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Reviewing Pierre Camus' Bold Predictions for 2017 MLB

Never have I looked forward to writing a season recap so much. I didn't do as well in my fantasy leagues this year, mainly due to lack of time attending to my lineups. Nor did half of these predictions come close to coming true. Sometimes it just takes one thing to make it all worthwhile.

I'll recap each of my preseason 2017 MLB predictions for fantasy baseball and, as usual, I'll save the best for last. This time, I'll just spoil it straight away. 59 HR - I NAILED IT!!!

To add a little extra sweetener to the sugary goodness of my homer pick gone right, I'll include some grandiose gifs and highlights of Mr. Stanton's prolific 2017 season for a little extra emphasis. Enjoy - I know I will!

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Reviewing Pierre's Bold Picks from 2017

1. Jake Arrieta takes home another Cy Young award.

Technically, I was half-right on this one! The first half made it look like Arrieta was done as an ace and maybe even as a starter for the defending World Champs. He pitched to a 4.35 ERA and failed to get out of the fifth inning in five different starts. Being a true competitor, he turned things around after the All-Star break. Once July hit, Arrieta wouldn't allow more than three earned runs in a start the rest of the way and posted a 2.28 second-half ERA. Clearly, his final numbers didn't end up as good as last year's and he was far from Cy Young candidacy, but he showed he still has something left in the tank.

2. The best fantasy player on Milwaukee will be Keon Broxton.

Did I say Keon Broxton? I meant Domingo Santana! Broxton's nickname should be Two Face, because he showed multiple batting profile personalities throughout the season. He started off as poorly as you could imagine, batting .191 with just one homer and 31 K in 68 at-bats in April. The next two months, things turned around with a .267 average, 12 HR, 29 RBI, and 34 R. Then there was July... oh July. Three hits in 15 games (45 AB). After a brief demotion, he came back, raked again for a while and then sucked in September. Bottom line, although he finished with a 20/20 season and scored a fair amount of runs, he batted .220 and was a nightmare to figure out for weekly lineups. Even if Ryan Braun isn't around next year, the Brew Crew has Lewis Brinson and Brett Phillips waiting in the wings to take over. Broxton will need to show serious improvement in plate discipline if he wants to be a starter in that outfield.

3. Danny Duffy strikes out more batters than Chris Sale.

When I made this prediction, I had just finished writing up my article on "Predicting the Top 10 Finishers in Strikeouts" and maybe got a little overzealous. I didn't know how Sale would take to Fenway and the AL East in particular. Pretty good, I guess. Sale very well could be the AL Cy Young winner this season. As far as strikeouts, nobody surpassed him or even came close. Sale was the only pitcher in the majors to break 300 K (308) and finished 43 strikeouts ahead of his closest competitor for the Cy Young, Corey Kluber. Duffy spent some time on the DL, which naturally affected his K totals, but his strikeout rate actually fell this year from 25.7% to 21.4%, or 9.4 K/9 to 8.0 K/9. He's still a fine pitcher and solid mid-rotation fantasy arm when healthy, but he's just not a dominant ace on the mound.

4. Andrew McCutchen will be a top-10 fantasy outfielder.

Now we're talking! I was a bit skeptical of my own pick at the time, but all the peripherals suggested Cutch had the tools to be a fantasy stud still. Much like Arrieta, the first half was not kind and some fantasy owners were outright dropping him! He taught us all not to underestimate the heart of a champion! Yes, I know he's never technically won a championship, but you get the gist.

Cutch went crazy in June, as the switch certainly flipped for him. He won Player of the Month honors by hitting .411, driving in 23 runs, and posting a 17:12 BB:K. He kept the Bucs in the playoff hunt for a while, until the rest of the star-studded outfield fell flat in the second half. It's hard to say what next year will hold for him, but I'd like to think the Pirates know better than to dangle him in trade talks again.

5. Welington Castillo will be a top-five fantasy catcher.

Technically, this was correct as well. If you look at the total numbers, Castillo falls just outside the top 10 fantasy rankings for catchers. But that can largely be attributed to DL stints and the fact he was limited to 341 at-bats. In terms of average production for catchers who played at least half the season, Castillo was eighth overall. He slashed .282/20/53 in just over half a season's worth of playing time. If you paired him up with another decent backstop to fill in those injured periods, you should have easily gotten top-five production from the catcher position.

