X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Picks (9/27/16): MLB DFS Advice

This is it, my friends. This is goodbye. Goodbye to the best daily fantasy day and sport there is - MLB Tuesday. It's been a pleasure writing these columns all year, and it's with a tear in my eye that I say - goodbye until next year. But first, actually, let's grab some cash one more time. In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy baseball MLB lineup picks for FanDuel on 9/27/16. The DFS lineup picks will range from high-priced to low-priced options and identify options who will out-perform their expectations, including sleepers and value plays on FanDuel.

Before we get into it, let's take a look at over/unders, moneylines and park factors. The biggest over/under today stands alone at 9.5 - Brewers at Rangers - and happens to be the only game of nine runs or above. After that, it's a fairly evenly projected field with several games between 7.5 and 8.5 runs. The heaviest favorites right now on the moneyline are the Cardinals (-222), the Red Sox (-182) and the Giants (-187). As for park factors, the hitters with the highest positive park factors are the left-handed hitters of the Red Sox and Yankees, the right-handed batters of the Rays and White Sox, and the right-handed hitters of the Blue Jays and Orioles.

Editor's Note: Be sure to check out FantasyAces DFS contests. New users that sign up on Fantasy Aces and make a $20 deposit will receive RotoBaller's full season NFL Premium Pass for free (including Premium DFS), normally a $59.99 value. Expert DFS research, sample lineups, matchup ratings and lots more!

 

DFS Lineup Stacks to Target for FanDuel

The Texas Rangers against Jimmy Nelson

The Rangers have the highest run projection tonight at 5.5, and by a pretty wide margin, I might add. This game is taking place in a great power hitter's park in Arlington against the ever-so-hit-able Jimmy Nelson. For the season, Nelson has been serviceable, but he does allow a slugging percentage to right-handed and left-handed batters north of 4.30 and nearly 1.2 HR/9 allowed to both sides. The biggest reasons for the high projection comes down to two factors, in my opinion. For one, Nelson has been hit hard lately. He's getting squared up (23% line drive rate over past three starts) and in the second half of the season, his slugging percentage allowed is .480 - which is nearly 100 points higher than the first half of the season. Nelson has also performed much more poorly on the road than at home. The second reason, though, is that the Rangers have some hitters that have huge differentials in their splits - numbers that favor facing right-handed pitching - just as they do tonight. My favorite Rangers tonight are Jurickson Profar, Nomar Mazara and Rougned Odor.

St. Louis Cardinals left-handed batters against Robert Stephenson

The Cardinals have the second highest run projection of the night - 5.2 - and face a pitcher they should be able to tee off on. Their lineup is loaded with guys with excellent splits against right-handed pitching and Stephenson and his 1.6 WHIP and 2.2 HR/9 has little business being in the majors at this point. In 2016, left-handed batters have shown the most success against Stephenson. He's allowed a .387 wOBA, .563 slugging percentage and 2.93 HR/9 to that group. My favorite Cardinal hitters of the night are Matt Carpenter, Brandon Moss, Greg Garcia, and Jeremy Hazelbaker.

Also Consider:  Chicago Cubs left-handed batters against Ryan Vogelsong

 

DFS Starting Pitchers to Consider for FanDuel

Chris Sale (SP, CWS) - $10,800

Thanks to receny bias, we could see Sale at a much lower ownership rate than he should be at tonight. He performed poorly in his most recent start, but was electric in the two starts prior, averaging 57 FanDuel points in that span. He owns an excellent 1.02 WHIP and a really strong 9.2 K/9 rate. Tonight, he is of particular interest to me because of the elevated strikeout projection, which is thanks to the Rays striking out in nearly 27% of their at-bats versus southpaws this season.

Also Consider: Max Scherzer (SP, WAS) - $11,300

 

DFS Infielders to Consider for FanDuel

Catcher (C)

Willson Contreras (C, CHC) - $3,100

The Cubs backstop is listed a little higher in price tonight than you and I are accustomed to seeing, but he's still a nice value when you look at the matchup and what he's done lately. He has a .347 wOBA and .211 ISO split this season and an incredible 56% hard hit rate and 31% line drive rate in the last 15 days. Pretty safe to say he's seeing the ball well.

First Base (1B)

Brandon Moss (1B, STL) - $3,200

Moss against a subpar, inexperienced major league pitcher at this price is like stealing. Not only does he have excellent splits against right-handed pitching this season - .357 wOBA and a .312 ISO - but he's also smacked the ball hard over the past two weeks.

Second Base (2B)

Rougned Odor (2B, TEX) - $3,700

Odor is sure to be a part of my favorite stack of the night - the Rangers - and he'll be on my all-stud lineup as well. He has great park factors working in his favor tonight, faces a subpar pitcher and owns these splits in 2016 - .334 wOBA and a .242 ISO.

Shortstop (SS)

Asdrubal Cabrera (SS, NYM) - $3,300

One of the things I seek out when looking for big value in a player is a huge disparity in his splits. Cabrera fits that bill, as he displays a wOBA and ISO that 12 and 90 points higher, respectively. The difference in wOBA is marginal at best, but the ISO differential is noteworthy. In addition to that, he has a 35% hard hit and 23 line drive rate over the past 15 days.

Third Base (3B)

Justin Turner (3B, LAD) - $3,700

Like Cabrera, Turner is a big differentials guy, only the gaps in his numbers are even wider and his floor is a little higher with his .382 wOBA and .250 ISO. He has a good matchup tonight against Paul Clemens and has been squaring up the ball excellently in the past two weeks, as his 29% line drive rate in that time shows.

 

DFS Outfielders to Consider for FanDuel

Mike Trout (OF, LAA) - $4,100

The rest of my outfield is loaded with value - and I think there is a ton of it to be found across the board today - so paying up for Trout shouldn't be an issue. He has been a fantasy points machine lately, exceeding value in seven of his last 10 games, by an average of 5.6 points a night. He and his .424 wOBA split have an excellent matchup tonight.

Jeremy Hazelbaker (OF, STL) - $2,500

Hazelbaker is such a steal tonight. I can't quite understand why his recent strong performances haven't driven up his price, but this certainly isn't a complaint. Tonight, he faces a subpar pitcher that gets drilled by lefties. Jeremy and his .263 ISO split should fare very well.

Joc Pederson (OF, LAD) - $3,300

Young Joc has been crushing the ball lately, to the tune of a 42% hard hit rate over the past two weeks. He's got a good matchup against the subpar Clemens, and his .381 wOBA and .267 ISO splits give him a high floor with home run upside.

Also Consider: Jurickson Profar (OF, TEX) - $2,200 and Josh Reddick (OF, LAD) - $3,100

 

Full Season MLB & DFS Premium Pass

Get a Premium Pass for the entire MLB season - including the playoffs - for only $29.99. That's Premium access to over 10 tools, and over 20 valuable resources, for one incredible price. Here's a taste of what you get:

  • DFS lineup picks and cheat sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings - seven days a week
  • Three expert lineups: FanDuel, DraftKings, and Stack of the Day - seven days a week
  • Top DFS value plays, avoids and injury updates - seven days a week
  • Lineup tools: daily premium hitter and pitcher matchup ratings

 
All of this for just $14.99... it's simply the best deal around. No other site offers this type of deal. What are you waiting for?
 

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Saquon Barkley

Scores Touchdown in Low-Yardage Outing
Jalen Hurts

Rushes for Two Touchdowns on Thursday
Javonte Williams

Salvages Inefficient Outing With Two Touchdowns
CeeDee Lamb

110-Yard Game Marred by Four Drops
Will Shipley

Questionable to Return on Thursday Night
Pablo López

Pablo Lopez Expected to Return on Friday
Micah Parsons

Expected to Play in Week 1
Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Exits With Knee Contusions
Christian McCaffrey

Listed as Limited With Calf Injury
Justin Jefferson

Not on Week 1 Injury Report
Omarion Hampton

to Start Against Chiefs on Friday
Will Smith

Unlikely to Play This Weekend
Shohei Ohtani

to Pitch on Monday
Najee Harris

Off the Final Injury Report, Will Play in Week 1
Jon Rahm

Looks to Prove His Importance on European Ryder Cup Team
Tommy Fleetwood

Among Leaders of European Ryder Cup Team
Christian Kirk

Expected to be Sidelined in Week 1, Could Miss More Time
Amari Cooper

Informs Raiders of Retirement
Jayden Reed

Returns to Practice
Brandon Sproat

to Start for Mets on Sunday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Close to Triple-Double Versus Serbia
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Fills Box Score Against Turkey
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Shakes Off Minor Injury
E.J. Liddell

Inks Two-Way Deal With Nets
NBA

Ben Simmons Reportedly Considering Retirement
P.J. Washington

Agrees to Four-Year, $90 Million Extension
Mike Trout

Plans to Return on Thursday
Will Smith

X-Rays Negative on Will Smith's Hand
Jauan Jennings

Gets Incentives Added to Contract
Jakobi Meyers

Unsure About Potential Extension
Matthew Stafford

Off Injury Report Ahead of Week 1
Will Smith

Exits With Hand Contusion
Jackson Chourio

in Lineup Wednesday Despite Hamstring Cramps
Sepp Straka

Gets Captain's Pick to Join Team Europe
Christian Yelich

Dealing With Soreness in Lower Back
PGA

Victor Hovland to Make Third Ryder Cup Appearance for Team Europe
J.J. Spaun

Set to Represent Team USA for First Time at Bethpage
Russell Henley

Makes First Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Harris English

Named to Ryder Cup Team for Second Time
Kyle Finnegan

Dealing With Groin Issue
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch "Sometime This Weekend"
Jackson Chourio

Absent on Wednesday With Hamstring Cramp
Roman Anthony

Officially Goes on Injured List
Jauan Jennings

Limited on Wednesday, Expected to Play in Week 1
Malik Nabers

Not on Initial Injury Report
Roman Anthony

"High Probability" Roman Anthony Lands on Injured List
Justin Thomas

Making Fourth Ryder Cup Team Appearance at Bethpage
Ben Griffin

Making First Career Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Bryson DeChambeau

Set to be Part of Team USA at Bethpage
Jason Adam

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Roman Anthony

Will Undergo MRI on Wednesday
Santi Aldama

Bags Double-Double in Losing Effort
Guerschon Yabusele

Erupts for 36 Points Against Poland
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Leads Slovenia Into Next Round at EuroBasket
San Antonio Spurs

Stanley Umude Signs Training Camp Deal With Spurs
Reece Beekman

Joins Magic for Training Camp
Justin Minaya

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Magic
Travis Hunter

Jaguars List Travis Hunter as Starting Wide Receiver, Backup Cornerback
Kyle Tucker

Leaves With Calf Tightness on Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Rest of EuroBasket
Max Scherzer

Blue Jays Confident Max Scherzer Will Make Saturday Start Despite Back Tightness
Roman Anthony

Leaves Early With Back Injury
Jared McCain

"On Pace" for Training Camp
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Dominates Against Sweden
Kristaps Porzingis

Finding Form at EuroBasket
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Suffers Minor Injury at EuroBasket
Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

Crashes Early and Suffers A Playoff Setback at Darlington
Giannis Antetokounmpo

"Staying in Milwaukee"
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
Zane Smith

Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP