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Welcome to our Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for Friday, April 12. Remember, 15 games today. Nothing tomorrow. There will be 15 games on Saturday, then that’s it. The NBA regular season is over.
The playoff picture is all but official, and matchups are slowly coming together. Since this part of this season is treacherous when it comes to early decision-making, don’t be surprised if lineups change the closer we get to tip-off. With the playoff’s literal days away, it’d be reckless for some coaches to run their best lineups for no reason.
Tonight’s 15-game slate leaves no rocks unturned, and options are our friend. The only problem is that the top eight offered projections on RotoBaller’s Prop Optimizer all include blocks. Not that blocks are a bad bet, but Chet Holmgren, Nicolas Claxton, Trey Jemison, and Rudy Gobert love blocking shots. Taking the under is just asking for unnecessary risk.
Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NBA DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments in which to get lost. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are some of our favorite NBA prop picks for Friday's 15-game slate.
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NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Friday, April 12
Rudy Gobert OVER 1.5 Blocks
On Sleeper, taking the under pays out a 2.28x multiplier. If the "Prop-timizer" favors the under here and Sleeper will pay out for it, it seems like a no-harm bet. Rudy Gobert just has to not do what he’s built his career on. Not to mention he’s playing a team that suffers from getting their shots blocked frequently. Already, this seems like a recipe for disaster. The numbers say one thing, but your gut should be squirming when physically placing the under.
The real narrative to follow here will be Gobert’s minutes. We’ve already seen one generational talent go down with an injury this week, and you can be sure every single coach took note of it. As long as the Timberwolves are heading down this path where they continue to play starters, there’s no reason to waver on taking the over here. Gobert is the defensive backbone, and the way he attacks shot attempts leads to blocks for a reason.
GG Jackson II OVER 1.5 Assists
There is no way a player with a near-30% usage rate over the last three games has a line this low, and taking the over requires explanation. What makes this line even more concerning is that he’s hit this over in eight of his last 10 games, and the "Prop-timizer" favors the under. His projections are so low because he still holds a season assist average of 1.2 APG (Assists Per Game) despite his assists peaking at 2.7 over the last two weeks. The usage is clearly funneling more production, and there’s not much reasoning behind why he wouldn’t be able to notch two assists tonight.
Obviously, we would need another Grizzly to hit those shots, which is the real concern here. Luckily, the G-League Grizzlies haven’t been nearly as inefficient as some of the other bottom-feeding teams around the league. Despite not being able to score over 100 points in any of their last three games, Jackson has posted no less than two assists in each of his last four games. The Lakers lineup he finished with zero assists against at the end of March will likely not be the same lineup he faces tonight.
Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 2.5 Assists
Another article. Another Isaiah Hartenstein over bet. It’s really hard to break from what works, especially when it works so well. We already know that he’s hit the under here twice in the past week, but since his official return on February 24, he’s only finished with one or fewer assists in two out of his last 23 games. That is ridiculous consistency from a center, and in each of his last two games, he’s finished with six assists. Just watch him play, and you’ll see why his stats are the way they are.
He finds open teammates and prefers to work for a great shot rather than just chucking something up around the rim like we see most other centers do. The matchup with Nicolas Claxton shouldn’t be too impactful on the outcome since the size differential significantly favors the heavier Hartenstein. Hartenstein is going to get the ball in precarious positions for the Nets, and with how well Jalen Brunson has been playing, there’s reason to worry about the inside-out approach working against Brooklyn.
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
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