6. Zack Greinke falls off the map completely and out of the top 40 SP.

Dead wrong. It appears 2016 wasn't the start of a trend, but rather an outlier in a tremendous career. Ageism may have played a part in this, but I wasn't alone in thinking Greinke was on the way to a continued decline. In 2016, his K/BB dipped to 3.7, his WHIP jumped to 1.27 and his ERA to 4.37. Arizona's Chase Field is not the easiest place to pitch either. But Greinke proved us all wrong and enjoyed a Justin Verlander-esque resurgence at the age of 33. It's safe to say he'll be an SP1 going forward.

7. Eugenio Suarez outperforms Javier Baez. By a lot.

Half-right again. This one comes down to ADP value and by that count, Suarez was the better pick by far. I'm still surprised people were taking Baez so much earlier in fantasy drafts when Suarez was barely even drafted in 12-team leagues and produced even more in the power department. Suarez was one of the hottest third baseman in the season's first month and became a waiver wire wonder for a short while. Although he did taper off, he finished with a .260/26/82 season, which makes him a starter in all but the shallowest of leagues. Baez, on the other hand, finished .273/20/73 after a huge August boon. In the first half of the year, Suarez did outperform Baez by a decent amount. In the second half, they were practically even. Although the end results were similar, Suarez wound up being the far better draft-day value.

8. The Rockies will make the playoffs.

This one was easy for me. The Rockies put together a formidable bullpen, had a young stable of hard-throwing starters and already possessed one of the best lineups in the game. They faltered a bit down the stretch, but still managed to clinch a wild card spot. I explained the fantasy significance of this by advising readers to invest in Jon Gray and the bullpen, since drafting pitchers in Colorado is typically seen as counterproductive. Talent supersedes circumstances.

9. The Red Sox won't make the playoffs.

I have a much greater appreciation for the job John Farrell did this year. Although Terry Francona likely will and should win Manager of the Year, Farrell deserves to be the runner-up. Without David Price for much of the year and some struggling offensive stars in his lineup, Farrell still guided his club to 93 wins and an AL East pennant. I foresaw the precipitous declines by Rick Porcello and Steven Wright (who didn't?), but also the offensive shortcomings of Hanley Ramirez, Pablo Sandoval, and Jackie Bradley Jr. The front office brilliantly filled in the gaps by signing Eduardo Nunez, promoting Rafael Devers, and pulling Doug Fister off the street for some quality starts. Looking over their final stats, I'm still not sure how a team that finished ninth in the AL in batting average and sixth in runs managed to win the AL East, but their league-leading 88 quality starts led by Chris Sale might have something to do with it.

10. Giancarlo Stanton stays healthy, hits 50 homers and leads the league in slugging.

Yes, YES, and YESSS!!!! He actually made this prediction look tame in the end by nearly cracking the 60-homer mark. He would have been the first in the post-steroid era to reach the mark and with just two more he could have sparked massive conversation about who the real home run king is for a single season. Alas, he left us wanting more at just 59, but it still took the baseball world by storm when he went on his massive feat of baseball destruction, starting in June.

Here are some stats to show just how dominant Stanton was in 2017: 59 HR, 132 RBI, .631 SLG, 1.007 OPS, .350 ISO, 10.1 AB/HR, 156 wRC+. He also decided to set the record for fastest exit velocity on a batted ball at 122.2 MPH on the very last day of the regular season just for good measure. If you look at the leaderboard for exit velocity, you shouldn't be surprised to find that he dominates that category, appearing 13 times in the first 32 listings.

Now, let close out this season with a look at some of Stanton's finest moments. Enjoy the offseason and remember, it's never to soon to start prepping for 2018!

 

More 2017 RotoBaller Predictions




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Malik Willis

a Low-Cost Dynasty Target in Miami?
Terrance Ferguson

Can Terrance Ferguson Still be the Tight End to Roster in Los Angeles?
CFB

Can Eric Singleton Jr. Fully Break Out at Third School?
CFB

Katin Houser Steps into QB1 Role for Illinois
CFB

Savion Hiter an Immediate Impact Freshman for Michigan
CFB

Isaiah Horton Set to Take Over KC Concepcion's Role
CFB

UCLA Transfer Karson Gordon Signs with Austin Peay
CFB

Will Muschamp Bringing New Intensity to Texas Practices
Gary Woodland

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Memorial
Jordan Spieth

Still Searching for a Breakthrough
Ted Hurst

Can Ted Hurst Find Consistent Fantasy Success in a Crowded Receiver Room?
Alex Smalley

