X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Dynasty Tiered Rankings and Analysis - Quarterback

Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Targets

Tiered rankings and analysis for dynasty league quarterbacks. Pierre Camus breaks down RotoBaller's QB ranks for 2021 dynasty and keeper fantasy football leagues.

In dynasty leagues, hitching your wagon to the right gunslinger is crucial. Unlike the turbulence at running back and unpredictability at wide receiver or tight end, quarterbacks can be consistent point-getters for years to come without the need for turnover. The biggest question is how to weigh youth versus experience. That's what we aim to do with our preseason tiered rankings.

Below you'll find RotoBaller's consensus dynasty QB rankings for fantasy football along with analysis on key risers, fallers, and rookies. These will be updated throughout the preseason so bookmark our NFL rankings page for the latest moves.

When you're done here, check out our tiered RB Rankings Analysis and WR Rankings Analysis as well.

Editor's Note: Explore RotoBaller’s Dynasty Fantasy Football hub for year-round dynasty rankings, trade tips, rookie analysis, and long-term player outlooks. Dominate your league with our sleepers, stash targets, and dynasty draft advice. Click here for Dynasty rankings and strategy.

 

Dynasty QB Rankings

Position Rank Position Tier Player Name Overall Rank Overall Tier
1 1 Patrick Mahomes 33 1
2 1 Josh Allen 42 1
3 1 Dak Prescott 45 1
4 1 Kyler Murray 48 1
5 2 Lamar Jackson 51 1
6 2 Justin Herbert 59 2
7 2 Joe Burrow 64 2
8 3 Russell Wilson 70 2
9 3 Trevor Lawrence 82 3
10 3 Aaron Rodgers 85 3
11 3 Jalen Hurts 94 3
12 3 Deshaun Watson 95 3
13 3 Tua Tagovailoa 102 4
14 4 Baker Mayfield 105 4
15 4 Trey Lance 107 4
16 4 Justin Fields 108 4
17 4 Ryan Tannehill 121 5
18 4 Matthew Stafford 122 5
19 5 Tom Brady 140 6
20 5 Matt Ryan 142 6
21 5 Zach Wilson 145 6
22 5 Kirk Cousins 148 6
23 5 Carson Wentz 152 6
24 6 Daniel Jones 153 6
25 6 Derek Carr 162 6
26 6 Jameis Winston 164 6
27 7 Jared Goff 168 6
28 7 Mac Jones 176 6
29 7 Sam Darnold 191 7
30 7 Ben Roethlisberger 202 7
31 8 Teddy Bridgewater 215 7
32 8 Cam Newton 216 7
33 8 Taysom Hill 225 7
34 8 Drew Lock 230 7
35 9 Davis Mills 245 8
36 9 Jordan Love 259 8
37 9 Jimmy Garoppolo 265 8
38 9 Kellen Mond 268 8
39 9 Kyle Trask 278 8
40 9 Ryan Fitzpatrick 295 9
41 9 Marcus Mariota 325 9
42 10 Kyle Allen 332 9
43 10 Nick Mullens 346 10
44 10 Andy Dalton 350 10
45 10 Mitchell Trubisky 355 10
46 10 Taylor Heinicke 367 10
47 11 Dwayne Haskins 385 10
48 11 Tyrod Taylor 391 10
49 11 Nick Foles 394 10
50 11 Jarrett Stidham 397 10
51 11 Jacoby Brissett 402 10
52 11 Gardner Minshew II 410 10
53 11 Brandon Allen 419 10
54 11 Sam Ehlinger 428 10

 

Tier One

The names found in tier one are to be expected. The order is a bit unconventional, however, due to the presence of Dak Prescott at the third spot. This is partially thanks to a certain Cowboys fan among our rankers, although it's hard to argue too hard against Prescott's placement. Then again, he's on the verge of turning 28 years old, which is a full four more than Murray and Jackson and three more than Allen. That's a big deal in dynasty.

The counter to that is Prescott's experience and five years worth of production. Allen has done it once. Jackson had an elite 2019 but saw his league-high 83.0 QBR drop to 73.7 last year. Murray didn't improve on his INT rate in year two, throwing 12 picks again, and tied for 12th in passing touchdowns. These are nitpicky details but when projecting long-term value, everything must be accounted for. It is possible Allen regresses to 2019 form or Murray never takes another step forward.

