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May NFL Mailbag - Running Backs, IDP, Sammy or Amari?

It has been a long time since I have done a mailbag article and I almost forgot how much fun they are. My favorite part about this, are my interactions with you, the reader.

I am always open to answering questions on Twitter or Reddit, but most of the time, those are quick response from prior knowledge. Occasionally, I get a question I need to dive into a little more, but you don’t have the same space on those platforms as you do in an article.

Getting the opportunity to expand on your questions in an article is awesome, so expect to see more of these coming soon. Moving forward, each mailbag article will have some type of theme, looking for questions directed at that topic. This week though, we have a whole bunch of questions to kick off the first mailbag article of the year. If you have questions and want a shout out on Twitter, keep an eye out for my tweets asking for questions and send them my way.

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Fantasy Football Mailbag

What second year receiver are you expecting the biggest breakout from? (So no Kupp/Juju since they already did) - @BeerFueledFF

Aside from the two mentioned in the question, @slic117 jumped in and said Corey Davis does not count either, but he was too easy. My pick until Brandon Marshall signed with the Seahawks was Amara Darboh, and while he could still offer some fantasy value, Marshall will see those red zone targets in his place. I’m still buying Darboh, because Paul Richardson and Jimmy Graham leave behind 175 targets from 2017. The defense in Seattle won’t be great and Russell Wilson may need to throw more this year. Marshall won’t see but half of those targets at best.

I think we see several receivers from last year take a step forward including Trent Taylor in San Francisco, Kenny Golladay in Detroit, Taywan Taylor in Tennessee and Dede Westbrook in Jacksonville. Westbrook has the potential to be the WR1 on his own team. In dynasty formats, I am buying as many second-year receivers as possible this offseason. Value is down right now and you could pick up some guys with good upside. John Ross is dirt cheap right now and could become a boom or bust receiver with big play ability.

 

Other than the NYG, which running game improves the most this year and why? - @GOATdistrict

I think Cleveland is one of my favorites, but from a fantasy football standpoint, it’s going to be a nightmare for owners. Nick Chubb, Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson will combine for a RB1 season, but combining for one doesn’t offer a whole lot of help for owners.

Assuming you really want me to answer this question from a fantasy football standpoint, I have one team that I like from a different perspective. It wasn’t the addition in the backfield, it was the subtraction from the backfield and the addition on the offensive line.

The Cincinnati Bengals should be much improved in 2018. The Bengals ran for 1366 yards last season and 3.6 yards per carry, both second to last in the league. I will actually be writing an article on Joe Mixon in the next couple of weeks, so I don’t want to give away too much, but I expect big things from them this coming season.

 

Laurel or Yanny ??? - @ChiRuxinDFS

You can’t have a mailbag article without one question outside the box. Yanny all the way for me.

 

Who would you rather take a chance on drafting this year at RB. Marlon Mack or anyone in Denver? - @Envisionff

Although Marlon Mack has continued to gain steam this off-season as the Colts decided to against making a big splash in free agency or the draft to add a running back. Even though Mack appears to be the RB1 in Indy, taking Royce Freeman from Denver is an easy pick for me. I think the Broncos truly view Freeman as a lead back that will carry a large workload, and adding Case Keenum was a huge upgrade to help the pass and run game. I think Freeman as much more upside.

The addition of Nyheim Hines for the Colts has been a low-key addition that fantasy owners should be keeping a very close eye on. Hines was a former slot receiver at NC State and can run his routes well and knows the route tree. He is going to be all over the field playing out of the backfield, playing the slot and lining up wherever a mismatch can be found. I think he is worked slowly into the game plan and will take some substantial touches away from Mack as the season wears on.

 

Who is your top IDP pick? -@TheScorecrow

Taking a quick second to promote our new, updated rankings on Rotoballer! Everything you need to win your league this year, and now that includes IDP rankings by yours truly. In those rankings, I have Luke Keuchly listed as my number one overall IDP this coming season. I know there are concerns over his health, but when he is on the field, he is the best linebacker in football, especially from a fantasy football perspective.