Brings Elite Form to Memorial Tournament
Jayden Reed

Still an Unproven Dynasty Asset
Justin Rose

Looks to Recapture Memorial Tournament Success
Cameron Young

Looks to Get Back to His Contending Ways at Murifield Village
Brenton Strange

a Safe, Young Dynasty Depth Piece
Chris Gotterup

Needs to Find Fairways at Muirfield Village
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Stay Hot at Memorial Tournament
Kaytron Allen

in the Right Situation to Overcome Poor Draft Capital?
Matt Fitzpatrick

Positioned for Success at Muirfield Village
Jalen Chatfield

Records Two Assists in Tuesday's Loss
Demond Claiborne

Worthy of a Late-Round Dart Throw in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
Keegan Bradley

Looking for Another Strong Finish at Muirfield
Nikolaj Ehlers

Nets Two Goals in Game 1 Loss to Golden Knights
Shea Theodore

Notches Three Points in Game 1 Win
Brayden McNabb

Sets Up Three Goals in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
Justin Thomas

is an Exciting Play This Week in Ohio
Brett Howden

Starts Finals With Multi-Point Effort
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Memorial Tournament for Third Consecutive Year
Tomas Hertl

Scores Game-Winner in Finals Opener
Rory McIlroy

Looking for Better Performance at Muirfield Village
Drake Baldwin

Could Return During Braves Next Homestand
Garrett Crochet

Diagnosed With Low-Grade Lat Strain
Tetairoa McMillan

Dealing With Foot Injury During OTAs
Aaron Donald

Considering Coming Out of Retirement?
PGA

Russell Hensley Coming to Ohio on the Heels of Latest Victory
Drake London

Falcons Agree on Four-Year Extension
Michael Wilson

Will be "Closer to the Core" in Z Receiver Role
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Will Play the X Role for Cardinals
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking for Better Iron Play at Memorial Tournament
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Continue Dominance at Muirfield Village
Ludvig Aberg

a Great Fit for Muirfield Village
Isaiah Hartenstein

Hopeful to Stay with Oklahoma City
Luguentz Dort

Wants to Remain with Thunder
Mitchell Robinson

is Questionable for Game 1
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Has Contract Guaranteed for 2026-2027 Season
Oso Ighodaro

Gets Guaranteed Contract for Next Season
NAS

Chris MacFarland Joins Predators as President and General Manager
VAN

Canucks Name Manny Malhotra as New Head Coach
Brendan Gallagher

to Leave Canadiens This Offseason
Patrik Laine

Looking Forward to Free Agency
Jeremy Lauzon

Returns to Action Tuesday
Zach Werenski

Wins 2025-26 Norris Trophy
Aaron Judge

Out on Tuesday With Rib/Shoulder Injury
Adam Randall

Well-Positioned for Dynasty Success in Baltimore?
Nicholas Singleton

Could Be the Running Back of the Future in Tennessee
Bryce Lance

Is Bryce Lance Currently Undervalued by Dynasty Managers?
Mike Washington Jr.

Carries Dynasty Sleeper Appeal Entering 2026
Adonai Mitchell

Is Adonai Mitchell Still Worthy of a Dynasty Roster Spot?
Tony Pollard

Dynasty Stock Rising in Improving Tennessee Offense?
Josh Hader

Set to Return from Injured List on Tuesday
Chris Brazzell II

a Year 1 Breakout Candidate in Carolina?
Ja'Kobi Lane

a Great Fit for Ravens, Potential Steal in Rookie Drafts
Josh Jacobs

Back at Practice on Tuesday
CFB

SEC Coach Calls Buster Faulkner a "Home-Run Hire"
CFB

Auburn a Sleeper in the SEC Under Alex Golesh?
CFB

Noah Fifita Primed for Strong 2026 Campaign
CFB

Oregon Assistant Coach Charged with DUII, Reckless Driving
CFB

Tight End Nick Pollack Commits to Clemson
Akshay Bhatia

Needs the Driver to be True in Ohio
Aaron Rai

Primed to take on the Memorial Tournament
J.J. Spaun

Rebounded at Charles Schwab Challenge
Xander Schauffele

One to Watch This Week in Ohio
Hideki Matsuyama

Putter Could be Vital at the Memorial
Elly De La Cruz

to Miss 2-4 Weeks of Action
Chase Burns

is Scratched Due to Illness
Deiveson Figueiredo

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Song Yadong

Gets Second-Round Submission Win
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers Back-To-Back Losses
Alonzo Menifield

