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Koby's favorite DFS plays from the Bills-Chiefs AFC Championship Game for single game contests on FanDuel and DraftKings.
Welcome back, RotoBallers! Hopefully, everyone's Divisional Round weekend DFS and bets went well! We have an AFC Conference Championship banger on our hands as two of the top teams in the league take each other on with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosting Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills.
We have been pretty successful with these showdown slates, and hopefully, that trend will continue from last year into this year. Most of us started our fantasy journeys with football, so it's always nice when it comes around. I'll do my best to provide you with as much in-depth analysis as possible regarding positional matchups.
I will provide you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Bills vs. Chiefs NFL DFS showdown on January 26. These NFL DFS lineup picks can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel. If you have any questions, follow me on X @DFSKoby and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with me and other NFL DFS analysts whenever you'd like!
MVP/Captain Plays
Josh Allen - QB, Buffalo Bills - $17.4K (DK), $17K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 4,130 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, six interceptions, 597 rushing yards, 14 rushing touchdowns
Josh Allen is the one consistent play from the Bills week in and week out. He had 25 FP in the last matchup against the Chiefs, and with the season on the line, I expect that we get the best of Allen this week. He is ridiculously expensive, but with the production we get from him, he will likely be one of the top plays on the slate.
Travis Kelce - TE, Kansas City Chiefs - $13.5K (DK), $13K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 93 targets, 72 receptions, 888 receiving yards, eight touchdowns
Travis Kelce has been a focal point of the offense during the playoffs. He has caught 15 receptions on 19 targets for 201 yards and two touchdowns. The Bills, at the end of the regular season, were giving up the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing TEs. They also gave up 73 yards and a touchdown to Isaiah Likely. Kelce is likely one of the best plays on this slate.
Travis Kelce is closing in on another postseason record. 👀 #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/ZTyH2RXExa
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) January 23, 2025
Other Captains/MVPs: Patrick Mahomes, James Cook, Xavier Worthy
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DFS Flex Plays
Xavier Worthy- WR, Kansas City Chiefs - $8.4K (DK), $11K (FD)
Key Stats
- 2024 Stats: 104 targets, 64 receptions, 683 receiving yards, nine total touchdowns
Xavier Worthy was the only wideout to catch a pass in last week's win over the Texans. I expect this game to be very pass-heavy and could involve a high-scoring affair. Worthy will likely serve as the primary receiving threat outside of Kelce. Worthy should line up against Kaiir Elam, who is giving up .29 FP per route run this season, which is a team-high.
Khalil Shakir - WR, Buffalo Bills - $8.8K (DK), $12K (FD)
- 2024 Stats: 113 targets, 88 receptions, 949 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns
Khalil Shakir gets an elite matchup against the Chiefs. He lines up in the slot 75 percent of the time and should be lined up against Chamarri Conner most of the time, who gives up .36 FP per route run this season. That is one of the best matchups on the entire day!
Shakir has been the most targeted player for Buffalo in the playoffs and had one of his best games against the Chiefs earlier in the season. Shakir makes for an elite option on this slate.
WRs with 150+ Targets and a Reception % above 80% in the past 2 seasons:
🦬 Khalil Shakir
That's it pic.twitter.com/ykos3VTXk2
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) January 23, 2025
Other Flex Options: Marquise Brown, James Cook, Dalton Kincaid
DFS Value Plays
Tyler Bass - K, Buffalo Bills - $4.8K (DK), $9K (FD)
The weather in this one is quite mild, making kicking conditions great for this one. Bass has been perfect in the playoffs so far and has 11 FP in both games. The Chiefs are only allowing touchdowns in the red zone at a 50 percent rate. This gives the Bills ample opportunities to get Tyler Bass a chance to get multiple field goals in this one.
Noah Gray - TE, Kansas City Chiefs - $2K (DK), $7K (FD)
Like I said before with Travis Kelce, the Bills are a good matchup for TEs. Noah Gray also had two touchdowns in their last matchup! I don't think we see that again with how much Mahomes has been targeting Kelce in the playoffs. Gray is cheap, however, and could be looked at in the end zone as Kelce could be covered heavily.
Other Value Plays: Keon Coleman, Amari Cooper, Harrison Butker
Enjoy your week, and good luck, everyone!
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