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Ben Rolfe analyzes optimal DFS cash game value plays for Week 7 of the NFL season. These players are worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings daily fantasy sports cash games.
Week 7 brings us an 11 game featured slate between the 1 pm and 4:25 pm kickoffs. Last week was a fascinating week and now we can use some of that knowledge to move into this week. Will the starts of Ryan Tannehill and Ryan Fitzpatrick improve the fantasy value of any of their receivers? Will any of the teams reverse the trends we have seen forming the last couple of weeks or will things continue to play out according to the status quo we have seen developing?
This slate has a nice even mix of totals, spread right across the range. We have six games with projected totals over 45, including the game in Atlanta which has a total as high as 52.5. We also have one game with a total down below 40, as the Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints face off.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season.
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Week 7 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Daniel Jones, NYG vs. ARI | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,200
This should be a game where Jones gets back on track against the worst defense against opposing QBs. The Cardinals are allowing 26.3 FPPG to opposing QBs this season, and Jones is now getting Evan Engram and potentially Sterling Shepard back this week. Jones has had a couple of rough weeks but he should bounce back in Week 7.
Gardner Minshew, JAX @ CIN | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,900
It was a rough week in Week 6 for Minshew and the mania that surrounds him, as he scored just 5.72 fantasy points. This week he gets the 30th ranked defense against opposing QBs, allowing 22.3 FPPG. Minshew has scored 16 or more fantasy points in all but one of his games this season, and against a Cincinnati defense which has struggled to get any consistency this season, he should get right back to those double-digit scores this week.
Week 7 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
Devonta Freeman, ATL vs. LAR | DK: $5,400, FD: $6,400
It has been a slow grind this season but Freeman has built up to some effective scores the past few weeks. He has now scored double-digits each of the last four weeks, but in the last three weeks, he has averaged 20.7 FPPG. Now he faces a Rams Defense which has been allowing over 20 FPPG to opposing RB1s.
Matt Breida, SF @ WAS | DK: $5,300 FD: $5,600
Breida has been up and down this season, but he has scored double-digits in each of his last four games. The Redskins are allowing 29.4 FPPG to opposing RBs but only 16.8 to opposing RB1's. With Raheem Mostert possibly out, Breida should see most of the carries as the RB2.
Frank Gore, BUF vs. MIA | DK: $5,200, FD: $6,000
This is not an exciting option, but Gore has a nice floor thanks to consistent double-digit carries in each game this season. He is also coming off his bye week and facing a defense that has allowed 21.2 FPPG to opposing RB1s and 36.6 FPPG to all opposing RBs. Gore could be in line for his best game of the season in this matchup.
Week 7 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
T.Y. Hilton, IND vs. HOU | DK: $5,900, FD: $7,600
This is really only a value play on DraftKings because of his FanDuel being the sixth most expensive receiver on the slate. Hilton is surprisingly cheap on DraftKings for a receiver who had an average of 21 FPPG through the first three weeks and has had his bye t get healthy after the Chiefs game. Now he faces a Texans Defense which has allowed 18.6 FPPG to opposing number one receivers.
Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. JAX | DK: $5,600, FD: $5,600
Last week was tough for Boyd but he should have the chance to bounce back against a Jaguars Defense which has struggled without Jalen Ramsey. The Jaguars have allowed an average of 20.4 FPPG to opposing number one receivers, and Boyd could see double-digit targets for the fifth game this season.
Cole Beasley, BUF vs. MIA | DK: $4,700, FD: $5,600
With John Brown potentially out we could see more targets for Beasley in this game. Beasley has seen nine or more carries in three of his five games this season. Most of the damage against Miami has been done by the WR1, but the Dolphins do allow 39.2 FPPG to opposing receivers.
Week 7 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
Darren Fells, HOU @ IND | DK: $3,100, FD: $4,600
Fells has scored double-digit fantasy points in three of the last four weeks. He saw seven targets last time out and now faces a defense that averages 16.7 FPPG to opposing tight ends.