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Scores First-Round Knockout Win
Cameron Smotherman

Suffers Third Loss In A Row
Edwin Arroyo

Reds Promote Top Infield Prospect Edwin Arroyo, Viewed as Priority Pick Up Ahead of MLB Debut
Kai Asakura

Earns His First UFC Win
Elly De La Cruz

Placed on IL with Right Hamstring Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Earns the first Nashville Cup Series Victory of his Career on Sunday
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Earns First Career Podium Finish at Nashville
Ryan Blaney

Scores A Solid Top-10 Finish at Nashville
Kyle Larson

Top-10 Streak at Nashville Ends after Late Flat Tire Spin
Elly De La Cruz

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Tyler Reddick

Is One of the Top Favorites to Win at Nashville
Kyle Larson

May Continue his Top-10 Consistency at Nashville this week
Christopher Bell

Is One of the Top Competitors for the Win at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Is A Must Start for Nashville DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

has Plenty of Upside for Nashville DFS Lineups
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Nashville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar

Is Likely to have Another Solid Result at Nashville
NASCAR

Should Fantasy Players Roster Bubba Wallace at Nashville?
Chris Buescher

Is A Decent All-Around DFS Option for Nashville Lineups
Daniel Suarez

is Likely to Drop Positions during the Cracker Barrel 400
Garrett Crochet

Suffers Setback, Likely to Undergo MRI for Lat Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Could Denny Hamlin Dominate at Nashville?
Ryan Blaney

Is a DFS Tournament Option at Nashville
Ty Gibbs

Don't Overlook Ty Gibbs at Nashville
Joey Logano

Could Show Life at Nashville
Ross Chastain

Needs a Good Run at Nashville
Chet Holmgren

Fails to Step Up in the Season Finale
Cason Wallace

Ends Postseason with Strong Showing
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Caps MVP Season with Game 7 Exit
Stephon Castle

Continues Postseason Run with 16 Points
Julian Champagnie

Shines in Series-Clinching Win
De'Aaron Fox

Provides Secondary Punch in Game 7 Triumph
Victor Wembanyama

Earns Conference Finals MVP in Spurs' Game 7 Win
NBA

Warriors Prioritize Depth Around Returning Steve Kerr
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Cleveland's Top Priority
Adou Thiero

Remains a Lakers Development Project
NBA

76ers Hire Mike Gansey as President of Basketball Operations
NBA

Chicago Bulls Explore Kevin Young as Coaching Candidate
Kyrie Irving

Reports He's Nearing Full Strength in ACL Recovery
Lane Hutson

Posts a Power-Play Assist in Game 5 Loss
Cole Caufield

Nets a Power-Play Goal in Season-Ending Loss
Seth Jarvis

Closes Out East Finals With Multi-Point Game
Logan Stankoven

Notches Three Points in Big Game 5 Win
Taylor Hall

Racks Up Three Points in Series-Clinching Win
Frederik Andersen

Remains Stellar as Hurricanes Clinch Finals Berth
Jacob Gonzalez

is Heading to the Big Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Mitchell Robinson

Plans to Play in Game 1 After Finger Surgery
Ajay Mitchell

Ruled Out for Game 7
Jalen Williams

Unavailable in Decisive Game 7
Eury Pérez

Eury Perez is Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Deiveson Figueiredo

Set For UFC Macau Main Event
MMA

Yadong Song Returns At UFC Macau
Alonzo Menifield

An Underdog At UFC Macau
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Macau Co-Main Event
Tallison Teixeira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Cameron Smotherman

Looks To Bounce Back
Kai Asakura

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
CFB

Faizon Brandon In Position to Start Week 1
CFB

Dane Weber Commits to Cal
CFB

Joey McGuire Attempts to Add Texas to Schedule
CFB

Mike Leach on 2027 College Football Hall of Fame Ballot
CFB

Maryland, Baylor Schedule Home-and-Home
CFB

Taron Dickens Decommits From North Carolina
MLB

MLB Proposes Hard Salary Cap as Part of Next CBA
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF