Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Dynasty Tiered Rankings and Analysis - Quarterback

Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Targets

In dynasty leagues, hitching your wagon to the right gunslinger is crucial. Unlike the turbulence at running back and unpredictability at wide receiver or tight end, quarterbacks can be consistent point-getters for years to come without the need for turnover. The biggest question is how to weigh youth versus experience. That's what we aim to do with our preseason tiered rankings.

Below you'll find RotoBaller's consensus dynasty QB rankings for fantasy football along with analysis on key risers, fallers, and rookies. These will be updated throughout the preseason so bookmark our NFL rankings page for the latest moves.

When you're done here, check out our tiered RB Rankings Analysis and WR Rankings Analysis as well.

Featured Promo: Our friends at RIVAL Fantasy have created fun and unique DFS games including over/under contests and Fantasy Bingo. Use promo code BALLER to get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($199 value), and a $50 risk-free deposit. Play Now!


Dynasty QB Rankings

Position Rank Position Tier Player Name Overall Rank Overall Tier
1 1 Patrick Mahomes 33 1
2 1 Josh Allen 42 1
3 1 Dak Prescott 45 1
4 1 Kyler Murray 48 1
5 2 Lamar Jackson 51 1
6 2 Justin Herbert 59 2
7 2 Joe Burrow 64 2
8 3 Russell Wilson 70 2
9 3 Trevor Lawrence 82 3
10 3 Aaron Rodgers 85 3
11 3 Jalen Hurts 94 3
12 3 Deshaun Watson 95 3
13 3 Tua Tagovailoa 102 4
14 4 Baker Mayfield 105 4
15 4 Trey Lance 107 4
16 4 Justin Fields 108 4
17 4 Ryan Tannehill 121 5
18 4 Matthew Stafford 122 5
19 5 Tom Brady 140 6
20 5 Matt Ryan 142 6
21 5 Zach Wilson 145 6
22 5 Kirk Cousins 148 6
23 5 Carson Wentz 152 6
24 6 Daniel Jones 153 6
25 6 Derek Carr 162 6
26 6 Jameis Winston 164 6
27 7 Jared Goff 168 6
28 7 Mac Jones 176 6
29 7 Sam Darnold 191 7
30 7 Ben Roethlisberger 202 7
31 8 Teddy Bridgewater 215 7
32 8 Cam Newton 216 7
33 8 Taysom Hill 225 7
34 8 Drew Lock 230 7
35 9 Davis Mills 245 8
36 9 Jordan Love 259 8
37 9 Jimmy Garoppolo 265 8
38 9 Kellen Mond 268 8
39 9 Kyle Trask 278 8
40 9 Ryan Fitzpatrick 295 9
41 9 Marcus Mariota 325 9
42 10 Kyle Allen 332 9
43 10 Nick Mullens 346 10
44 10 Andy Dalton 350 10
45 10 Mitchell Trubisky 355 10
46 10 Taylor Heinicke 367 10
47 11 Dwayne Haskins 385 10
48 11 Tyrod Taylor 391 10
49 11 Nick Foles 394 10
50 11 Jarrett Stidham 397 10
51 11 Jacoby Brissett 402 10
52 11 Gardner Minshew II 410 10
53 11 Brandon Allen 419 10
54 11 Sam Ehlinger 428 10


Tier One

The names found in tier one are to be expected. The order is a bit unconventional, however, due to the presence of Dak Prescott at the third spot. This is partially thanks to a certain Cowboys fan among our rankers, although it's hard to argue too hard against Prescott's placement. Then again, he's on the verge of turning 28 years old, which is a full four more than Murray and Jackson and three more than Allen. That's a big deal in dynasty.

The counter to that is Prescott's experience and five years worth of production. Allen has done it once. Jackson had an elite 2019 but saw his league-high 83.0 QBR drop to 73.7 last year. Murray didn't improve on his INT rate in year two, throwing 12 picks again, and tied for 12th in passing touchdowns. These are nitpicky details but when projecting long-term value, everything must be accounted for. It is possible Allen regresses to 2019 form or Murray never takes another step forward.