The difference between Prescott and these other three QBs is rushing stats. The other three bring a lot of fantasy juice with their legs. This means higher highs but could also result in a shorter shelf life of elite production once enough hits are taken, a la Cam Newton. Prescott is an efficient scrambler who will find the end zone a few times but his rushing yards per game average had dropped each season until last year was cut short. Coming off a broken ankle, he might be running even less. Prescott is tied to a potent offense and may have the highest floor of all tier one quarterbacks, other than Mahomes. Personally, I understand the preference for security relative to Jackson but I wouldn't put him over Murray or Allen.

 

Quarterbacks Who Are Trending Down

Despite coming off a season where he threw for 4,299 yards and a career-high 48 touchdowns, it's obvious we have to knock Aaron Rodgers down a peg. Although, compared to this time last year his dynasty ranking is actually higher so is he really trending down? Remember the whole thing about Jordan Love being drafted in round one, Rodgers being pissed off and not seeming to love new head coach Matt LaFleur? Now it's the front office he doesn't like but we've forgotten the concerns about his age and fit in this offense.

Count me as one who has zero doubt he'll be playing for the Packers in 2021. That said, I have about a 20% confidence level that he'll be with them or in the NFL at all in 2022. This makes him even riskier than Tom Brady in dynasty, yet he's being valued far higher because of his birthdate. Rodgers is a firm hold right now until the season actually gets underway but should be traded away before season's end by any team that isn't championship bound with him as the starting QB.

I get that Jared Goff went from the Rams to the Lions, which is the equivalent of being downgraded from first class to the baggage stow, but it's not as if his arm has fallen off. He finished 10th in the league in passing yards per game. Much of that was due to volume of attempts but that won't change much. The Lions attempted only eight fewer passes than the Rams last year and it's not as if they've magically fixed their leaky defense. Goff will have more value in leagues that reward three or four points per passing touchdown rather than six but he'll be a serviceable backup fantasy QB or Superflex option for a couple more years at least.

Matt Ryan isn't low enough in these rankings and not just because of age either. He lost his main target in Julio Jones and replaced him with 20-year-old tight end Kyle Pitts. Don't try to convince yourself that is a lateral move or that he'll be fine without Jones. Just last year, Ryan averaged a full 53 more yards per game when Jones was on the field.

Atlanta didn't take a quarterback in the NFL Draft despite their high draft slot, instead opting to add a weapon for Ryan. That's mainly because they're contractually obligated to him for another two years. In that span, he'll be on the field and serve well as a fantasy QB2 but not any higher. Advanced age and lack of rushing floor make him less desirable than the current batch of unproven rookies.

 

Where The Top Rookies Rank

Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - QB9

We can't rightfully put Lawrence in the top two tiers before he's taken an NFL snap but he could very well be a top-five player at the position. As humans, we always fear the unknown and Urban Meyer's opportunity to become a pro coach does instill a little fear in me. Lawrence is the type of talent that should thrive regardless of circumstance, though.

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers - QB15

It won't be long before Lance is starting in San Fran. The ceiling based on physical attributes is tremendous but we have no idea how starting all of 17 games at North Dakota State and sitting out nearly all of his junior year will play into his transition to pro ball as a 21-year-old. For that reason, we placed him square in the middle of the pack as far as starting QBs go. It will probably take at least a year, if not two, before he becomes a dependable fantasy asset.

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears - QB16

Immediately after Lance comes Fields, who is definitely not going to be the starter in Week 1 and quite possibly could sit out much of the year if the Bears can stay in playoff contention. They have the luxury of playing the Bengals and Lions within the first four weeks but run into a midseason buzzsaw with the Packers, Bucs, 49ers, and Steelers between Week 6-9 before hitting the bye. I'd point to a Week 11 debut against Baltimore as a logical starting point for Fields, which limits his short-term outlook but could provide a springboard for the future.

Zach Wilson, New York Jets - QB21

The Jets offense has nowhere to go but up. It should do just that now that Adam Gase is gone the team has a new direction and a roster full of shiny new weapons. Chief among those is the second overall pick, Zach Wilson out of BYU. Despite being selected ahead of Lance and Fields, he's well below both in our dynasty ranks. Many fantasy football managers still have PTSD from the Sam Darnold era so it's understandable that we want to see that the Jets are not still a train wreck before investing in that offense.