Things can always hinge on your league scoring, but linebackers will typically score the most out of all defensive positions. My top three players are all linebackers and include Bobby Wagner and Deion Jones. Joey Bosa and Demarcus Lawrence round out the top five as well, and sit higher than most due to an increased sack potential. If you are in an IDP league, make sure you check scoring settings though. If a sack is worth substantially more than a tackle, you will want guys with great sack potential.

 

Amari Cooper or Sammy Watkins? Both, IMO, have disappointed and seem to get their tires pumped more than they’ve shown they deserve in fantasy. - @FantasyReich

This was easy for me as well. Amari Cooper all the way. I really don’t understand how a majority of the fantasy community has soured on Cooper, but not Sammy Watkins. Watkins will need to fight for targets with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce but Cooper should lead the Raiders in targets. I don’t think Jordy Nelson or Martavis Bryant will offer a high enough ceiling to be a better play than Cooper this season or moving forward. I would pick Cooper 10 out of 10 times.

 

More 2018 Fantasy Football & ADP Analysis




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ross Colton

Won't Play Wednesday
Devon Toews

Still Out Wednesday
Simon Holmstrom

Expected to Return Wednesday
Ryan Pulock

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Michael Penix Jr.

Thinks he'll be Ready by April
Evan Carter

Establishes a Goal to Steal 30 Bases
Edouard Julien

Traded to the Rockies
Cleveland Browns

Browns Hiring Todd Monken as Next Head Coach
Jack St. Ivany

to Miss Up to Eight Weeks After Surgery
Cody Glass

Exits Early Tuesday Night
Anton Lundell

Expected to Be Available Thursday
Jordan Kyrou

Jake Neighbours Knocked Out of the Lineup Tuesday
Elias Lindholm

Hurt in Tuesday's Win
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Exits With Injury Tuesday
Ondrej Palat

Devils Send Ondrej Palat to the Islanders
Collin Murray-Boyles

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday's Game
Jock Landale

Available for Wednesday's Tilt
Kel'el Ware

in Danger of Missing Another Game
Sahith Theegala

Off to Much Better 2026 Start
Davion Mitchell

Iffy for Wednesday
Gary Woodland

an Intriguing Option at Torrey Pines This Week
Norman Powell

Questionable Wednesday
Tyler Herro

Remains Out Wednesday
CJ Abrams

Giants Offer "Aggressive Pitch" for CJ Abrams
Andrew Putnam

Hopes to Keep Momentum Rolling This Week
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic to Be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Matthieu Pavon

Seeks to Return to 2024 Form at Torrey Pines
Luke List

Still Looking For Birdies at Torrey Pines
Jake Knapp

Faces Stiff Challenge at Farmers Insurance Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Needs to Play Better at Torrey Pines
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Could Struggle at Farmers Insurance Open
J.J. Spaun

A Steady Option At Farmers Insurance Open
Andrew Novak

Looking For More Success At Torrey Pines
Denny McCarthy

A Wild Card At Farmers Insurance Open
Max Homa

Looks To Keep Resurgence Going At Torrey Pines
Joe Highsmith

Struggling Heading Into Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark

Looks To Carry Momentum Into Farmers Insurance Open
Tony Finau

Aims To Turn Things Around At Torrey Pines
Darius Garland

Won't Be Available Wednesday
Akshay Bhatia

Looks to Bounce Back at Torrey Pines
Franz Wagner

Won't Play Wednesday
Draymond Green

Expected to Return Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard

Available Against Jazz
Jordan Goodwin

Starts Against Nets
Peyton Watson

Back for Nuggets Tuesday
Paul Goldschmidt

Yankees Expressing Interest in Re-Signing Paul Goldschmidt
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ready to Rock Tuesday Night
Jamal Murray