The difference between Prescott and these other three QBs is rushing stats. The other three bring a lot of fantasy juice with their legs. This means higher highs but could also result in a shorter shelf life of elite production once enough hits are taken, a la Cam Newton. Prescott is an efficient scrambler who will find the end zone a few times but his rushing yards per game average had dropped each season until last year was cut short. Coming off a broken ankle, he might be running even less. Prescott is tied to a potent offense and may have the highest floor of all tier one quarterbacks, other than Mahomes. Personally, I understand the preference for security relative to Jackson but I wouldn't put him over Murray or Allen.


Quarterbacks Who Are Trending Down

Despite coming off a season where he threw for 4,299 yards and a career-high 48 touchdowns, it's obvious we have to knock Aaron Rodgers down a peg. Although, compared to this time last year his dynasty ranking is actually higher so is he really trending down? Remember the whole thing about Jordan Love being drafted in round one, Rodgers being pissed off and not seeming to love new head coach Matt LaFleur? Now it's the front office he doesn't like but we've forgotten the concerns about his age and fit in this offense.

Count me as one who has zero doubt he'll be playing for the Packers in 2021. That said, I have about a 20% confidence level that he'll be with them or in the NFL at all in 2022. This makes him even riskier than Tom Brady in dynasty, yet he's being valued far higher because of his birthdate. Rodgers is a firm hold right now until the season actually gets underway but should be traded away before season's end by any team that isn't championship bound with him as the starting QB.

I get that Jared Goff went from the Rams to the Lions, which is the equivalent of being downgraded from first class to the baggage stow, but it's not as if his arm has fallen off. He finished 10th in the league in passing yards per game. Much of that was due to volume of attempts but that won't change much. The Lions attempted only eight fewer passes than the Rams last year and it's not as if they've magically fixed their leaky defense. Goff will have more value in leagues that reward three or four points per passing touchdown rather than six but he'll be a serviceable backup fantasy QB or Superflex option for a couple more years at least.

Matt Ryan isn't low enough in these rankings and not just because of age either. He lost his main target in Julio Jones and replaced him with 20-year-old tight end Kyle Pitts. Don't try to convince yourself that is a lateral move or that he'll be fine without Jones. Just last year, Ryan averaged a full 53 more yards per game when Jones was on the field.

Atlanta didn't take a quarterback in the NFL Draft despite their high draft slot, instead opting to add a weapon for Ryan. That's mainly because they're contractually obligated to him for another two years. In that span, he'll be on the field and serve well as a fantasy QB2 but not any higher. Advanced age and lack of rushing floor make him less desirable than the current batch of unproven rookies.


Where The Top Rookies Rank

Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - QB9

We can't rightfully put Lawrence in the top two tiers before he's taken an NFL snap but he could very well be a top-five player at the position. As humans, we always fear the unknown and Urban Meyer's opportunity to become a pro coach does instill a little fear in me. Lawrence is the type of talent that should thrive regardless of circumstance, though.

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers - QB15

It won't be long before Lance is starting in San Fran. The ceiling based on physical attributes is tremendous but we have no idea how starting all of 17 games at North Dakota State and sitting out nearly all of his junior year will play into his transition to pro ball as a 21-year-old. For that reason, we placed him square in the middle of the pack as far as starting QBs go. It will probably take at least a year, if not two, before he becomes a dependable fantasy asset.

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears - QB16

Immediately after Lance comes Fields, who is definitely not going to be the starter in Week 1 and quite possibly could sit out much of the year if the Bears can stay in playoff contention. They have the luxury of playing the Bengals and Lions within the first four weeks but run into a midseason buzzsaw with the Packers, Bucs, 49ers, and Steelers between Week 6-9 before hitting the bye. I'd point to a Week 11 debut against Baltimore as a logical starting point for Fields, which limits his short-term outlook but could provide a springboard for the future.

Zach Wilson, New York Jets - QB21

The Jets offense has nowhere to go but up. It should do just that now that Adam Gase is gone the team has a new direction and a roster full of shiny new weapons. Chief among those is the second overall pick, Zach Wilson out of BYU. Despite being selected ahead of Lance and Fields, he's well below both in our dynasty ranks. Many fantasy football managers still have PTSD from the Sam Darnold era so it's understandable that we want to see that the Jets are not still a train wreck before investing in that offense.

Mac Jones, New England Patriots - QB28

Is Michael McCorkle Jones being unrightfully disrespected? Jones led the NCAA in passing yards (4,500), completion percentage (77.4%), completions (311), passing efficiency rating (203.1), and led his team to a national championship. The Patriots spent a first-round pick on a quarterback for the first time since Drew Bledsoe in 1993 and the team is not invested in Cam Newton as anything more than a stopgap, assuming he's still on the roster when the season begins. The Pats will be all in on Jones sooner than later, so why aren't dynasty managers doing the same? I'd be willing to wager that Jones is ahead of Ryan, Cousins, and Wentz by season's end. Then again, Bill Belichick has never really had success with a quarterback other than Tom Brady, so there's going to be skepticism for the better part of this season.

Davis Mills, Houston Texans - QB35

Will we ever see Deshaun Watson in a Texans uniform again? I won't begin to speculate on that front but it's wise to assume he won't be around as of now. Tyrod Taylor will begin the year as the starter most likely but the team will give Mills a shot eventually.

Kellen Mond, Minnesota Vikings - QB38

The accurate-armed Mond is my favorite late QB pick in rookie drafts. He won't see the field much if at all unless injury strikes but Kirk Cousins will be a free agent after 2022. If things go south for the team then they could start taking a look at his replacement late in the season, much like the Eagles did with Jalen Hurts.

Kyle Trask, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - QB 39

We've heard Bruce Arians do his usual gushing about a young player who absolutely will not play all season, so ignore the sound bites and comparison to Andrew Luck. Tom Brady is playing until he's 50 just because he can so it's best to avoid wasting a roster spot on Trask.


Value Alert

I'll never be the one to create a Ryan Tannehill stan account but the guy continues to be undervalued in fantasy and the dynasty realm is no exception.

Tannehill has been one of the better passers in the league since moving to Tennessee and now he gets one of the better wide receivers to target. This intuitively seems like a no-brainer that he'll improve statistically.

You may have seen the ridiculous comparison between Tannehill and Mahomes on social media. Here's another:

TD% INT% Yards per game
Ryan Tannehill 7.2% 1.7% 234.3
Pat Mahomes 6.0% 1.0% 302.4
TD INT Total Yards
Ryan Tannehill 31 7 3749
Pat Mahomes 35 6 4839

Over the 2019-2020 seasons, Mahomes has generated much more yardage, which is why he's the QB1 in fantasy. However, Tannehill has been more efficient and nearly as productive on the TD front with just as few mistakes. I'm not saying I would put Tanny in the same class as Mahomes but I'd definitely have him in the top-15 at the very least.

This is a good time to reiterate what was said earlier about Brady vs. Rodgers, which seems to be ongoing social media feud and has become a rivalry in the most unexciting way:

Tom Brady isn't retiring any time soon, ranked as a top-10 fantasy QB after throwing for 4,633 yards and 40 TD in 2020, and has one of the best receiving corps in the league. The risks are a lot greater with Rodgers.

Speaking of risk, Jameis Winston at QB26 could be a bit optimistic. We have no idea if he's the starter in New Orleans yet he's ranked ahead of younger players like Mac Jones and Sam Darnold. His career 3.4% INT% matches what Drew Lock and Carson Wentz did last year. He now goes to a team whose starter the past bazillion years, Drew Brees, didn't post an INT% over 2% since 2016. Let's see how much of it was Sean Payton's influence.

