Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Mike Moustakas to the Brewers - Fantasy Impact

The rumor mill has been suggesting it for a while but on Sunday it became official that Mike Moustakas is back in Milwaukee. Moustakas returns to the Brew Crew on the back of a 54-game audition at the end of last season. While the numbers in that span looked somewhat disappointing compared to his 2017 numbers, they were clearly good enough for Milwaukee to bring him back in.

So what will we see from Moustakas this season? Will it be a repeat of 2018 or a return to the breakout of 2017? In addition, what does this signing mean for the other parts of the Brewers lineup? Which of Travis Shaw, Hernan Perez, and Cory Spangenberg are the big losers?

This signing clearly raises a lot of questions from a fantasy perspective, not just for Moustakas but for a lot of the Brewers roster. Let's take a look at what we might expect from everyone affected in 2019.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!


The Moose in Milwaukee

Moustakas' time in Milwaukee made for a relatively short sample size but there are definitely some interesting details to take away from both his time there and his 2018 season as a whole. Moustakas played 54 games and logged 218 plate appearances as a Brewer. During that time he hit just eight home runs, giving him his lowest HR/PA rate since 2015 (.037). However, in 98 plate appearances in Miller Park in 2018, Moustakas hit six home runs, a HR/PA rate of 0.061. A similar performance over 300 plate appearances at Miller Park next season would see him hit somewhere in the region of 18-20 home runs. That is a great grounding for him to threaten a total of 35 home runs, and potentially even get close matching the 38 from 2017 next season. Those power predictions are further reinforced by the fact that his batted ball profile was similar in 2017 and 2018. In fact, his hard hit percentage, exit velocity and launch angle were all slightly higher in 2018 than in 2017.

His batting average is a little harder to put a finger on this season. His BABIP was similar (.259 compared to .263), his K% was only slightly higher (16.2% compared to 15.7%) and his GB/FB rate was almost identical (0.74 compared to 0.76). The only real stand out indicator is that his infield fly ball rate jumped from 16% in 2017 to 19.2% in 2018. All of those numbers suggest to me that his batting average is going to be somewhere between the 2017 and 2018 numbers. If he keeps a similar batted-ball profile again in 2019, it may not get back to the height of .272 but it should be unlikely to sink below the .252 of last season.

In terms of runs and RBI, the combined numbers have every chance to be similar to what we have seen previously in his career, somewhere in the 160 region. Right now, Moustakas is predicted to hit sixth in the lineup so the lean should be towards him having about 90 RBI compared to 60ish runs. However, with Yasmani Grandal and Orlando Arcia behind him, there is the potential his runs could creep closer to 80. Of course, during the season there is always the chance of lineup flexibility, but the knowledge he will be in the 160 combined runs and RBI region is a good starting point.


Sacrificing Shaw

The one thing this signing does is that it forces Travis Shaw to play second base again. Or does it? According to recent reports, the Brewers may intend to have Moustakas try his hand at second base and keep Shaw at third, even though Moose has never played 2B in the majors. Shaw played 37 games last season at second base, most of which came after the acquisition of Moustakas, but apparently, they weren't thrilled with the results. Shaw's numbers while playing second base were interesting. While playing second base Shaw hit 10 home runs, an average of 0.072 HR/PA. In contrast, he hit 20 home runs in 419 PA (.048) while playing third base. So the power was better at second base, but his average was nearly .030 lower when playing that position than when playing at third base.

On one hand, that is great news as it means that Shaw and Moustakas will both have second base eligibility this season. Second base is an extremely shallow position, and Moustakas gains a huge amount of fantasy value just simply by being eligible there. On the other hand, as we saw with Shaw, it could lead to some early adjustments for Moustakas that could trickle down to the batter's box.

The bigger issue is that right now Moustakas is the most obvious platoon partner for Hernan Perez, which is what Roster Resource are currently predicting. Shaw should see the majority of AB at the third base position, but his value is hurt by the fact we could be looking at something closer to 450 PA than the 600 we have seen the last two years if Moustakas splits time with him at the hot corner instead. The question marks around playing time for both players mean they should drop a fair bit in ADP over the coming weeks, and perhaps even to the point of not being drafted in 10 or 12-team mixed leagues.


