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Finally, we are receiving some great primetime matchups. Last week we had a nice week, finishing 10-7, and moving our total to 49-45. This Thursday I have selected my favorite four props that are offered on Sleeper.com for Thursday Night Football.
Our Thursday Night Football game this week features the Cowboys and the Seahawks. Here we will go over our favorite prop bets from this game. Let's get started!
My name is Ellis Johnson and I have been writing for RotoBaller for four years. You can catch my weekly Fantasy Pie Shop articles on RotoBaller (trust me, it’s as fun as it sounds). RotoBaller is coming out with weekly DFS plays and lots of great analysis with their DFS pass. Be sure to check it out as the team has been crushing it so far this year!
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Dak Prescott (QB, DAL)
Over 0.5 Passing Yards or Over 280.5 Passing Yards
Sleeper has a special line with Prescott over half a yard. However, I’d be happy to take this line straight up. Prescott has been on fire lately. He has four of his last five games over 300 passing yards (with one game over 400) and 17 touchdowns over that span. Prescott would be in the MVP race if Jalen Hurts wasn’t willing his team to a 10-1 record.
This week he faces a very porous Seahawks defense. Although Seattle often prides itself on its defense, this year has not been the same. They are allowing the fifth most passing yards per game and the most completions per game to opposing QBs. This line seems low for a game where Seattle will be doing everything they can offensively to keep up. I’m staying in the flames with Dak this week.
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CeeDee Lamb (WR, DAL)
Over 6.5 Receiving Yards or Over 86.5 Receptions
Lamb has been consistently great all season. Even though he is coming off back-to-back weeks with fewer than 60 yards and a score, he had three straight games over 150 yards before that.
The Seahawks are allowing the fifth most receptions to the WR position and Lamb is averaging 12.4 targets a game since their bye. Even though this line seems high, the matchup is perfect for Lamb to have a big day and Prescott should continue to play at the top of his game. I also don’t mind Lamb over 86.5 yards, so I view these props as “dealers' choice”.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, SEA)
Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
JSN has started to come onto the scene over the back half of this season. Although this team is firmly a three-headed dragon at the WR position, he led the team in yardage last week and has 40 or more yards in each of his last four games. I expect he’ll continue to be more involved in a game where Stephon Gilmore will be patrolling the outside alpha WR.
The Seahawks will likely be playing from behind this Thursday, and Geno Smith will be forced to try and keep up against a tough Dallas defense. I’m going to be chasing this dragon as JSN has seen five or more targets in five of the last seven games and saw his second-highest snap count last week.
Brandon Aubrey (K, DAL)
Over 1.5 Field Goals
Quietly, Aubry has been a top-three kicker for fantasy this season (depending on the scoring format). He has yet to miss a field goal and has only missed three extra points.
Based on the Seahawks' lack of defense, this should be a high-scoring affair. However, these Thursday games often end up in a kicking duel. I expect both kickers will have two or more attempts at the posts, and I’ll side with the better kicker on the better offense for this one.
Thanks for reading. Check out my prop picks for the second Thursday game this week!
Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. I am writing this as a thought-provoking guide that can hopefully help individuals make their own decisions.
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