Obligatory mention that Sam Darnold is away from Adam Gase and the New York media and in the comforting hands of QB Whisperer Joe Brady in Carolina. He could reclaim his untapped potential and leap back into prominence but I think I speak for everyone who has ever watched him play in saying that I need to see it before I believe it.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts


Ilya Samsonov15 mins ago

Chases Another Home Win
Mattias Samuelsson27 mins ago

Available Again Wednesday
Dylan Cozens37 mins ago

Returns To Action Wednesday
Tage Thompson45 mins ago

Ready To Go Wednesday
Romeo Langford2 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Josh Richardson3 hours ago

Expected To Return Wednesday
Josh Hart3 hours ago

Listed As Probable Wednesday
Jusuf Nurkic3 hours ago

Probable For Wednesday
John Konchar3 hours ago

Listed As Questionable
Jonathan Isaac3 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Robert Williams3 hours ago

III Good To Go Wednesday
Tua Tagovailoa5 hours ago

Clears The Concussion Protocol
Dak Prescott5 hours ago

Cowboys Open To Extension For Dak Prescott
Daniel Jones5 hours ago

Giants Want To Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Justin Fields6 hours ago

Bears Sticking With Justin Fields; Set To Trade First Pick?
MMA6 hours ago

Sergey Spivak Can Earn A Big Victory Saturday
Derrick Lewis6 hours ago

Looking For First Win Since 2021
Devin Clark6 hours ago

Hoping To Turn Things Around
MMA7 hours ago

Jung Da Un Set For Big Co-Main-Event Spotlight
Will Gordon7 hours ago

In The Field At Pebble Beach
Thomas Detry7 hours ago

Set For Pebble Beach Debut
Blagoy Ivanov7 hours ago

Hoping For Big Start To 2023
MMA7 hours ago

Marcin Tybura Set To Improve No. 10 Ranking If Victorious
Jordan Spieth7 hours ago

Always An Option At Pebble Beach
Kyle Nelson7 hours ago

Hoping To Prevent Three-Fight Losing Streak
MMA7 hours ago

Choi Doo-ho Returns To Action After Layoff
Viktor Hovland7 hours ago

Set To Play At Pebble Beach
Maverick McNealy7 hours ago

A Nice Option At Pebble Beach
Giannis Antetokounmpo7 hours ago

Dominates Hornets On Tuesday
LaMelo Ball7 hours ago

Posts Another Triple-Double In Loss
Nikola Vucevic8 hours ago

Posts Strong Stat Line In Loss To Clippers
Kawhi Leonard8 hours ago

Leads All Scorers In Win Over Chicago
Jalen Brunson8 hours ago

Drops Game-High 37 Points
LeBron James8 hours ago

Collects His First Triple-Double Of The Season
Danny Green8 hours ago

Questionable To Make His Debut On Wednesday
Jalen Green8 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out For Wednesday
Alperen Sengun8 hours ago

Off The Injury Report For Wednesday
John Wall8 hours ago

Still Without A Return Timetable
Tom Brady9 hours ago

Announces Retirement From The NFL
Nick Suzuki9 hours ago

Dishes Out Two Assists
Thomas Chabot10 hours ago

Delivers Three Assists In Tuesday's Win
Erik Gustafsson10 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists
Johnny Gaudreau10 hours ago

Stays Hot With 14th Goal
Sebastian Aho10 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak With Game-Winner
Andrei Svechnikov10 hours ago

Sets Up Two Goals
Drew Doughty10 hours ago

Has Historic 112th Multi-Point Game
Anze Kopitar10 hours ago

Gets Three Points Against Carolina
Evgeny Kuznetsov17 hours ago

Registers Two Points Tuesday
Trevor Van Riemsdyk17 hours ago

Trevor van Riemsdyk Tallies Two Goals Tuesday
MON17 hours ago

Rafael Harvey-Pinard Continues To Stay Hot For Montreal
Tony Gonsolin18 hours ago

Dodgers, Tony Gonsolin Agree To Two-Year Deal Tuesday
Tim Stützle18 hours ago

Tim Stutzle Leads Ottawa to Victory Tuesday
Adrian Kempe18 hours ago

Notches Two Goals In Kings Loss
Rudy Gobert20 hours ago

Remains Questionable Against Warriors
Robert Williams20 hours ago

III Listed As Questionable To Play Wednesday
Desmond Bane20 hours ago

Questionable Versus Portland
Jamal Murray20 hours ago

Set To Play Tuesday Night
Lamar Jackson23 hours ago

Likely To Be Franchise Tagged
Houston Texans23 hours ago

Texans Hire DeMeco Ryans As Head Coach
Denver Broncos23 hours ago

Broncos Acquire Sean Payton As Next Head Coach
Anton Forsberg24 hours ago

Tries To Beat Montreal Again
Pheonix Copley1 day ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Carolina
Charlie Lindgren1 day ago

