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Jordan Love is a potential fantasy football bust and overvalued draft pick to avoid in 2025. Read the fantasy football outlook and draft advice for the Green Bay Packers quarterback.
Fantasy Draft Analysis: Jordan Love is being drafted high-end QB2, and frankly, I don’t even think he’s THAT. There are quite a few factors around him compounding things. The lack of a target-earning wide receiver was a glaring need at the end of last season, as when the team got down in games, they didn’t have a go-to receiver. While their group of receivers is good, they all blend and can’t be relied upon over the other.
Top-10 fantasy finishes in 2024
Jordan Love: 2
Marcus Mariota: 2 (despite starting 0 games)Do what you will with this factoid.
— Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg) March 28, 2025
The 2025 NFL Draft brought them Matthew Golden in the first round and Savion Williams in the fourth round, but neither fit a target-earning profile that the team sorely needed. Adding a target-dominant wide receiver was a massive benefit that could have been added to the Packers’ offense to help Love make a big jump as a fantasy quarterback.
It’s not to say either rookie receiver couldn’t be a massive addition, but neither Golden nor Williams showed target-earning potential in their college careers. Not having a receiver with this skillset could compound the Packers’ passing-game issues even further this season.
A big issue with Love and the Green Bay passing game is that they just don’t do it enough in games. After the team’s Week 10 bye, Love had 30 or more pass attempts just once in eight games.
It was no surprise that the Packers were one of the most run-heavy teams in the league, as they were a bottom-three team in PROE behind the Colts and Eagles and had the second-highest raw rush rate (48 percent) behind the Eagles. While a Love groin injury may have shifted the offensive direction to protect him, it ended up working big time for the Packers.
Why would the Packers go away from that in 2025? Josh Jacobs ran like a man possessed last season with 12 touchdowns in his final eight games and a run of five straight games as RB6 or better. But you’ve got to have balance, and you need the passing game when you have to have it, and they refused to rely on any part of their passing game for volume purposes.
As for Love in a fantasy football context, he had zero weeks as a top-10 fantasy quarterback after Week 10 and was QB18 in that span, averaging just 14.4 fantasy points per game. Zero games with over 275 passing yards and zero games with more than two touchdown passes. Depending on Love to put forth solid fantasy efforts was a lost cause, despite the team winning and scoring a bunch of points.
Will this offense be more of the same in 2025? The Packers’ pass-catchers are just as big of a question mark as they were last season, and Green Bay doesn’t look like they’re going to shift from a run-heavy focus with Jacobs, MarShawn Lloyd, and others. Love feels like a caretaker-type quarterback rather than a facilitator, so unless he takes that next step, he’s going to be a disappointment for fantasy.
- Kevin Tompkins
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