Active Versus Pistons
Bo Bichette

Won't Play in World Baseball Classic
Aaron Wiggins

Moves to Starting Lineup Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Bobby Portis Replaces Giannis Antetokounmpo in Starting Unit
Joel Embiid

Ready to Take on Bucks
Paul George

Returns to Action Tuesday
Stephen Curry

Listed as Probable for Wednesday
Collin Gillespie

Misses Tuesday's Matchup
NFL

Bill Belichick Won't be First-Ballot Hall of Famer
Leo Carlsson

to Miss Olympics
Alex Turcotte

Unavailable Tuesday
Carlos Correa

Won't Play for Puerto Rico in World Baseball Classic
Dylan Holloway

Remains Out Tuesday
Marco Rossi

to Return After Olympics
Thatcher Demko

Won't Return This Season
Sam Malinski

Inks Four-Year Extension With Avalanche
Bryan Rust

Slapped With Three-Game Suspension
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Continue Incredible Run at Torrey Pines
Jason Day

has a Good Chance to Keep Momentum This Weekend
Keegan Bradley

has Good Course History at Torrey Pines
Billy Horschel

Isn't a Great DFS Option at Torrey Pines
Aaron Rodgers

Mike McCarthy Says he Wants Aaron Rodgers to Return
Will Zalatoris

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Farmers Insurance Open
Drake Maye

Expected to be Fine for Super Bowl
Tennessee Titans

Titans Set to Hire Brian Daboll as New Offensive Coordinator
Buffalo Bills

Bills Promote Joe Brady to Head Coach
CFB

Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi Signs with Michigan
Teuvo Teravainen

Set to Return Tuesday
CFB

Darian Mensah Reaches Settlement with Duke, Expected to Land at Miami
Simon Edvinsson

Out Until Olympics
Josh Norris

Won't Play This Week
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Not Drawing Interest on Open Market?
Shedeur Sanders

Named as Pro Bowl Replacement
Framber Valdez

Among Many High-End Pitchers on Free-Agent Market
Jose Altuve

Won't Participate in World Baseball Classic
Harrison Bader

Agrees With Giants on Two-Year Deal
Paddy Pimblett

Drops Decision
Justin Gaethje

Becomes the New Interim-Lightweight Champion
Song Yadong

Suffers Unanimous Decision Loss
MMA

Sean O'Malley Gets Back In The Win Column
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Extends His Win Streak
Derrick Lewis

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Officially Hire Mike McDaniel as Offensive Coordinator
Nathan Eovaldi

Doesn't Expect Any Limitations in Spring Training
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates in NFC Championship Game Win
Matthew Stafford

Plans to Return in 2026
CFB

Arthur Smith to Become Ohio State's Offensive Coordinator
Bo Nix

Sidelined for 12 Weeks With Broken Ankle
Jose Altuve

to Mainly Play Second Base
Yu Darvish

Considering Retirement
Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers Finalizing Deal to Make Mike McCarthy Their Head Coach
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Signs Seven-Year Extension With Guardians
Gunnar Henderson

is Fully Healthy Heading into Spring Training
Tyreek Hill

Dolphins Expected to Release Tyreek Hill
Paddy Pimblett

Set For Interim Lightweight Title Fight
Justin Gaethje

An Underdog At UFC 324
Song Yadong

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Sean O'Malley Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Derrick Lewis

Returns At UFC 324
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Philip Rivers

Interviewing for Bills Head-Coaching Job
NFL

Fernando Mendoza Officially Declares for NFL Draft
CFB

Arch Manning Undergoes Foot Surgery
Dalton Kincaid

Played Through Torn PCL
CFB

College Football Playoff Expected to Remain a 12-Team Field in 2026
Baltimore Ravens

Ravens Hire Jesse Minter as Their Head Coach
Indianapolis Colts

FBI Investigating the Death of Colts Owner Jim Irsay

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