In Washington Goal Against Columbus
Joonas Korpisalo1 day ago

Gets The Nod Tuesday
Matt Andriese1 day ago

Dodgers Sign Matt Andriese To Minor-League Deal
Yandy Díaz1 day ago

Rays Finalize Three-Year Extension With Yandy Diaz
Wily Peralta1 day ago

Nationals Sign Wily Peralta To Minor-League Deal
Yairo Munoz1 day ago

Diamondbacks Sign Yairo Munoz To Minor-League Deal
Jandel Gustave1 day ago

Agrees To Minor-League Deal With Arizona
Adeiny Hechavarria1 day ago

Braves Sign Adeiny Hechavarria, Among Others
A.J. Alexy1 day ago

White Sox Claim A.J. Alexy Off Waivers From Twins
Jonathan Davis1 day ago

Tigers Sign Jonathan Davis To Minor-League Deal
Roberto Pérez1 day ago

Roberto Perez Signs With Giants
Jason Vosler1 day ago

Mariners Release Jason Vosler
Joe Ross1 day ago

Giants Sign Joe Ross To Minor-League Deal
Francisco Alvarez1 day ago

Not A Candidate For DH Role
Chad Green1 day ago

Blue Jays Sign Chad Green
Ben Griffin1 day ago

Set To Make AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Debut
Beau Hossler1 day ago

Looks To Repeat Success At Pebble Beach
Kurt Kitayama1 day ago

Searching For Form
Dexter Fowler1 day ago

Announces Retirement
Russell Knox1 day ago

Looks To Stay Consistent At Pebble Beach
PGA1 day ago

Matt Fitzpatrick An Elite Fantasy Option At Pebble Beach
Adam Fugitt1 day ago

Set For A Very Tough Test
Yusaku Kinoshita1 day ago

Japanese Finisher Yusaku Kinoshita Set For UFC Debut
Taylor Pendrith1 day ago

Seeking Better Fortune At Pebble Beach
Justin Lower1 day ago

Sets Up Well For Pebble Beach
Davis Riley1 day ago

Not On Many Radars For Pebble Beach
Matthew NeSmith1 day ago

Trying To Turn Back Clock At Pebble Beach
Justin Rose1 day ago

Needs To Avoid Mistakes At Pebble Beach
José Leclerc2 days ago

Jose Leclerc The Front-Runner For Rangers Closer Role?
Chad Pinder2 days ago

Reds Agree To Minor-League Deal With Chad Pinder
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Mets Expected To Make Bid On Shohei Ohtani In 2023
Zack Britton2 days ago

Angels Have "Strong Interest" In Zack Britton
Miguel Vargas2 days ago

Has A Chance To Start At Second Base
Grayson Rodriguez2 days ago

Expected To Be In Opening Day Rotation
Brock Purdy2 days ago

Will Have Surgery On Elbow
Brock Purdy2 days ago

Out Six Months With UCL Tear
Kyle Pitts2 days ago

' Rehab "On Schedule"
Tyler Boyd3 days ago

Has Two Catches On Sunday, Exits Due To Injury
Kadarius Toney3 days ago

Questionable To Return To AFC Championship Game
Kansas City Chiefs3 days ago

L'Jarius Sneed Being Evaluated For A Head Injury
Mecole Hardman3 days ago

Cleared For AFC Championship
Josh Johnson3 days ago

Won't Return To The NFC Championship
Travis Kelce3 days ago

Will Suit Up For AFC Championship
Josh Johnson3 days ago

Exits Sunday's Game Versus Philly
Brock Purdy3 days ago

Returns To NFC Championship Game
Josh Johnson3 days ago

Enters With Brock Purdy Questionable To Return
Justin Herbert3 days ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery