DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - World Wide Technology Championship With Beau Hossler, Ludvig Aberg, Cameron Young, Sahith Theegala and More Golf Advice (2023)

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PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - World Wide Technology Championship

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PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The World Wide Technology Championship

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (234-174-23) 57.35%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (434-301-59) 59.05%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 36
• Units: +311.229 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2023
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here you will find updated stats for the particular tournament – all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time round four comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record: (200-127-36) 61.16%
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First-Round Leader Article

• Eight first-round leader wins in 2022.
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One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
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Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool)

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Field

Field Size: 136
Cut: Top 65 and Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 1

 

Last Five Winners Of The World Wide Technology Championship

 

Expected Cut-Line

 

El Cardonal Golf Course At Diamante

7,452 Yards - Par 72 - Greens: Paspalum

I complained about the lack of data available at the ZOZO Championship before putting together my fourth-best unit tournament of the season, so it is only natural to take the same stance here at the World Wide Technology Championship since we have zero statistical information to work off of for this event.

We do know El Cardonal was designed by Tiger Woods and opened in 2014. Wide-open fairways that can be as broad as 60 yards in width present this bomb-and-gouge resort-style test that will likely show throughout all four days of the contest.

I don't think the 7,452-yard measurement is quite correct since the area possesses significant elevation and turf that will speed up the ball for those who find the extensive fairways. Still, the fact that the danger can be taken out of play for those who don't hit their ball into another area code should be highly conducive for anyone with distance.

I took a safe approach this week of trying to run my information in a broader bucket than usual since we do have more questions than answers available for us. A slight recalculation of distance over accuracy and recent approach play became the most extensive changes I did for generic ball striking. Nontheless, most of the categories I weighed in my model stemmed from basic expectations of what is likely to transpire when a player is given easy scoring conditions and wide-open fairways. Doing more than that felt like it would be too aggressive in the weighing of the data.

Let's Look At The Stats

Stat		PGA Average
Driving Distance		283
Driving Accuracy		61%
GIR Percentage		65%
Scrambling Percentage		57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round		0.55

Key Stats 

Let's quickly run through how I built my model.

Driving + Proximity (30%)

 

Weighted Putting (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total: Easy-To-Hit-Fairways (10%)

Easy Fairways + Distance (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total: Slow Greens (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total: Easy Scoring (10%)

 

Weighted Scoring (20%)

Total Number Of Top 10's Out Of The Seven Categories: Two-Year Running Model

I will dive deeper into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on Twitter.

 

First Look Into Outright Bets

Golfer	Odds	Risk	Win	Book
Beau Hossler	30	0.24	7.2	DK/FD
Stephan Jaeger	28	0.25	7	BetMGM
Davis Thompson	50	0.14	7	DK/BetRivers
Nick Hardy	80	0.09	7.2	Bovada

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

***There are four players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter.

It has been the same sentiment for me over the past few months, as the top of the board continues this trend of being appropriately priced when discussing the favorites. I have continued to give the same answer during all Monday articles that ownership will play a large part in how to traverse this section. However, let's try to play the guessing game for where the public may land with popularity.

My initial presumption is that most users may want to go toward Ludvig Aberg and Sahith Theegala because of their recent combination of safety + upside. I don't have a problem with that route because of the overall quality of the entire group (it feels like a pick-your-poison tournament), but the ability to get unique is always intriguing to me in large-field GPP contests.

It should be no surprise to anyone who reads my article weekly that my model continues to be more bullish than most users regarding the fact that Stephan Jaeger is an elite talent. Sure, he has had trouble putting together four consecutive rounds, but his 15-straight made cuts and first-place grade for weighted scoring will have me returning for more.

I would rank the section Aberg, Jaeger, Young and Theegala when getting technical, although let's see where the projections enter the market over the next 24-48 hours before deciding how to properly use this group in builds since all make logical sense at the right percentage.

Favorite Plays: Stephan Jaeger (Contrarian) - Ludvig Aberg

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End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod

2017 +54.26 Units
2018 +55.88 Units
2019 +27.743 Units
2020 + 37.015 Units
2021 + 68.846 Units
2022 +67.485 Units

Total Winnings: +311.229 Units

Total Outright Wins Since 2017: 36

H2H Totals Inside Thread… https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) December 12, 2022

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

There are some noticeable differences between my model and pricing. I do believe a few of the "overrated" options are priced on DraftKings where they are because of their safety rating. I don't necessarily have as large of an issue as it may seem on any choice because of that reason, but the one name that I am going to get overweight on will be Beau Hossler.

Like Stephan Jaeger, Hossler is an option who is trending toward victory after posting a tournament-leading 19 consecutive rounds of shooting par or better. That return helps to explain why my model picked up on a 48-spot increase in his recent weighted proximity over his baseline. Those numbers should be considered in the same vein as what we saw with Sahith Theegala before his Fortinet win.

The boost he has historically received at these easy-scoring/wide-open venues should also bode well for a golfer who has improved his result during every start this Fall season. The only place left to go would be into the winner's circle after his second-place finish at the ZOZO Championship. I will take a shot on that happening at 30/1 in the outright market and use a ton of him in GPP contests.

Favorite Play: Beau Hossler

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$8,000 Range 

I don't expect to find myself in this $8,000 section as much as some users. The only two choices that I currently have slotted to be played would be Davis Thompson and Taylor Pendrith.

I have compared these two names a few times this year about how each excels on these easy-scoring tracks that present a wide-open appeal off the tee. Both men rank in the top 15 for driving distance in the field over the past two years of my running model and have proven to be long-term top 25 plays when given scoring conditions that project to land in the 20-under-par range.

There is likely some logical sense for considering each man inside the outright market because of those boom returns on similar courses. I decided to back only Thompson in that area because there was a little more upside showing with a few of the critical metrics I ran, although each should be GPP fixtures for builds if you are looking for win equity in this range.

Favorite Plays: Davis Thompson, Taylor Pendrith (Contrarian)

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players To Consider ($7,000+)

Check out my model for everything in this section. There, you will get individual rankings on all players and create the possibility to weigh the data to create your own model when you make a copy. Please consider signing up for this tool that I am very proud to share with the public!

Here are the top players from the $7,000s

I am going to find myself most aggressively attacking names like Michael Kim, Nick Hardy, Callum Tarren, Doug Ghim and Harry Hall.

Hardy was likely the most boom-or-bust option of the group, which was why he worked best inside the outright market. Still, those are all golfers (maybe outside of Hall) who should carry breakeven (or better) ownership value inside of my model once we do get enough data on record for the week. 

I will use all five as top-25 standalone commodities, which could improve from there if the ownership is lower than expected.

Favorite Plays: Michael Kim, Nick Hardy, Callum Tarren, Doug Ghim and Harry Hall

 

Sub-$6,000 Options To Consider

I will likely squeeze in some Carl Yuan, Kevin Roy, MJ Daffue, and Harry Higgs because these are things I do every week. Still, my model seems to be most intrigued by Carson Young and Ryan Palmer when considering projected ownership.  

Palmer's wind acumen should play well on a resort-style venue, and while Young has been struggling recently, his driving + proximity numbers do look like that of a top-30 talent in this field. 

Favorite Plays: Carson Young, Ryan Palmer (Contrarian)

 

Win Big With RotoBaller

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Our very own Joe Nicely recently took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

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