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Outfielders Who’ll Continue to Improve in 2018

While the other managers in your league are drafting redundant assets and fretting over which volatile closer they’re going to draft, you’ll be targeting up-and-coming outfielders with skyrocketing value. Winning the late rounds on draft day is the most you can do to put yourself in the best position to win a fantasy title.

All of these guys I listed below are players who will actually improve in 2018. You can count on that happening. I suggest drafting one of these guys if you want to win your league.

Here are some young outfielders to target in your fantasy baseball drafts for 2018.

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Young Speedsters

Bradley Zimmer, Cleveland Indians

Would you believe me if I told you that Bradley Zimmer is faster than Dee Gordon? Well, as a matter of fact, he is faster than Gordon. Zimmer’s 29.9 Sprint Speed score (a Statcast foot speed metric) was higher than Gordon, Manuel Margot, and Trea Turner last year, among others. Zimmer ranked third in the league according to Baseball Savant.

That might not be surprising to you considering that Zimmer’s always been known to have plus speed. I bet you’re assuming Zimmer is like 5-foot-10 or, at most, 6-foot-1. You’re wrong. He’s 6-foot-5. You read that right.

He’s 6-foot-5 and he’s the third-fastest player in the bigs.

For context, I’m also 6-foot-5 and I’m probably the slowest guy under 30 that anyone will ever meet in their life. It's hard to be tall and fast. 6-foot-5 players with plus raw power aren’t supposed to out-sprint speedsters like Dee Gordon. It just doesn’t happen. But we live in a world where Zimmer is faster than every player in the league not named Byron Buxton or Billy Hamilton.

Zimmer’s speed absolutely matters for fantasy purposes. You’re supposed to see that level of athleticism, target it, acquire it, and ride it to fantasy glory.

He still can’t hit for average, though, but expect his contact rates to improve as he get more at-bats. He hit more line drives in the minors than he did in his rookie year, so expect more liners, fewer grounders, and boosted BA. Steamer and ZiPS foresee him hitting around .240 with 15 HR and about 25 SB. Who would be surprised if he swipes 30 bags this year? He’s rather low in our rankings, and his 200 NFBC ADP offers fantasy owners a great low-risk, high-reward decision to make in the waning rounds of drafts. Zimmer is an athletic giant with quicker wheels than Dee Gordon and Trea Turner. Buy! Buy! Buy!

 

Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins

What more needs to be said about Buxton’s career so far? He’s a true five-tool player who just happened to break out later than expected. Sometimes young studs end up breaking out later than everyone thinks they will.

Remember the Sprint Speed score from Statcast? Buxton ranked first in it last year. He also ranked first in Outs Above Average (OAA), a Statcast metric that measures all-around fielding skill. Statcast was designed to showcase the abilities of players like Buxton.

Fantasy gamers might see Buxton’s current ADP and think it’s a bit too high. That’s understandable. He’s streaky and fresh off some bust lists. But his face-melting Statcast numbers suggest that he’s has already developed into the player he was supposed to become. He’s already the fastest player in the league, he’s already a lockdown center fielder, and he’s clearly not underperforming his talent level anymore.

So what’s next for him? Improved contact skills, of course! Buxton had career-best O-Contact% and Z-Contact% last year while boosting his swing rate to 48.3%, a career high. Buxton was swinging more and making more contact, which is exactly what you want to see from a budding all-around superstar.

Pair improving batting skills with a league-best speed score and plus-plus fielding ability and you have the makings of a future second or third round pick in fantasy.  

 

Late Breakout Stud

Jose Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals

Martinez is the Cardinals’ latest voodoo magic breakout stud. After floating around the minors since 2006, Martinez received a true shot with the Cards and all he did was crank hits. He ranked 40th in Brls/PA (barrels per plate appearance), eighth in line drive rate (min. 300 PA), fifth in xwOBA (min. 250 PA), and first in xBA (min. 250 PA).

Martinez’s .311 xBA was actually higher than his .309 BA. That’s how good he was last year. He hit .309 but should've hit even more. He was the only .300 hitter (min. 250 PA) with an xBA higher than his actual batting average. Totally bonkers.

Where does Martinez fit in on the Cardinals, though? How many at bats will he receive? Steamer projects 358 PA in 2018. There’s little-to-no bust potential here, so be sure scoop up Martinez and stash him on your bench.

 

Plate Discipline Savant

Robbie Grossman, Minnesota Twins

Are you in an AL-only league, OBP league, or super-deep mixed league? Want to find actual contributors to stash on your bench? Look no further than Robbie Grossman, baseball’s most patient hitter. Grossman combines average contact ability with a composed approach at the dish and it’s resulted in two straight years of stable production for the Twins.

Grossman swung at only 38% of pitches last year, swung and missed 6% of pitches, and carried a career high 14.7 BB% throughout the season. The good news is that Statcast favors him in 2018. Grossman’s .246 BA was lower than his .258 xBA, and his .333 wOBA was a tad lower than his .340 xwOBA. Grossman is obviously not viable in most fantasy circles, but for the few of you diehard fantasy addicts playing in deep leagues with god-knows-how-many roster spots and scoring categories, Grossman needs to be on your radar on draft day. Taking him in the last round will be the easiest pick you make in the draft.

 

More 2018 MLB Player Outlooks




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Logan Webb

on Track to Start Against Dodgers on Monday
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Leads by Example in Game 2 Win
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Rebounds After Loss Yet Again for Montreal
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Overcomes Shooting Struggles Friday
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Should by Now Be Rostered by Every Kittle Dynasty Manager
Anthony Edwards

Carries Heavy Usage in Defeat
Chig Okonkwo

a Clear Breakout Candidate in Washington
Lukas Dostal

Gets Pulled in Game 3 Loss on Friday
Victor Wembanyama

Joins Historic Playoff Company
Mikal Bridges

Continues Postseason Surge with 23-Point Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

Still a Low-Cost, Short-Term Dynasty Target
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' Buy Window Could Soon Be Wide Open
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Notches Sixth Goal of the Postseason
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Tallies 33 Points to Take 3-0 Series Lead
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Mitch Marner Hat Trick Helps Vegas Take Series Lead
Pat Bryant

Working With Training Staff This Offseason
Jacoby Brissett

in Communication With Cardinals Despite Skipping Workouts
Daniel Jones

Could Take Part in 7-on-7 Drills at OTAs
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Sam Merrill

Iffy for Game 3 on Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Rejoins Starting Lineup Friday
Kevin Huerter

Likely to Remain Out Saturday
Jarred Vanderbilt

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Jalen Williams

Ruled Out for Game 3 Against Lakers
Ayo Dosunmu

Cleared to Play Friday
Anthony Edwards

Available Friday Night
Joel Embiid

is Returning for Game 3 on Friday
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Undergoes Heel Surgery
Josh Hart

is Available to Play in Game 3
OG Anunoby

is Downgraded to Out for Game 3 on Friday
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is Returning for Game 3
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Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
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Still Out Saturday
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Could Return Saturday
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Likely to Remain Out Friday
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Won't Play Friday
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Ready to Go Friday
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Set to Return Thursday
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Available Thursday
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Heading for the Injured List
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Joe Ryan

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Tyler Glasnow

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Framber Valdez

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Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
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Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
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Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
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Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
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Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
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Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
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has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
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to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
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Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
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Withdraws From Truist Championship
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Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
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Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
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Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
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Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
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Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
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Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
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Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
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Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
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Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
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Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
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Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
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Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
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Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
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Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
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Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
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Shines At UFC Perth
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Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
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Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
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Wins Back-To-Back Fights
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Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
RANKINGS
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RANKINGS

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