Effect on the other Brewers

We have already discussed the domino effect of this on Shaw. However, there have also been other Brewers affected. Cory Spangenberg now appears to have lost his place on the 25-man roster, and could easily end up on another team by the time the season opens. He did not have much fantasy value before this signing, and his loss of playing time will not concern too many fantasy players this season. As for Hernan Perez, his value actually changes very little initially. However, it does drastically decrease his chances of becoming an everyday player. Overcoming Spangenberg for the job would have been significantly easier than getting past Moustakas will be.

Moustakas looks likely to slot into the six slot in the lineup, pushing Grandal and Arcia down. Both of those will lose a little off their runs and RBI totals, based on the decrease in PA. However, the change should not be major. The same goes for the hitters just above Moustakas in the lineup, Aguilar and Braun. Moustakas might give them a little boost in runs scored, but he is not so much of a significant improvement over Grandal at the six spot that they see a real increase in value of any sorts.



As always with these signings, there are positives and negatives for fantasy. The main positives are that Moustakas had good power numbers in Miller Park last season, and he remains part of a very good lineup. The major negative appears to be the effect on Shaw if Moose doesn't take to second base, or if that plan falls apart. Not only does Moustakas have to change position defensively, but he is also now potentially in a platoon for second base. So while Moustakas has hypothetically gained fantasy value by staying in a potent lineup and hitter-friendly park, the loss of playing time may be even greater. If he is eligible at second base this season, possibly the weakest position in 2019, for that reason this signing is more than likely a lost opportunity for fantasy purposes.

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Bruno Fernando3 mins ago

Questionable On Thursday With Illness
Josh Christopher7 mins ago

Tagged As Questionable Against Spurs
Nikola Jovic14 mins ago

Available To Play Against Clippers
Duncan Robinson20 mins ago

Probable For Thursday's Game
San Francisco Giants1 hour ago

Giants Acquire Blake Sabol From The Reds
Austin Brice1 hour ago

Diamondbacks Sign Austin Brice To Minor-League Deal
Jason Heyward1 hour ago

Dodgers Sign Jason Heyward To Minor-League Deal
Trevor Williams1 hour ago

Mets Could Reunite With Trevor Williams
Baker Mayfield2 hours ago

Expected To Be Active, Could Start
Marcus Mariota2 hours ago

Benched For Desmond Ridder
Andrei Kuzmenko6 hours ago

Heating Up Again
Josh Jacobs6 hours ago

Expected To Play Thursday Night
Mika Zibanejad6 hours ago

Enjoys A Three-Point Night Versus Vegas
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins6 hours ago

Piles Up Three Points Wednesday
Connor McDavid6 hours ago

Goes Off For Another Four Points
Linus Ullmark6 hours ago

Shuts Out Colorado
Taylor Hall6 hours ago

Grabs Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Patrik Laine6 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Wednesday
Alex Tuch6 hours ago

Posts Career-High Four Points
Kirill Kaprizov13 hours ago

Extends Point Streak In Loss
Alex Ovechkin13 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Joe Jiménez13 hours ago

Braves Acquire Joe Jimenez From Tigers
Xander Bogaerts13 hours ago

Padres Agree With Xander Bogaerts On 11-Year Deal
Tage Thompson14 hours ago

Scores Five Goals In Dominant Victory
Tyler Herro15 hours ago

Probable For Meeting With The Clippers
Buddy Hield15 hours ago

Scores 26 Points In Loss
Tyrese Haliburton15 hours ago

Plays Well In Return From Injury
Giannis Antetokounmpo15 hours ago

Has Game-High 35 Points In Win
Kevin Durant15 hours ago

Nearly Misses A Triple-Double On Wednesday
Kyrie Irving16 hours ago

Scores 33 Points On Wednesday
Julius Randle16 hours ago

Dominant In Win Over Hawks
Romeo Langford18 hours ago

Probable For Thursday
Dansby Swanson18 hours ago

Four Teams Showing Serious Interest In Dansby Swanson
Andrew Wiggins18 hours ago

To Miss Next Two Games
Dejounte Murray18 hours ago

Won't Return On Wednesday
Chris Paul18 hours ago

Returns On Wednesday
Dejounte Murray18 hours ago

Questionable To Return On Wednesday
Xander Bogaerts18 hours ago

Six Teams Talking With Xander Bogaerts
Myles Turner18 hours ago

To Play Wednesday
Tyrese Haliburton19 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Javonte Green19 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Mike Conley19 hours ago

Won't Return On Wednesday
Alex Caruso19 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Pittsburgh Pirates20 hours ago

Pirates Take Jose Hernandez In Rule 5 Draft
Ryan Noda20 hours ago

A's Pluck Ryan Noda Away From The Dodgers
Boston Red Sox20 hours ago

Red Sox Reel In Masataka Yoshida On Five-Year Deal
Cole Hamels20 hours ago

Wants To Pitch In 2023
Josh Jacobs20 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night Football
New York Mets20 hours ago

Mets Remain Involved With Kodai Senga
Carlos Rodón20 hours ago

Yankees Remain In On Carlos Rodon
Mike Williams20 hours ago

Set To Practice This Week
Carlos Correa20 hours ago

Giants Have Talked With Carlos Correa
Thad Ward20 hours ago

Nationals Select Thad Ward With First Rule 5 Pick
Zach Hyman21 hours ago

Set To Return Wednesday
James Van Riemsdyk21 hours ago

James van Riemsdyk Returns To Flyers Lineup
Craig Smith21 hours ago

Back For Bruins Wednesday
James Reimer21 hours ago

Misses Another Game
Nico Sturm21 hours ago

Back In Action Wednesday
Jack Eichel21 hours ago

Sits Out A Second Game
Filip Chytil21 hours ago

Ready To Go Wednesday
Jimmy Garoppolo22 hours ago

A Long Shot To Return In Playoffs
Joe Mixon22 hours ago

A Full Participant In Practice
Los Angeles Rams23 hours ago

Aaron Donald Ruled Out For Thursday Night
Trevor Lawrence23 hours ago

Expects To Play In Week 14
Brooks Raley23 hours ago

Mets Acquire Brooks Raley From Rays
Casey Sadler24 hours ago

Mariners Sign Casey Sadler To Minors Deal
Tucker Barnhart24 hours ago

Pirates Interested In Tucker Barnhart
Seth Lugo24 hours ago

Drawing A Lot Of Interest To Start
Courtland Sutton24 hours ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 14
Xander Bogaerts1 day ago

Red Sox In Heavy Discussions With Xander Bogaerts
David Njoku1 day ago

Ready To Play
Buffalo Bills1 day ago

Von Miller Undergoes Surgery, Out For The Year
Mark Ingram II1 day ago

Likely Done For The Season
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

Up In The Air For Week 14
Tua Tagovailoa1 day ago

Expected To Be Limited In Practice
Davis Mills1 day ago

Texans Going Back To Davis Mills At QB
Magomed Ankalaev1 day ago

Can Realize His UFC Dream
Jan Blachowicz1 day ago

Set For Title Redemption
Jared Gordon1 day ago

Has An Opportunity For A Huge Victory
Paddy Pimblett1 day ago

Set To Showcase In UFC 282
Matt Murray1 day ago

Records A 44-Save Shutout
Pierre-Luc Dubois1 day ago

Extends Hot Streak With Three Assists
Anze Kopitar1 day ago

Collects Three Assists
Dricus Du Plessis1 day ago

Hoping To Continue To Rack Up Wins
Darren Till1 day ago

Looking For A Key Victory At UFC 282
Ilia Topuria1 day ago

Meets Fellow Top-15 Undefeated Featherweight
Bryce Mitchell1 day ago

Set To Open UFC 282 Main Card
Greg Dortch2 days ago

Cardinals Hopeful Rondale Moore, Greg Dortch Return This Week
Jimmy Garoppolo2 days ago

Will Avoid Surgery, Could Return In Playoffs
Baker Mayfield2 days ago

Claimed By The Rams
David Njoku2 days ago

Browns Expect David Njoku To Play In Week 14
Lamar Jackson2 days ago

Dealing With PCL Knee Sprain
Kevin Holland3 days ago

Takes The Loss In Saturday's Main Event
Stephen Thompson3 days ago

Earns Victory In Main Event
Bryan Barberena3 days ago

Unable To Secure A Win Saturday
Rafael Dos Anjos3 days ago

Rafael dos Anjos Takes Co-Main Event By Submission
Matt Schnell3 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Takes The Loss Saturday
Matheus Nicolau3 days ago

Continues Run With TKO Victory
Tai Tuivasa3 days ago

Suffers Second Straight Loss
Sergei Pavlovich3 days ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory With Knockout Win
Jack Hermansson3 days ago

Ends 2022 With Losing Record
Roman Dolidze3 days ago

Makes Most Of Opportunity With TKO Victory
Kyle Daukaus3 days ago

Has His Night Come To An Early End
Eryk Anders3 days ago

Gets It Done With A Second TKO Performance
Kevin Holland5 days ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory