Week 7 NFL DFS Picks - Top Value Plays, Sleepers & Stacking Tips (2025)

October 17, 2025

RotoBaller's Week 7 NFL DFS value plays, sleeper picks, and tournament stacks for daily fantasy football on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo. Win big in DFS with our expert research and advice.

The Week 7 NFL DFS main slate is a tough one, but other than a potential shootout in Dallas, we could see rostership spread out among a lot of different games as some of the better offenses in the league (Buffalo, Los Angeles Rams, Detroit, Seattle, etc) either have byes or are playing in the early game or primetime games.

I write this article every week for our RotoBaller NFL Premium subscribers, but this week I wanted to share it with everyone so you get a little glimpse of the way I break down my top game stacks.

In this article, I will highlight my three favorite games to target and give the rationale for how I plan to attack each game. I hope this helps you when building those GPP lineups and filling out your player pool for Sunday's slate.

NFL DFS Stacks & Value Picks: Week 7 Guide

Teams on a Bye: Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills

Teams Not On the Main Slate: Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, LA Rams, Jacksonville Jaguars, Atlanta Falcons, San Francisco 49ers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Seattle Seahawks

Washington Commanders (3-3) vs. Dallas Cowboys (2-3-1)

• Current Spread: Washington -1.5
• Current Game Total: 54.5 (Highest of the Week)

Dallas Offensive Firepower: The Pickens Leverage Play

The Cowboys offense is an unstoppable DFS engine, leading the league in Total Yards (387.5 YPG). Dak Prescott is firmly in the MVP discussion with 1,617 passing yards and 13 touchdowns while completing a remarkable 71.6% of his passes. They face a soft Washington defense that ranks 26th overall and struggles against both the pass and the run.

The Cowboys could have back their WR1, CeeDee Lamb (high ankle sprain suffered in Week 2), who has returned to practice this week on a limited basis. While many will fade George Pickens, expecting a massive drop with Lamb active, this presents a perfect opportunity to fade the majority. Pickens has proven that he can be a WR1 in Lamb's absence, leading the NFL with 6 receiving touchdowns and ranking 3rd in the league with 535 receiving yards.

Pickens was traded to Dallas this offseason, and due to Lamb's absence, has accelerated his chemistry with Prescott while operating as the alpha in Weeks 3-6. If Lamb is active, the Commanders will be forced to roll coverage and dedicate resources to him on his return, leaving Pickens with significantly more favorable one-on-one coverage than he has seen with Lamb inactive. While Lamb's return will inevitably pull target shares away from Pickens eventually, his return will hurt tight end Jake Ferguson immediately (expect a sharp decline here). The Week 7 game script benefits Pickens' efficiency and big-play rate.

Washington Offensive Surge: Daniels’ Rushing Floor

The Commanders will put up points thanks to a Cowboys defense that ranks dead last in yards allowed (411.7 YPG) and second-to-last in scoring (30.7 PPG).

Jayden Daniels is the key that makes the engine turn for the Commanders. Despite missing two weeks with a knee sprain, the sophomore quarterback seems unhampered, rushing 18 times for 91 yards in his two games since returning to the lineup, adding a vital rushing floor and aspect to his game that is critical to the Commanders' success. In the Washington Week 6 loss to the Chicago Bears last week, Daniels threw for 211 yards and 3 touchdowns, and added 10 rushes for 52 yards. 

Like Dallas, Washington expects its alpha wideout, Terry McLaurin, to return from a quad sprain suffered in Week 3. For the same caution applied to Lamb, you must pivot to WR2 Deebo Samuel here in Week 7. Samuel, the veteran off-season acquisition, sees high-value snaps regardless of McLaurin's presence and is facing the worst defense in the NFL. Despite a down Week 6, Samuel flashed his skillset in Week 5 with 8 catches for 91 yards and a score. His high target rate when McLaurin is out (or limited) makes him a much safer and more predictable volume play than risking McLaurin's health and snap count. On the ground, Commanders rookie running back Jacory Croskey-Merritt has now seized the lead back role and is facing a Cowboys run defense that allows the second-most rushing yards per game; he is a strong value option.

Recommended DFS Stacks

• Prescott / Pickens: (Safest play)
• Prescott / Pickens / Samuel: (Pairing the likely highest targeted Dallas WR with the safest WR play on Washington, exploiting the Cowboys' defensive unit.)
• Daniels / Samuel: (A high-ceiling QB/WR pairing that leverages Daniels' rushing floor and passing ability, against the dead-last Cowboys defense.)
• Daniels / Samuel / Pickens: (Stack that capitalizes on maximum offensive correlation and the defensive weakness of both teams.)
• Prescott / Pickens / Croskey-Merritt: (A pairing with a high floor and high ceiling) 

Indianapolis Colts (5-1) vs. LA Chargers (4-2)

• Current Spread: Chargers -1.5
• Current Game Total: 48.5

This matchup is built on the strength of the Colts' hyper-efficient, high-scoring offense, forcing the Chargers' talented-but-injured unit to keep pace. 

Colts Offense: Spreading the Wealth into a Run Funnel

The Colts offense, led by the resurrected Daniel Jones, has been the biggest surprise of the season. They lead the entire NFL in scoring (32.3 points per game) and demonstrate elite balance, ranking 5th in both passing and rushing yards.

The targets are highly distributed, mitigating the Chargers' excellent pass defense: four players have 20+ receptions, led by rookie tight end Tyler Warren (29 catches) and wide receiver Michael Pittman (28 catches). While the Chargers' pass defense ranks 6th in the league and yields just 177 passing yards per game, the Colts' balanced attack limits the defense's ability to shut down one target.

Jonathan Taylor is the true lineup anchor. The Chargers are vulnerable against the run, ranking 20th in the NFL (124.2 YPG against). Taylor is a lock for a high-volume workload against this soft front. For the passing game, trusting Tyler Warren is a great strategy. His massive volume is gold at a volatile tight end position, making him a great pick even against a tough Chargers secondary.

Chargers Offense: The McConkey/Johnston Risk Assessment

The Chargers' offense has also been impressive, ranking 6th in total yards, but their inability to finish drives (22nd in scoring at 21.2 PPG) stems directly from their running back injuries. With Omarion Hampton (placed on IR with an ankle injury) and Najee Harris (torn achilles, out for the year) sidelined, the team has relied on practice squad pickups. While Kimani Vidal surprisingly ran for 124 yards last week, trusting him against a solid Colts run defense (93.6 YPG against) is highly questionable.

The viable path to DFS success is the passing game, but it requires calculated risk:

WR Quentin Johnston is a landmine in Week 7 and someone to avoid at all costs. While he leads the team in receiving yards (377) and touchdowns (4), he missed Week 6 and has been limited at practice this week due to a hamstring injury. This is a massive red flag. Soft-tissue injuries carry an extreme risk of re-aggravation mid-game, leading to a potential crippling zero in your lineup. The reward does not outweigh the risk of a game-ending dud.

WR Ladd McConkey is the direct, high-ceiling pivot. The sophomore receiver has come alive in the last two weeks, seeing 16 total targets and converting them to 12 receptions for 139 yards and 2 touchdowns. With the injury uncertainty surrounding Johnston, McConkey steps back into a high-leverage target role. McConkey's reasonable DFS price tag makes him the smart high-upside play for the Chargers' passing game in Week 7.

Recommended DFS Stacks

• Jones / Warren (or Pittman) (Anchors your lineup with one of two high-volume pieces from the league's top-scoring team.)
• Herbert / McConkey / Taylor (Betting on Herbert's volume with McConkey's value, and running it back with a dominant RB, Taylor.)
• Herbert / McConkey / Warren (Banking on LA to play catch-up and Warren to finish top 3 at the TE position.) 

Green Bay Packers (3-1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

• Current Spread: Packers -6.5
• Current Game Total: 44.5

While the total is not ideal, the overwhelming injury report for Arizona's offense, coupled with the Packers' elite run defense, guarantees a pass-heavy, catch-up game script. The primary targets are the two tight ends: Trey McBride and Tucker Kraft.

Arizona Offense: The Forced Volume Funnel to Trey McBride

Arizona's offensive reality is driven by crippling injuries. Kyler Murray (mid-foot sprain) missed last week's game and remains highly doubtful for Week 7, forcing Jacoby Brissett to another start. More critically, Marvin Harrison Jr. (concussion) is in major jeopardy and is unlikely to clear protocol, removing the Cardinals' only viable outside weapon.

This situation dictates the game plan for Brissett: abandon the run and rely on the middle of the field. The Packers boast the NFL's 1st-ranked run defense, limiting opponents to just 73 yards per game, forcing offenses to be one-dimensional. In this scenario, Trey McBride will see a ton of targets, suggesting that his floor is extremely high. Last week, Brissett threw a whopping 44 times, funneling targets to McBride, who finished with 8 catches for 72 yards and a touchdown. Against a defense designed to stuff the run, McBride is the highest-floor receiving option on the Cardinals' side and should be heavily rostered.

Green Bay Offense: Tucker Kraft Exploits a Predictable Script

The Packers' offense is efficient, ranking 9th in yards per game (359.6) and 8th in scoring (26.2 PPG). They head to Arizona as heavy favorites against a Cardinals defense that is playing well (allowing just 21.2 PPG). Given the massive spread, Green Bay should control the clock and maintain a comfortable lead, but their primary receiving weapon for DFS is clear.

The target here is tight end Tucker Kraft. While the Packers spread the ball around, Kraft leads the team in receptions (18) and yards (268) and is 2nd in touchdowns (3). He is a high-volume option in a positional group often lacking weekly stability. In Week 7, look to pair Kraft with running back Josh Jacobs. While the Cardinals' defense has been good, the inevitable positive game script should secure Jacobs a heavy late-game rushing workload. The Packers will look to get Kraft going early to build the lead, and let Jacobs grind the clock late for a steady floor and late scoring opportunities.

Recommended DFS Stacks

• Love / Kraft / McBride (Pairs the quarterback with his primary tight end / leading receiver and runs it back with the clear alpha receiving option on the Cardinals.)
• Love / Kraft / Jacobs (The most complete Green Bay stack, using the two highest-volume targets in the offense)
• Brissett / McBride / Jacobs (A cheaper QB option that fully embraces the injury narrative, using the Cardinals' likely highest-volume receiver and running it back with an RB who should see a ton of rushing attempts due to game-script.)

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