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Dawn's NFL DFS sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel and Week 10 (2023). Her value picks and lineup sleepers for building winning daily fantasy football lineups.
We're on to week 10, RotoBallers, and we're here to guide you through the tenth week of the season and find sneaky sleeper values to help you take down your favorite contest. If you're playing cash games, you don't have to have the top QB or RB of the week. But in Guaranteed Prize Pool's (GPP's)? The best way to go is to focus on players with the highest potential upside for their DFS price.
This article will run every week throughout the regular season. It won't include the obvious choices but instead players who appear to be undervalued in current DFS formats. As the values currently sit, players will qualify as a value in DFS (based on DraftKings salaries) for this article if they are a quarterback in the 5k range, running backs who are 6k or less, wide receivers at 5.5k and under, and 4k or less for tight ends. When it comes to tournaments, stacking our quarterback with one of their pass catchers is a must.
It's crucial to prioritize players with higher guaranteed floors and consistency to increase our chances of winning cash games. No matter which game you choose, these picks will come in handy. So, without further ado, let's dive in!
Quarterback NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Geno Smith, SEA vs WAS | DK: $5,800, FD: $6,900
Seattle is hosting the Commanders this Sunday, and we have a game where the current over/under is 44.5 and the spread is -6.5. Washington is allowing 27.2 points per game this season, along with 252.7 passing yards allowed per game. Sam Howell is second in the league in passing yards, so he's fearless in throwing the ball, which could drive this game's point total even higher.
Regression has kicked in for Smith, but he and Seattle have an excellent opportunity to win at home versus a Commanders team that could barely stop any team from scoring, even before they traded Chase Young and Montez Sweat. Look for Geno Smith and the Seahawks to bounce back this Sunday versus Howell and the Commanders.
Brock Purdy, SF vs JAX | DK: $5,700 FD: $7,400
Purdy is human. We knew it; we were waiting for the real Brock Purdy to show himself. But has he, though? He suffered a concussion, and on his way to losing his past three starts, he lost weapons Deebo Samuel and offensive tackle Trent Williams. Samuel is on track to play on Sunday, and Williams, not yet confirmed for this week's matchup, practiced on Thursday, which bodes well for Purday and the Niners.
So, who is the real Brock Purdy? We are about to find out. After the Niners' bye week, where he has had time to recharge mentally, he and San Francisco face a Jacksonville team that has won their last five games but is also third in fumbles, with nine on the season. I have no doubt Kyle Shanahan will have his team ready to face the Jag's, and the Niners' forcing fumbles will get Purdy back behind center quickly, giving them more opportunities to score and break Jacksonville's five-game win streak.
Running Back NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Bijan Robinson, ATL at ARI | DK: $6,000, FD: $6,600
Falcons' head coach Arthur Smith kept Twitter/X going this week with his four-minute answer to this simple question: "Why does Robinson not get touches in the red zone?" I still don't think we know, but keeping Robinson out of the red zone won't last forever, and his time could come this weekend against the Arizona Cardinals.
The 1-8 Cardinals have allowed 12 rushing touchdowns and 128.7 rushing yards per game this season. If not Bijan this weekend, then when, Coach Smith?
Rachaad White, TB vs TEN | DK: $5,800, FD: $7,000
Last week, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers suffered a close defeat against the Houston Texans. However, in the game, White had 20 touches for 73 yards and two rushing touchdowns. Additionally, he caught four passes for 46 yards, averaging 11.5 yards per catch. The Tennessee Titans have allowed an average of 114.75 rushing yards per game this season, ranking them 19th in the league.
This week, White has another opportunity to make an impact against the Titans, especially if Tampa Bay can force the Titans' rookie quarterback to turn the ball over early and often.
Devin Singletary, HOU at CIN | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,700
The Bengals have allowed just one rushing touchdown this season. Still, with Dameon Pierce out due to injury, Singletary will get an opportunity to hand the Bengals their second allowed rushing touchdown this year. Singletary couldn't take advantage of Pierce's absence last week, but at $4,700 on DraftKings, he should be able to hit his value, and with projected touches in the double digits, he's definitely worth the risk.
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Wide Receiver NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Diontae Johnson, PIT vs GB | DK: $5,400, FD: $7,000
Johnson has been on fire in his first two games back from injury. The Pittsburgh Steelers are set to play against the Green Bay Packers this weekend, but the Packers' defense is in trouble as their star cornerback, Jaire Alexander, is questionable to play. If Alexander doesn't play, it could be a good chance for Pittsburgh's offense to take advantage of the situation and score some points.
Marquise Brown, ARI vs ATL | DK: $5,200, FD: $6,600
Brown is set to play his first game with Kyler Murray this Sunday. He hasn't been too shabby without Murray, with 21 catches for 201 yards and two touchdowns in his last five games. The Cardinals are at home versus the Falcons, and all four of Brown's touchdowns have come at home.
Even a shaky Kyler Murray has to be a better quarterback than the backups Brown has played with this season (well, maybe not Dobbs, but we'll see), and I'm looking for his numbers to go up with Murray back in the mix.
Tyler Boyd, CIN vs HOU | DK: $4,600, FD: $6,200
Boyd has scored two touchdowns this season, both of which were in the last three games. Ja'mar Chase may or may not play, and Tee Higgins missed practice on Thursday. Whether Chase is on the field or not, Boyd will likely receive more targets this Sunday. Additionally, if Chase does play, his back injury may limit the number of passes he receives from Burrow.
The game between Cincinnati and Houston is expected to be high-scoring. While the Bengals are favored to win, I think CJ Stroud and the Texans will keep it close, resulting in a high combined score.
Tight End NFL DFS Value Plays - Week 10
Trey McBride, ARI vs ATL | DK: $3,500, FD: $5,100
Another Cardinal who will benefit from Kyler Murray's return is Trey McBride. The Cardinals have targeted their tight ends frequently this season, ranking fourth with 88 targets between Zach Ertz and McBride.
McBride has played in two games since Ertz's injury. In the first game, with Dobbs starting in Week 8 against Baltimore, McBride had an impressive ten catches for 95 yards and a touchdown on 14 targets. In the second game, in Week 9 at Cleveland with Clayton Tune, McBride had three catches for 22 yards on five targets. With Ertz on injured reserve due to a quadriceps injury, McBride has the opportunity to impact the field significantly with quarterback Murray this week.
Cade Otton, TB vs TEN | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,200
Otton has scored three receiving touchdowns this season, and two of them were in the Buccaneers' loss at Houston last week. Over the last three games, he has accumulated 26.0 fantasy points, which averages to 8.7 points per game. He has caught 15 passes out of 21 targets, gaining 140 yards and scoring two touchdowns. Additionally, he has made 10 receptions for 97 yards and two touchdowns in the previous two games.
All these stats suggest that despite facing a tougher defensive matchup against the Titans, Otton has found ways to get the ball and score touchdowns. He offers great value this week at a price of only $3,400.
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