Mac Jones, New England Patriots - QB28

Is Michael McCorkle Jones being unrightfully disrespected? Jones led the NCAA in passing yards (4,500), completion percentage (77.4%), completions (311), passing efficiency rating (203.1), and led his team to a national championship. The Patriots spent a first-round pick on a quarterback for the first time since Drew Bledsoe in 1993 and the team is not invested in Cam Newton as anything more than a stopgap, assuming he's still on the roster when the season begins. The Pats will be all in on Jones sooner than later, so why aren't dynasty managers doing the same? I'd be willing to wager that Jones is ahead of Ryan, Cousins, and Wentz by season's end. Then again, Bill Belichick has never really had success with a quarterback other than Tom Brady, so there's going to be skepticism for the better part of this season.

Davis Mills, Houston Texans - QB35

Will we ever see Deshaun Watson in a Texans uniform again? I won't begin to speculate on that front but it's wise to assume he won't be around as of now. Tyrod Taylor will begin the year as the starter most likely but the team will give Mills a shot eventually.

Kellen Mond, Minnesota Vikings - QB38

The accurate-armed Mond is my favorite late QB pick in rookie drafts. He won't see the field much if at all unless injury strikes but Kirk Cousins will be a free agent after 2022. If things go south for the team then they could start taking a look at his replacement late in the season, much like the Eagles did with Jalen Hurts.

Kyle Trask, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - QB 39

We've heard Bruce Arians do his usual gushing about a young player who absolutely will not play all season, so ignore the sound bites and comparison to Andrew Luck. Tom Brady is playing until he's 50 just because he can so it's best to avoid wasting a roster spot on Trask.

 

Value Alert

I'll never be the one to create a Ryan Tannehill stan account but the guy continues to be undervalued in fantasy and the dynasty realm is no exception.


Tannehill has been one of the better passers in the league since moving to Tennessee and now he gets one of the better wide receivers to target. This intuitively seems like a no-brainer that he'll improve statistically.

You may have seen the ridiculous comparison between Tannehill and Mahomes on social media. Here's another:

TD% INT% Yards per game
Ryan Tannehill 7.2% 1.7% 234.3
Pat Mahomes 6.0% 1.0% 302.4
TD INT Total Yards
Ryan Tannehill 31 7 3749
Pat Mahomes 35 6 4839

Over the 2019-2020 seasons, Mahomes has generated much more yardage, which is why he's the QB1 in fantasy. However, Tannehill has been more efficient and nearly as productive on the TD front with just as few mistakes. I'm not saying I would put Tanny in the same class as Mahomes but I'd definitely have him in the top-15 at the very least.

This is a good time to reiterate what was said earlier about Brady vs. Rodgers, which seems to be ongoing social media feud and has become a rivalry in the most unexciting way:

Tom Brady isn't retiring any time soon, ranked as a top-10 fantasy QB after throwing for 4,633 yards and 40 TD in 2020, and has one of the best receiving corps in the league. The risks are a lot greater with Rodgers.

Speaking of risk, Jameis Winston at QB26 could be a bit optimistic. We have no idea if he's the starter in New Orleans yet he's ranked ahead of younger players like Mac Jones and Sam Darnold. His career 3.4% INT% matches what Drew Lock and Carson Wentz did last year. He now goes to a team whose starter the past bazillion years, Drew Brees, didn't post an INT% over 2% since 2016. Let's see how much of it was Sean Payton's influence.

Obligatory mention that Sam Darnold is away from Adam Gase and the New York media and in the comforting hands of QB Whisperer Joe Brady in Carolina. He could reclaim his untapped potential and leap back into prominence but I think I speak for everyone who has ever watched him play in saying that I need to see it before I believe it.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Dynasty League Strategy


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jay Huff

on the Move to Indiana
Cam Whitmore

Wizards Acquire Cam Whitmore from the Rockets
Corey Heim

Does Not Qualify for Cup Race at Chicago Street Course
LaJohntay Wester

Stands out on Special Teams
Clarke Schmidt

Likely to Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Nolan Arenado

Scratched from Saturday's Lineup
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Starting on Saturday
Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF