chargers keep the ball on the ground more because of this. I also think the Charger's secondary, which is solid enough vs. the pass (ranked 15th in passing yards against) will be able to curb Josh Rosen's throwing ability.
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Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
Over/Under Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Two of Two: Daniel Jones over 253.5 passing yards and Case Keenum over 239.5 passing yards.
This game has the potential to be an absolute shootout with a projected total of 49.5. Both teams should come out looking to pass as they face putrid secondaries. The Giants rank dead last in passing yards allowed, having given up 1038 yards to the quarterback position in their first three games. Meanwhile, the Redskins have given up 813 passing yards to the quarterback in their first three games. Case Keenum just lit the Bears up for 332 yards through the air, so he should have no issues with this Giants Defense. Daniel Jones also just threw for 336 yards vs. the Buccaneers Defense in his NFL debut and seemed to gain a strong rapport with both Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram. Add in the fact that neither team figures to have a strong running game with Derrius Guice and Saquon Barkley out, and you have the recipe for a high-flying shootout. Be sure to keep an eye on Keenum as he is currently listed as questionable with a foot injury, but all indications point to him playing Sunday.
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Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
Go Long Contest
Recommended Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin, Sterling Shepard, and Evan Engram over 207.5 receiving yards.
Sticking with the same game, taking a shot on McLaurin, Shepard, and Engram to combine for over 207.5 receiving yards seems like a solid play, especially if you feel like the game will be a shootout. These three players have combined to average 249 yards per Sunday, which puts them well above this 207.5 mark. Add in the fact that they will all be facing horrible defenses, and their offenses lack a stable rushing attack, and this prop should hit the over. One other reason to like this prop is that each of these players averages at least eight targets per game, which means they should be heavily involved in their team's respective game plan.
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